Puss In Boots missed its forecast ($9.6 million Friday for an expected $35.3 million this weekend versus a forecast of $42.5 million). The Shrek sequel featuring the voice of Antonio Banderas is headed for $132 million in North America when it crosses the finish line, according to the ShowBuzzDaily Domestic Final estimate. International numbers for all recent films will be in our overseas round-up late Sunday. Critics have been supportive (80% positive at RottenTomatoes).
In Time came very close to its forecast ($4.2 million Friday for an estimated $11.8 million opening weekend, compared to a $13 million prediction). The Justin Timberlake sci-fi thriller is headed for $28 million in North America. Critics nationwide have been quite negative (only 37% positive at RottenTomatoes).
The Rum Diary is missing its low forecast ($1.8 million Friday for an estimated $5.6 million opening weekend, compared to an $8 million prediction). The Johnny Depp film is on track for $21 million in North America. Critics nationwide are mixed (50% positive at RottenTomatoes).
In case you missed them, click to see this week's Weekend Predictions
October 28-30, 2011 Pre-Wknd Wknd Showbuzz
(millions) Showbuzz Early Friday Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final*
Puss In Boots (DW/Par) [$42.5] $35.3 $ 9.6 $132
Paranormal Activity 3 Par[$21.1] $18.6 $ 6.5 $119+
In Time (Fox) [$13.0] $11.8 $ 4.2 $ 28
The Rum Diary (FilmDis) [$ 8.0] $ 5.6 $ 1.8 $ 21
Footloose (Par) [$ 6.5] $ 5.3 $ 1.8 $ 54
Real Steel (DW/DIS) [$ 6.5] $ 4.8 $ 1.4 $ 87-
Three Musketeers (Summit)[$ 4.6] $ 3.3 $ 1.0 $ 19
Ides of March (Sony) [$ 3.3] $ 2.5 $ 0.8 $ 41
Moneyball (Sony) [$ 2.9] $ 1.9 $ 0.6 $ 74
Dolphin Tale (WB) [$ 2.5] $ 1.5 $ 0.5 $ 71-
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film's ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film's total run in North America. A "++" indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a "--" indicates a downgrade.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like a good $94 million total, up 11% from the same calendar weekend last year (when Saw 3D opened).
Top 12 Films: Weekend #43
Volume Movies Opening Each Weekend (millions)
2011 $ 94 Puss In Boots $35, In Time $12, Rum Diary $5.6
2010 $ 85 Saw 3D $22.5
2009 $ 83 Michael Jackson's This Is It $23
2008 $ 74 Zach and Miri Make a Porno $10, Changeling $9
2007 $122 American Gangster $44, Bee Movie $38
2007-10
Avg $ 91
Next Weekend
Opening next week are Tower Heist from Universal and A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas from Warner Brothers/ New Line. Those movies will be compared to Megamind ($46.0 million opening weekend), Due Date ($32.7 million) and For Colored Girls ($19.5 million).
Look for updates of the weekend box office on Sunday, based on the Saturday actual numbers.
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