The fourth weekend of 2012 is a touch better than the same weekend last year, but it's a somewhat below average weekend looking at the past four years. The Grey is opening at #1 at almost $19 million, somewhat higher than expected.
One for the Money is beating our prediction: opening with $4.1 million Friday on its way to almost $12 million for Friday-Sunday, ahead of the $9.5 million prediction. The action drama about the Tuskegee Airmen is headed for a preliminary $27 million domestic. Early reviews are in (25 so far at RottenTomatoes), and this Katherine Heigl classic is earning an ignominious 0% positive reviews.
Man on a Ledge is failing to meet even modest expectations: a little over $2.5 million Friday and $7.2 million this weekend, below the $10 million forecast. Man on a Ledge is on track for only $17 million total domestic.
In case you missed them, click to see this week's Weekend Predictions
January 27-29, 2012 Pre-Wknd Wknd Showbuzz
(millions) Showbuzz Early FRI Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final
The Grey (Open Road) [$15.0] $18.7 $ 6.4 $ 60
One for the Money (LG) [$ 9.5] $11.9 $ 4.1 $ 27
Underworld Awakening (So)[$11.5] $11.6 $ 3.4 $ 67
Red Tails (Fox) [$11.5] $ 9.6 $ 2.8 $ 54
Man on a Ledge (Sum) [$10.0] $ 7.2 $ 2.5 $ 17
Extremely Loud & Inc (WB)[$ 8.0] $ 6.9 $ 2.0 $ 38
Contraband (Uni) [$ 7.0] $ 6.4 $ 1.9 $ 71
The Descendants (Fox) [$ ---] $ 6.3 $ 1.7 $ 70
Beauty & Beast 3D (Dis) [$ 5.0] $ 5.1 $ 1.2 $ 54
Haywire (Rel) [$ 4.5] $ 4.0 $ 1.2 $ 27
(millions) Showbuzz Early FRI Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final
The Grey (Open Road) [$15.0] $18.7 $ 6.4 $ 60
One for the Money (LG) [$ 9.5] $11.9 $ 4.1 $ 27
Underworld Awakening (So)[$11.5] $11.6 $ 3.4 $ 67
Red Tails (Fox) [$11.5] $ 9.6 $ 2.8 $ 54
Man on a Ledge (Sum) [$10.0] $ 7.2 $ 2.5 $ 17
Extremely Loud & Inc (WB)[$ 8.0] $ 6.9 $ 2.0 $ 38
Contraband (Uni) [$ 7.0] $ 6.4 $ 1.9 $ 71
The Descendants (Fox) [$ ---] $ 6.3 $ 1.7 $ 70
Beauty & Beast 3D (Dis) [$ 5.0] $ 5.1 $ 1.2 $ 54
Haywire (Rel) [$ 4.5] $ 4.0 $ 1.2 $ 27
The Artist (Weins) [$ 3.7] $ 3.2 $ 0.9 $ 38
Mission: Impossible 4 Par[$ ---] $ 3.2 $ 0.9 $214
Joyful Noise (WB) [$ ---] $ 3.1 $ 0.9 $ 32
Joyful Noise (WB) [$ ---] $ 3.1 $ 0.9 $ 32
Iron Lady (Wein) [$ ---] $ 3.1 $ 0.9 $ 26
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film's ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film's total run in North America. A "++" indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a "--" indicates a downgrade.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $94 million total Friday-Sunday, up 2% from the same calendar weekend last year but down 8% from the more typical volume for this weekend in other years.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #4
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $94 million total Friday-Sunday, up 2% from the same calendar weekend last year but down 8% from the more typical volume for this weekend in other years.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #4
Volume Movies Opening Each Weekend (millions)
2012 $ 94 The Grey $19, One for the Money $12, Man Ledge $7
2011 $ 92 The Rite $15, Sanctum $9
2010 $110 Edge of Darkness $17, When in Rome $12
2009 $103 Taken $25, The Uninvented $10, New in Town $7
2008 $102 Hannah Montana $31, The Eye $12
2008-11
Avg $102
Check back tomorrow for updated weekend figures and revised estimates for domestic final grosses.
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2012 $ 94 The Grey $19, One for the Money $12, Man Ledge $7
2011 $ 92 The Rite $15, Sanctum $9
2010 $110 Edge of Darkness $17, When in Rome $12
2009 $103 Taken $25, The Uninvented $10, New in Town $7
2008 $102 Hannah Montana $31, The Eye $12
2008-11
Avg $102
Check back tomorrow for updated weekend figures and revised estimates for domestic final grosses.
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