In its second week on the international box office chart, Rio has widened its lead at the top, emerging as the worldwide choice among movies in the first third of 2011 (until we see how Fast Five fares). Rio (Fox) now has over $200 million overseas, with possibly $50 million more to go. This would give Rio over $400 million worldwide. Hop also expanded its overseas gross this week but only to $47 million to date.
New to the international ranking this week, Tyler Perry's Madea's Big Happy Family has no overseas gross to date, and its international tally will remain at or near zero given Perry's track record. Water for Elephants has a few million dollars in international box office now and might build to $35 million or so overseas. Finally, African Cats has no overseas grosses yet, but given the performance of Earth and Oceans we should expect an international take of up to $60 million for African Cats. Add that to the $20 million domestic number and Cats suddenly has a worldwide total of $80 million. Certainly not a blockbuster, but not bad for a relatively low cost documentary.
Before going to the worldwide table for January-April movies, let's take a look back at April 2010 and see how the films released in that month fared in total: domestic, international and home exhibition (DVD, PPV, etc.). The chart below ranks each April 2010 film by its "ultimate" number, with blue representing the domestic gross, red the international tally, and green the DVD. The first thing that jumps out is the "craps" nature of the business. The right roll of the dice can result in absolutely enormous returns, a few rolls end in middling to decent returns, but most rolls end in misery. This distribution is fairly typical for a month, although a summer month will usually need to go out to $800 million or more for the lucky few movies at the top.
The other thing that sticks out is the large contribution that international can make to movies of all sizes and the relatively modest upside of DVD across the board. Of course, neither the strength of overseas sales nor the weakness of home video is news -- it's just that the picture could not be any clearer. Finally, individual quirks can be identified, such as Tyler Perry's complete lack of appeal overseas. Why Did I Get Married Too? and The Last Song had nearly identical domestic grosses, but the former fell far short of a $100 million ultimate while the latter easily passed that benchmark. Future versions of this chart will include estimates for pay TV, cable TV and broadcast TV rights. If you have any suggestions for the chart, please feel free to comment below.
Turning back to the January-April 2011 films, see the complete ranking chart after the jump. (As you will see, the Jan-Apr chart remains in table form and will be converted to a graphic when the graph can handle 40-50 titles.)
JAN-APR 2011 FILM GROSSES Int'l
Rank ($ MILLIONS) Impact
LW TW Worldwide Domestic Overseas Ratio
Rank ($ MILLIONS) Impact
LW TW Worldwide Domestic Overseas Ratio
1 1 Rio 355 152 203* 1.33
2 2 Rango 238 122 116 .95
3 3 Green Hornet 229 99 130 1.32
4 4 Just Go with It 210 107 103 .97
5 5 Battle: Los Angeles 199 83 116 1.34
6 6 Gnomeo and Juliet 179 101 78 .772 2 Rango 238 122 116 .95
3 3 Green Hornet 229 99 130 1.32
4 4 Just Go with It 210 107 103 .97
5 5 Battle: Los Angeles 199 83 116 1.34
8 7 Hop 173 126 47* .37
7 8 No Strings Attached 145 71 74 1.05
9 9 I Am Number Four 129 55 74 1.35
10 10 Limitless 127 85 42 .50
11 11 Unknown 116 65 51 .79
12 12 Adjustment Bureau 114 63 51 .81
13 13 Justin Bieber: Never 95 73 22 .31
14 14 The Rite 94 33 61 1.85
15 15 Season of the Witch 84 25 59 2.3814 14 The Rite 94 33 61 1.85
20 16 Sanctum 79 23 56 2.43
17 17 Big Mommas: Like Father 79 38 41 1.09
16 18 Paul 77 37 40 1.07
18 19 Sucker Punch 77 34 43* 1.27
19 20 Source Code 76 57 19* .34
17 17 Big Mommas: Like Father 79 38 41 1.09
16 18 Paul 77 37 40 1.07
18 19 Sucker Punch 77 34 43* 1.27
19 20 Source Code 76 57 19* .34
22 21 The Dilemma 67 48 19 .39
23 22 Hall Pass 66 47 19 .41
24 23 Lincoln Lawyer 65 60 5 .08
21 24 Scre4m 62 44 18* .41
25 25 Red Riding Hood 59 37 23 .60
-- 26 Madea's Big Happy Fam 56 56 0 .00
27 27 Insidious 56 56 0 .00
26 28 Diary Wimpy Kid 2 54 52 2 .04
28 29 The Mechanic 51 29 22 .76
21 24 Scre4m 62 44 18* .41
25 25 Red Riding Hood 59 37 23 .60
-- 26 Madea's Big Happy Fam 56 56 0 .00
27 27 Insidious 56 56 0 .00
26 28 Diary Wimpy Kid 2 54 52 2 .04
28 29 The Mechanic 51 29 22 .76
-- 30 Water for Elephants 49 46 3* .07
29 31 Hanna 45 45 0* .00
29 31 Hanna 45 45 0* .00
33 32 Soul Surfer 42 42 0* .00
30 33 Arthur 38 38 0* .00
31 34 The Roommate 37 37 0 .00
32 35 Mars Needs Moms 37 21 16 .76
34 36 The Eagle 32 19 13 .71
35 37 Beastly 29 28 1 .04
30 33 Arthur 38 38 0* .00
31 34 The Roommate 37 37 0 .00
32 35 Mars Needs Moms 37 21 16 .76
34 36 The Eagle 32 19 13 .71
35 37 Beastly 29 28 1 .04
38 38 Drive Angry 3D 28 10 18 1.80
36 39 Your Highness 23 21 2* .09
37 40 Country Strong 20 20 0 .00
-- 41 African Cats 18 18 0* .00
36 39 Your Highness 23 21 2* .09
37 40 Country Strong 20 20 0 .00
-- 41 African Cats 18 18 0* .00
39 42 The Conspirator 12 12 0* .00
40 43 Take Me Home Tonight 6 6 0 .00
TOTAL Jan-Apr Movies 3826 2239 1586* .71
How to read: From left to right, the first two numbers are a film's rankings Last Week (LW) and This Week (TW), Worldwide gross (in millions), which is the sum of Estimated Domestic Final and International gross to date. (The two numbers do not always add up to the worldwide number exactly due to rounding.) The International Impact Ratio indicates relative international performance. The Domestic number is either the actual final gross or the latest ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Ultimate estimate if the movie is still playing. The Overseas number is the actual gross to date, which tends to lag in reporting. An asterisk indicates significant overseas upside to come. The International Impact Ratio is the film's Overseas number divided by its Domestic number.
The worldwide box office ranking now includes movies released in 2011 through April 22. The total numbers at the bottom of the chart show that worldwide box office has crossed the $3.8 billion line, in this, the weakest third of the year. A reminder, we divide the year into thirds (Winter/Spring movies released between January and April, Summer Movies between May and August, and Fall/Holiday movies between September and December). We will chart the January-April movies through the end of May, when we will start tracking the international audience for the May-August films.
Check back tomorrow for a look at the mid-week domestic performance of movies currently in release (a combined look at Monday and Tuesday numbers).
0 comments:
Post a Comment