Mission: Impossible -- Ghost Protocol remains at the top of the box office, and the other sequels (Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows and Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked) are just behind. After that, the non-sequels are finding it tough to break out. Girl with the Dragon Tattoo has the best chance of breaking $100 million domestically, while the Steven Spielberg duo of War Horse and Adventures of Tintin are really fading. Overall, box office is decent if not spectacular: the $50 million in business Friday for the top 10 films is a normal figure for December 30.
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows and Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked both are coming in at forecast this weekend. Sherlock 2 is headed for about $180 million domestic, while Alvin 3 is on track for $135 million.
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo should exceed its weekend forecast by about $1 million ($15.2 million versus a forecast of $14.0 million) and should be able to break $100 million domestically when it ends its run.
Steven Spielberg is having a disappointing weekend with both War Horse and The Adventures of Tintin running behind modest forecasts. War Horse should collect $12.4 Friday-Sunday ($15.5 million forecast), while Tintin, the "beloved" creation of Belgian artist Herge, is struggling to get to $11.3 million Friday-Sunday ($13.5 million forecast). Both films are headed for around $80 million domestic.
Dec 30 2011-Jan 1 2012 Pre-Wknd Wknd Showbuzz
(millions) Showbuzz Early FRI Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final
(millions) Showbuzz Early FRI Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final
Mission: Impossible 4 Par[$31.2] $29.7 $10.6 $210
Sherlock Holmes 2 (WB) [$22.0] $21.2 $ 7.6 $180
Alvin & Chipmunks 3 (Fox)[$18.5] $18.4 $ 7.2 $135
Girl Dragon Tattoo (Sony)[$14.0] $15.2 $ 5.3 $105
War Horse (DW/Dis) [$15.5] $12.4 $ 4.7 $ 80
We Bought a Zoo (Fox) [$13.0] $12.3 $ 4.8 $ 80
Adventures Tintin (Par) [$13.5] $11.3 $ 4.4 $ 80
Sherlock Holmes 2 (WB) [$22.0] $21.2 $ 7.6 $180
Alvin & Chipmunks 3 (Fox)[$18.5] $18.4 $ 7.2 $135
Girl Dragon Tattoo (Sony)[$14.0] $15.2 $ 5.3 $105
War Horse (DW/Dis) [$15.5] $12.4 $ 4.7 $ 80
We Bought a Zoo (Fox) [$13.0] $12.3 $ 4.8 $ 80
Adventures Tintin (Par) [$13.5] $11.3 $ 4.4 $ 80
New Year's Eve (WB) [$ 5.5] $ 6.7 $ 2.3 $ 48
Darkest Hour (Sum) [$ 3.8] $ 4.6 $ 1.7 $ 32
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film's ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film's total run in North America. A "++" indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a "--" indicates a downgrade.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like an okay $140 million total Friday-Sunday, down 6% from the same calendar weekend last year.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #52
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like an okay $140 million total Friday-Sunday, down 6% from the same calendar weekend last year.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #52
Volume Movies Opening Each Weekend (millions)
2011 $140 M:I 4 $30, Sherlock Holmes 2 $21, Alvin 3 $18
2010 $149 Little Fockers $26, True Grit $24, TRON Legacy $19
2009 $209 Avatar $68, Sherlock Holmes $37, Alvin 2 $35
2008 $131 Marley & Me $24, Bedtime Stories $20, Benj Button $19
2007 $121 National Treasure $20, Juno $16, I Am Legend $16
2007-10
Avg $153
HOLIDAY BOX OFFICE: Day by Day
The top 10 films on Friday grossed just under $50 million collectively, up from December 30 last year (which fell on a Thursday) and within the range of values for the comparable years when the date fell early in the weekend.
DAILY TOTAL GROSS of TOP 10 MOVIES
2011 2010 2006 2005
Dec 21 $27.5 Wed $22.0 Tue $17.8 Thu $20.5 Wed
Dec 22 $24.8 Thu $31.1 Wed $39.6 Fri $22.8 Thu
Dec 23 $37.1 Fri $33.5 Thu $43.3 Sat $36.4 Fri
Dec 24 $22.1 Sat $23.6 Fri $20.1 Sun $20.2 Sat
Dec 25 $54.5 Sun $52.5 Sat $49.4 Mon $41.4 Sun
Dec 26 $61.8 Mon $48.8 Sun $49.5 Tue $55.2 Mon
Dec 27 $45.6 Tue $41.6 Mon $41.9 Wed $40.1 Tue
Dec 28 $41.5 Wed $41.6 Tue $39.9 Thu $37.8 Wed
Dec 29 $41.0 Thu $41.7 Wed $48.5 Fri $38.1 Thu
Dec 30 $49.6 Fri $43.1 Thu $51.5 Sat $45.1 Fri
Dec 31 Sat $41.7 Fri $34.1 Sun $35.8 Sat
Jan 01 Sun $57.1 Sat $41.0 Mon $42.6 Sun
NOTE: Top films: 2010 (Little Fockers, True Grit, TRON Legacy), 2006 (Night at the Museum, Pursuit of Happyness, Dreamgirls), 2005 (King Kong, Chronicles of Narnia, Fun with Dick and Jane)
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2011 $140 M:I 4 $30, Sherlock Holmes 2 $21, Alvin 3 $18
2010 $149 Little Fockers $26, True Grit $24, TRON Legacy $19
2009 $209 Avatar $68, Sherlock Holmes $37, Alvin 2 $35
2008 $131 Marley & Me $24, Bedtime Stories $20, Benj Button $19
2007 $121 National Treasure $20, Juno $16, I Am Legend $16
2007-10
Avg $153
HOLIDAY BOX OFFICE: Day by Day
The top 10 films on Friday grossed just under $50 million collectively, up from December 30 last year (which fell on a Thursday) and within the range of values for the comparable years when the date fell early in the weekend.
DAILY TOTAL GROSS of TOP 10 MOVIES
2011 2010 2006 2005
Dec 21 $27.5 Wed $22.0 Tue $17.8 Thu $20.5 Wed
Dec 22 $24.8 Thu $31.1 Wed $39.6 Fri $22.8 Thu
Dec 23 $37.1 Fri $33.5 Thu $43.3 Sat $36.4 Fri
Dec 24 $22.1 Sat $23.6 Fri $20.1 Sun $20.2 Sat
Dec 25 $54.5 Sun $52.5 Sat $49.4 Mon $41.4 Sun
Dec 26 $61.8 Mon $48.8 Sun $49.5 Tue $55.2 Mon
Dec 27 $45.6 Tue $41.6 Mon $41.9 Wed $40.1 Tue
Dec 28 $41.5 Wed $41.6 Tue $39.9 Thu $37.8 Wed
Dec 29 $41.0 Thu $41.7 Wed $48.5 Fri $38.1 Thu
Dec 30 $49.6 Fri $43.1 Thu $51.5 Sat $45.1 Fri
Dec 31 Sat $41.7 Fri $34.1 Sun $35.8 Sat
Jan 01 Sun $57.1 Sat $41.0 Mon $42.6 Sun
NOTE: Top films: 2010 (Little Fockers, True Grit, TRON Legacy), 2006 (Night at the Museum, Pursuit of Happyness, Dreamgirls), 2005 (King Kong, Chronicles of Narnia, Fun with Dick and Jane)
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