The past week (seven days ending Sunday) is up 5% versus last year's comparable week. Year-to-date box office is now down 3.2% versus last year, the smallest year-to-year margin we've seen so far this year.
The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between October 10 and October 16 grossed an awful $116 million, down 5% versus the same week in 2010 but down the same amount from the average comparable week the past four years. Year to date, all films are now down 3.6% from the same period last year. (Last week the margin was -3.2%.)
All Films October 10-16
(millions) 4yr vs vs
(millions) 4yr vs vs
2010 Avg 2011 2010 Avg
Week #41 $154 $155 $116 -25% -25%
Year to Date $8171 $7737 $7878 -3.6% +1.8%
Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks. Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings.
The Lion King in 3D ($102 million, 79th percentile)
Real Steel ($94 million, 75th percentile)
Contagion ($79 million, 71st percentile)
Dolphin Tale ($75 million, 69th percentile)
Moneyball ($72 million, 68th percentile)
Footloose ($51 million, 56th percentile)
The Ides of March ($43 million, 50th percentile)
Drive ($35 million, 42nd percentile)
50/50 ($37 million, 44th percentile)
Courageous ($26 million, 30th percentile)
Abduction ($26 million, 30th percentile)
Killer Elite ($25 million, 27th percentile)
Dream House ($20 million, 21st percentile)
The Thing ($18 million, 18th percentile)
Warrior ($14 million, 11th percentile)
What's Your Number? ($16 million, 16th percentile)
The Big Year ($7 million, 3rd percentile)
Weekend Actuals vs Sunday's Studio Projections
The Lion King in 3D ($102 million, 79th percentile)
Real Steel ($94 million, 75th percentile)
Contagion ($79 million, 71st percentile)
Dolphin Tale ($75 million, 69th percentile)
Moneyball ($72 million, 68th percentile)
Footloose ($51 million, 56th percentile)
The Ides of March ($43 million, 50th percentile)
Drive ($35 million, 42nd percentile)
50/50 ($37 million, 44th percentile)
Courageous ($26 million, 30th percentile)
Abduction ($26 million, 30th percentile)
Killer Elite ($25 million, 27th percentile)
Dream House ($20 million, 21st percentile)
The Thing ($18 million, 18th percentile)
Warrior ($14 million, 11th percentile)
What's Your Number? ($16 million, 16th percentile)
The Big Year ($7 million, 3rd percentile)
Weekend Actuals vs Sunday's Studio Projections
The weekend Studio Projections (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday's box office) for Real Steel was dead on, but the Footloose projection was very high compared to the actual numbers available today. Turns out the race for #1 was not that close after all.
Weekend of Sunday Monday Showbuzz
October 10-16 Studio Weekend Domestic
(millions) Estimate Actual Total
Footloose (Par) $16.1 $15.6 $ 51
The Thing (Uni) $ 8.7 $ 8.5 $ 18
Ides of March (Sony) $ 7.5 $ 7.1 $ 43+
Dolphin Tale (WB) $ 6.3 $ 6.2 $ 75
Moneyball (Sony) $ 5.5 $ 5.5 $ 72
50/50 (Summit) $ 4.3 $ 4.3 $ 37
Courageous (Sony) $ 3.4 $ 3.3 $ 26
The Big Year (Fox) $ 3.3 $ 3.2 $ 7
The Lion King in 3D (Dis) $ 2.7 $ 2.8 $102
Dream House (Uni) $ 2.5 $ 2.5 $ 20
Read the International Box Office Numbers round-up if you haven't seen it already.
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