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FRIDAY DECEMBER 30 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

Mission: Impossible -- Ghost Protocol remains at the top of the box office, and the other sequels (Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows and Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked) are just behind.  After that, the non-sequels are finding it tough to break out.  Girl with the Dragon Tattoo has the best chance of breaking $100 million domestically, while the Steven Spielberg duo of War Horse and Adventures of Tintin are really fading.  Overall, box office is decent if not spectacular: the $50 million in business Friday for the top 10 films is a normal figure for December 30. 

Mission: Impossible -- Ghost Protocol (the fourth in the M:I series) grossed $10.6 million Friday (up from $9.7 million last Friday) and is looking like $29.7 million from Friday-Sunday, compared to a forecast of $31.2 million.  Through Sunday, the film's domestic total should stand above $132 million, and it should finish with $210 million domestically when it leaves theaters.  (This would be just behind the $215 million for M:I 2 but above the $181 million for M:I and the $134 million for M:I 3.)


Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows and Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked both are coming in at forecast this weekend.  Sherlock 2 is headed for about  $180 million domestic, while Alvin 3 is on track for $135 million.

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo should exceed its weekend forecast by about $1 million ($15.2 million versus a forecast of $14.0 million) and should be able to break $100 million domestically when it ends its run.  

Steven Spielberg is having a disappointing weekend with both War Horse and The Adventures of Tintin running behind modest forecasts.  War Horse should collect $12.4 Friday-Sunday ($15.5 million forecast), while Tintin, the "beloved" creation of Belgian artist Herge, is struggling to get to $11.3 million Friday-Sunday ($13.5 million forecast).  Both films are headed for around $80 million domestic.  

In case you missed them, click to see this week's Weekend Predictions
  
Dec 30 2011-Jan 1 2012  Pre-Wknd    Wknd            Showbuzz
(millions)              Showbuzz    Early    FRI    Domestic
                        Forecast    Proj.   Actual   Final
Mission: Impossible 4 Par[$31.2]    $29.7   $10.6     $210
Sherlock Holmes 2 (WB)   [$22.0]    $21.2   $ 7.6     $180
Alvin & Chipmunks 3 (Fox)[$18.5]    $18.4   $ 7.2     $135
Girl Dragon Tattoo (Sony)[$14.0]    $15.2   $ 5.3     $105
War Horse (DW/Dis)       [$15.5]    $12.4   $ 4.7     $ 80
We Bought a Zoo (Fox)    [$13.0]    $12.3   $ 4.8     $ 80
Adventures Tintin (Par)  [$13.5]    $11.3   $ 4.4     $ 80
New Year's Eve (WB)      [$ 5.5]    $ 6.7   $ 2.3     $ 48
Darkest Hour (Sum)       [$ 3.8]    $ 4.6   $ 1.7     $ 32


Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend.  The first column is a reminder of each film's ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets).  The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column).  The final     column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film's total run in North America.  A "++" indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a "--" indicates a downgrade.  


Total Box Office Volume 

The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like an okay $140 million total Friday-Sunday, down 6% from the same calendar weekend last year.          

Top 12 Films: Weekend #52


     Volume    Movies Opening Each Weekend (millions)
2011  $140  M:I 4 $30, Sherlock Holmes 2 $21, Alvin 3 $18 

2010  $149  Little Fockers $26, True Grit $24, TRON Legacy $19
2009  $209  Avatar $68, Sherlock Holmes $37, Alvin 2 $35

2008  $131  Marley & Me $24, Bedtime Stories $20, Benj Button $19
2007  $121  National Treasure $20, Juno $16, I Am Legend $16


2007-10
Avg   $153



HOLIDAY BOX OFFICE: Day by Day

The top 10 films on Friday grossed just under $50 million collectively, up from December 30 last year (which fell on a Thursday) and within the range of values for the comparable years when the date fell early in the weekend. 
 

                 DAILY TOTAL GROSS of TOP 10 MOVIES
           2011        2010        2006        2005
Dec 21  $27.5 Wed   $22.0 Tue   $17.8 Thu   $20.5 Wed
Dec 22  $24.8 Thu   $31.1 Wed   $39.6 Fri   $22.8 Thu
Dec 23  $37.1 Fri   $33.5 Thu   $43.3 Sat   $36.4 Fri
Dec 24  $22.1 Sat   $23.6 Fri   $20.1 Sun   $20.2 Sat
Dec 25  $54.5 Sun   $52.5 Sat   $49.4 Mon   $41.4 Sun
Dec 26  $61.8 Mon   $48.8 Sun   $49.5 Tue   $55.2 Mon
Dec 27  $45.6 Tue   $41.6 Mon   $41.9 Wed   $40.1 Tue
Dec 28  $41.5 Wed   $41.6 Tue   $39.9 Thu   $37.8 Wed
Dec 29  $41.0 Thu   $41.7 Wed   $48.5 Fri   $38.1 Thu
Dec 30  $49.6 Fri   $43.1 Thu   $51.5 Sat   $45.1 Fri
Dec 31        Sat   $41.7 Fri   $34.1 Sun   $35.8 Sat
Jan 01        Sun   $57.1 Sat   $41.0 Mon   $42.6 Sun



NOTE: Top films: 2010 (Little Fockers, True Grit, TRON Legacy), 2006 (Night at the Museum, Pursuit of Happyness, Dreamgirls), 2005 (King Kong, Chronicles of Narnia, Fun with Dick and Jane)



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