The past week (seven days ending Sunday) is up 5% versus last year's comparable week. Year-to-date box office is now down 3.2% versus last year, the smallest year-to-year margin we've seen so far this year.
The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between October 3 and October 9 grossed an okay $116 million, up 5% versus the same week in 2010 but down 4% from the average comparable week the past four years. Year to date, all films are now down 3.2% from the same period last year. (Last week the margin was -3.3%.)
All Films October 3-9
(millions) 4yr vs vs
(millions) 4yr vs vs
2010 Avg 2011 2010 Avg
Week #40 $110 $121 $116 + 5% - 4%
Year to Date $8016 $7582 $7762 -3.2% +2.4%
Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) for recent films are summarized below. Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings.
The Lion King in 3D ($104 million, 79th percentile)
Real Steel ($81 million, 72nd percentile)
Contagion ($78 million, 71st percentile)
Dolphin Tale ($74 million, 69th percentile)
Moneyball ($71 million, 67th percentile)
The Ides of March ($38 million, 45th percentile)
Drive ($35 million, 42nd percentile)
50/50 ($35 million, 42nd percentile)
The Debt ($31 million, 35th percentile)
Courageous ($26 million, 28th percentile)
Abduction ($26 million, 29th percentile)
Killer Elite ($25 million, 27th percentile)
Dream House ($18 million, 18th percentile)
Shark Night 3D ($18 million, 18th percentile)
Warrior ($15 million, 13th percentile)
What's Your Number? ($15 million, 13th percentile)
Straw Dogs ($10 million, 8th percentile)
I Don't Know How She Does It ($9 million, 5th percentile)
Weekend Actuals vs Sunday's Studio Projections
The Lion King in 3D ($104 million, 79th percentile)
Real Steel ($81 million, 72nd percentile)
Contagion ($78 million, 71st percentile)
Dolphin Tale ($74 million, 69th percentile)
Moneyball ($71 million, 67th percentile)
The Ides of March ($38 million, 45th percentile)
Drive ($35 million, 42nd percentile)
50/50 ($35 million, 42nd percentile)
The Debt ($31 million, 35th percentile)
Courageous ($26 million, 28th percentile)
Abduction ($26 million, 29th percentile)
Killer Elite ($25 million, 27th percentile)
Dream House ($18 million, 18th percentile)
Shark Night 3D ($18 million, 18th percentile)
Warrior ($15 million, 13th percentile)
What's Your Number? ($15 million, 13th percentile)
Straw Dogs ($10 million, 8th percentile)
I Don't Know How She Does It ($9 million, 5th percentile)
Weekend Actuals vs Sunday's Studio Projections
The weekend Studio Projections (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday's box office) for the top four films were uncannily accurate, when compared to the actual box office numbers in today.
Weekend of Sunday Monday Showbuzz
October 3-9 Studio Weekend Domestic
(millions) Estimate Actual Total
Ides of March (Sony) $10.4 $10.5 $ 38
Dolphin Tale (WB) $ 9.2 $ 9.1 $ 74
Moneyball (Sony) $ 7.5 $ 7.5 $ 71
50/50 (Summit) $ 5.5 $ 5.7 $ 35
Courageous (Sony) $ 4.6 $ 4.9 $ 26
The Lion King in 3D (Dis) $ 4.5 $ 4.6 $104-
Dream House (Uni) $ 4.5 $ 4.5 $ 18
What's Your Number? (Fox) $ 3.1 $ 3.1 $ 15
Contagion (WB) $ 2.8 $ 2.9 $ 78
Abduction (LG) $ 2.9 $ 2.9 $ 26
Read the International Box Office Numbers round-up if you haven't seen it already.
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