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Showing posts with label Actuals. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Actuals. Show all posts

FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE Feb 27-March 4

4:23 PM | Labels: , , , , , ,

Nine full weeks into 2012, domestic box office continues to run well ahead of last year's glacial pace, and the year-to-date total is now pacing a double-digit percentage increase over of the comparable period's average for the last several years.

Weekend Actuals versus Studio Estimates

The Lorax came in at $70.2 million for its opening weekend, down half a million dollars from the $70.7 million studio estimate issued Sunday (an over-statement of less than 1% -- so give Universal some credit for accuracy).  Project X came in at $21.05 million (a little more than 1% above the studio estimate of $20.775 million).  Very accurate figures from the studios for the openers with no fudging.  In contrast, The Artist was over-stated on Sunday by a hefty 7%.  Weinstein's studio estimate was $3.9 million for its victory lap weekend, while the actual came in at $3.625 million (moving the Best Picture out of the top 10, from #10 to #11, swapping places with Wanderlust).  With only $2,065 per theater this weekend for The Artist, it is clear there is not much pent-up demand for this novelty of a film.  We can move on and pretend the 84th Academy Awards never happened.  




The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between February 27 and March 4 grossed an excellent $193 million, up 37% from the same week in 2011 and up 31% from the four-year average for the comparable week.  Year to date, 2012 is now running 27% ahead of 2011 and now all the way up to 11% ahead of the average for the same period the last four years.        

All Wide-Release Films February 27-March 4
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2011    Avg     2012    2011    Avg

Week #9      $141    $147    $193    +37%    +31%

Year to Date $1335   $1524   $1696   +27%    +11%



Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks.  Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings. 


Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $226 million (95 percentile)
The Vow $130 million (85 percentile) 
Safe House $129 million (85 percentile) 
Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $102 million (79 percentile)
Act of Valor $77 million (70 percentile) 
Project X $68 million (67 percentile) 
Chronicle $66 million (65 percentile)
The Woman in Black $54 million (58 percentile) 
The Grey $51 million (56 percentile) 
This Means War $51 million (56 percentile) 

Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance $50 million (55 percentile) 
The Artist $49 million (54 percentile) 

Star Wars: Episode 1 -- The Phantom Menace 3D $42 million (49 percentile) 
Tyler Perry's Good Deeds $39 million (46 percentile) 
One for the Money $26 million (29 percentile) 
Secret World of Arrietty $23 million (23 percentile)  
Wanderlust $22 million (23 percentile) 

Big Miracle $19 million (19 percentile) 
Gone $12 million (9 percentile) 


Weekend Predictions for March 9-11 should be posted late Wednesday.

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Posted by Unknown

FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE February 20-26

2:18 PM | Labels: , , ,

Eight full weeks into 2012, domestic box office continues to run well ahead of last year's slow pace and now is almost 10% ahead of the comparable period's average for the last several years.


The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between February 20 and February 26 grossed a very noteworthy $186 million, up 21% from the same week in 2011 and up a staggering 47% from the four-year average for the comparable week.  Year to date, 2012 is now running 26% ahead of 2011 and now all the way up to 9% ahead of the average for the same period the last four years.        

All Wide-Release Films February 20-26
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2011    Avg     2012    2011    Avg

Week #8      $155    $127    $186    +21%    +47%

Year to Date $1194   $1377   $1503   +26%    + 9%



Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks.  Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings. 


The Vow $133 million (86 percentile) 
Safe House $133 million (86 percentile) 
Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $118 million (83 percentile)
Chronicle $69 million (67 percentile)
Act of Valor $68 million (67 percentile) 
Underworld Awakening $63 million (63 percentile) 
The Woman in Black $57 million (59 percentile) 
Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance $55 million (58 percentile) 
The Grey $53 million (58 percentile) 
Red Tails $51 million (56 percentile) 
This Means War $51 million (56 percentile) 
Star Wars: Episode 1 -- The Phantom Menace 3D $47 million (54 percentile) 
Tyler Perry's Good Deeds $40 million (47 percentile) 
The Artist $39 million (46 percentile) 
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close $32 million (39 percentile) 
Secret World of Arrietty $29 million (33 percentile) 
One for the Money $24 million (26 percentile) 
Big Miracle $21 million (22 percentile) 
Wanderlust $20 million (21 percentile) 
Man on a Ledge $17 million (17 percentile) 
Gone $8 million (4 percentile) 


Weekend Predictions for March 2-4 should be posted late Wednesday.

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Posted by Unknown

FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE February 13-19

10:59 AM | Labels: , , , , , , , ,

Seven full weeks into 2012, domestic box office continues to run well ahead of last year's slow pace and now has moved solidly ahead of the comparable period's average for the last several years.                


The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between February 13 and February 19 grossed $217 million, up 20% from the same week in 2011 and up a similar percentage from the four-year average for the comparable week.  Year to date, 2012 is now running 27% ahead of 2011 and now 5% ahead of the average for the same period the last four years.        

All Wide-Release Films February 13-19
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2011    Avg     2012    2011    Avg

Week #7      $180    $180    $217    +20%    +20%

Year to Date $1040   $1250   $1317   +27%    + 5%



Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks.  Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings. 


The Vow $143 million (87 percentile) 
Safe House $139 million (87 percentile) 
Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $104 million (79 percentile)
Chronicle $71 million (67 percentile) 
Contraband $68 million (67 percentile) 
Underworld Awakening $65 million (65 percentile) 
The Woman in Black $60 million (62 percentile) 
Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance $59 million (60 percentile)
The Grey $56 million (59 percentile) 
Red Tails $51 million (56 percentile) 
This Means War $49 million (54 percentile)
Star Wars: Episode 1 -- The Phantom Menace 3D $48 million (54 percentile) 
Beauty and the Beast 3D $46 million (53 percentile) 
The Artist $33 million (40 percentile) 
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close $32 million (38 percentile)
Joyful Noise $31 million (35 million) 
The Iron Lady $28 million (31 percentile) 
One for the Money $25 million (27 percentile)
Secret World of Arrietty $25 million (28 percentile)
Big Miracle $22 million (23 percentile)
Haywire $19 million (18 percentile)   
Man on a Ledge $18 million (18 percentile) 


Weekend Predictions for February 24-26 should be posted late Wednesday.

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Posted by Unknown

FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE Jan 30-Feb 5

1:46 PM | Labels: , , , , , ,

Five full weeks into 2012, domestic box office continues to run well ahead of last year's anemic pace but about even with the comparable period's average for the last several years.  The studio estimates for the films opening this weekend turned out to be very accurate.  Chronicle officially opened at #1 with $22,004,098 the first three days (compared to a studio estimate of $22,000,000 issued Sunday morning).  The Woman in Black was close behind at #2 with $20,874,072 (just under the studio estimate of $21,000,000).  Big Miracle opened in fourth place with $7,760,025 (9% below the $8,500,000 studio estimate from Universal).              


The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between January 30 and February 5 grossed $143 million, up 39% from the same horrific week in 2011 and even with the average comparable week the past four years.  Year to date, 2012 is now running 26% ahead of 2011 but only 1% ahead of the average for the same period the last four years.        

All Wide-Release Films January 30-February 5
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2011    Avg     2012    2011    Avg

Week #5      $103    $143    $143    +39%    + 0%

Year to Date $695    $873    $886    +28%    + 1%



Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks.  Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings. 


Contraband $70 million (67 percentile)
Underworld Awakening $67 million (66 percentile)
Chronicle $65 million (65 percentile)
The Grey $59 million (60 percentile)

The Woman in Black $58 million (59 percentile) 
Red Tails $52 million (57 percentile)
Beauty and the Beast 3D $52 million (57 percentile)
The Devil Inside $48 million (54 percentile)

Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close $36 million (43 percentile) 
The Artist $32 million (39 percentile) 
Joyful Noise $31 million (35 million) 
Big Miracle $28 million (31 percentile)
One for the Money $27 million (30 percentile) 
The Iron Lady $26 million (30 percentile)
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy $24 million (26 percentile) 
Haywire $22 million (23 percentile)  
Man on a Ledge $22 million (23 percentile) 


Weekend Predictions for February 10-12 should be posted late Wednesday.

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