THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD
THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD
THE SKED'S MIDSEASON RETURN: "Pan Am"
Although nothing is likely to be official until May, the odds are that PAN AM is heading into its final landing. The series received a short back order from ABC, and will be off the air after February, when Good Christian Bitches (or whatever they're calling it this week) will take its Sunday 10PM slot. Nevertheless, the studio and producers can still hope for the best, so let's see how the series returned from its winter break.THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD
THE SKED: ABC MIDSEASON - UPDATE: "Pan Am" Crashes; "Cougar Town" Diminishes
THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD
ABC: ONCE UPON A TIME is a bona fide, self-starting hit, with another 3.8 that more than doubled its lead-in (and also more than doubled the similarly-themed Grimm on Fridays). This may have helped DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES and PAN AM a bit, since were both were slightly up. However, those 2 shows won't be airing again for 3 weeks (preempted by the American Music Awards and a Mitch Albom TV movie), and that's always dangerous. The promos for the next Pan Am are already putting into play the old "The Episode That Will Change Everything" gambit for December 4, in the hope of garnering some interest. (On a somewhat related note, anyone with access to Showtime should be watching HOMELAND, whether in its initial Sunday 10PM run or otherwise, because it's the best drama on television right now.) THE SKED: Sunday Network Scorecard
THE SKED:: ABC Hands Out Halloween Candy Corn Pick-Ups
THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard
THE SKED: CBS and Its Unforgettable Back Orders of Interest
THE SKED; Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard
ABC: And that network was ABC. ONCE UPON A TIME launched beautifully against male-skewing football and baseball, and was actually within hailing distance of the first half hour of the World Series and Sunday Night Football at 8:30PM (admittedly a wicked witch had cursed the football game, but we'll get to that). Next week the competition gets a lot tougher with the traditionally very strong "Treehosue of Horror" episode of The Simpsons, but for now it's a tremendous success story. Once Upon A Time even lifted the leaky boat of DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES to a more tolerable level, although it couldn't do anything for PAN AM, which won't last forever with its current sub-2 rating.THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard
ABC: ONCE UPON A TIME is premiering 8PM next Sunday, and the night is hardly set up for the new arrival as the network must have hoped. Although DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES seems to have found its level, that's a painful 30% below last year's average. PAN AM crept down again, to a lowly 1.8, and given the serialized nature of the show, it's going to be awfully difficult to get that number up. Creatively, while the show continues to look great visually, it's still having trouble finding compelling storylines, and the espionage plots are an uncomfortable fit with the overall soapy nature of the series.The Sked: SUNDAY RATINGS October 16
A sub-par Sunday Night Football game turned in a 5.7 Adult 18-49 rating in the fast nationals last night on NBC. The game will probably go up to a 6.0 or 6.1 in the official nationals, enough to win the night but far away from the 10 rating for competitive games.
FOX benefited from a 6.7 fast national rating in the 7-8 hour from the long late afternoon national NFL game. (That should go up to well over a 7 in the official nationals Tuesday morning.) But it didn't help the special original telecast of The X Factor from 8-10 pm (3.3 rating). There was a chance baseball would have bumped The X Factor yet again last night, but Game 7 of the American League Championship Series was not necessary when the Texas Rangers knocked out the Detroit Tigers on Saturday in Game 6. All this disruption to The X Factor will probably keep it from hitting a 4 rating again for several weeks.
CBS averaged a 2.2 rating for the night, down 0.3 from the last time it did not have a late Sunday afternoon football game (September 25). The network averaged a 3.3 rating from 7-11 pm on Sundays when it did have the late game to both disrupt and prop up its Sunday lineup.
ABC has stablized at a 2.0 rating for the night (four-week track: 2.5...2.3...2.0...2.0). Desperate Housewives turned in a 2.7 and Pan Am a 1.8 last night (both down 0.1 from last week, but both likely candidates for a 0.1 upgrade in the official nationals).
Season to date (four full weeks into the season), CBS is #1 with a 2.9 and FOX a very close second with a 2.85 rating. NBC and ABC are tied for third (both at a 2.4), while The CW is averaging a 0.75.
THE SKED: Sunday Ratings Report & Network Scorecard
We'll have an updated chart with specific ratings and trends up later today, but meanwhile here's a rundown on how last night's shows fared. Note that both NBC and CBS will have football-related changes once the night's final, time-zone adjusted ratings are released, and that the CBS schedule slipped by a bit more than half an hour in most of the country due to its football overrun.THE SKED: "2 Broke Girls" A Little Less Broke
THE SKED: Week 2 + 1 - ABC Network Scorecard
The third week of a network season is a critical one. Ratings erosion after a series or season premiere is expected and even acceptable, because it's understood that not every viewer drawn by hype and marketing will be a satisfied customer. But a continued fall in Week 3 can be a sign of trouble, and if that decline is from a number that wasn't great to begin with, the trouble could be serious. That being said, let's take a look at where the networks stand as they begin this crucial week. (Note: since only 2 networks debuted their Monday schedules on the season's first official day, we'll include the next Monday in our review of the week.)GRADE: C-plus
THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard
The Sked: SUNDAY RATINGS October 2
ABC saw declines week to week in their 9 and 10 pm dramas, with Desperate Housewives falling 0.3 from last week's premiere to a 2.9 and Pan Am declining 0.6 to a 2.5 (the exact level projected in our ShowBuzzDaily fall ratings forecast). The within-show decline for Pan Am was much lower this week (from a 2.6 at 10:00-10:30 to a 2.4 at 10:30-11:00), suggesting the show might be finding its level in the mid-2 rating area. Not a bad number, but not anything to celebrate. For the night, ABC averaged a 2.3 rating (#4 ranking), down significantly year-to-year. On this night last season (10.3.2010), ABC was #4 with a 3.0 rating: America's Funniest Home Videos (1.9), Extreme Makeover Home Edition (2.6), Desperate Housewives (4.4) and Brothers & Sisters (3.0). CBS had the late afternoon NFL game, which spilled into primetime and gave 60 Minutes a boost (from a 2.3 last week to a 3.5 rating this week (although that 3.5 will probably be adjusted down to a 3.3 or so in the final nationals). The rest of the schedule performed similarly to last week, with the award-winning Good Wife the lowest-rated Sunday scripted show on all networks. Including the NFL runover CBS averaged a 3.1 from 7-11 pm. On this night last year, CBS was #3 with a 3.1 rating: 60 Minutes (2.0), Amazing Race (3.4), Undercover Boss (4.0) and CSI: Miami (3.2).
The FOX animated comedies were down significantly week to week. Last week FOX had a huge NFL rating in the 7 pm hour, but this week repeat comedies filled 7-8 pm (a 2.4 rated Cleveland Show at 7 and a 2.0 for The Simpsons at 7:30). From 7-10 pm FOX averaged a 2.7 last night. Such is the fall for FOX on Sundays as the ratings go up and down depending on which network (CBS or FOX) is carrying the national 4 pm NFL contest. On this night last year, FOX was #2 with a football-inflated 4.7 rating: NFL 4 pm Runover (9.8 rating from 7:00-7:30), The OT (4.6 from 7:30-8:00), The Simpsons (4.2), Cleveland Show (3.1), Family Guy (4.0) and American Dad (3.0).
NBC's preliminary rating for the New York Jets-Baltimore Ravens game is a 7.3, which should go up to around an 8 rating in the final nationals (when all the time zones are accurately tabulated). On this night last year, NBC was #1 with a 6.6 rating in primetime: the Sunday Night Football game averaged an 8.0 rating, while Football Night in America brought down the nightly number.
Exactly two weeks into the season, the battle for first remains fierce. CBS and FOX each have around a 3.1 rating for the first 14 nights, while ABC is around a 2.6 and NBC is around a 2.5. All numbers are pending final national ratings for Friday-Sunday. The CW is averaging a 0.76 rating.
SUNDAY FALL 2011 Estimates Episode Rating
May Sep #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 Avg
ABC
700 AF Home Videos 1.5 1.5 1.5
800 Once Upon Time 2.0 2.0 10/23
900 Desp Housewves 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.9
1000 Pan Am 2.4 2.5 3.1 2.5
CBS
700 60 Minutes 2.4 2.4 2.3 3.5
800 Amazing Race 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.0
900 Good Wife 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.1
1000 CSI Miami 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.3
NBC
815 NFL SNF 7.5 8.1 10.7 10.0 8.3 7.3
FOX
700 Various
730 Various
800 Simpsons 3.1 3.0 3.9 3.0
830 Cleveland Show 2.4 2.3 3.1 2.6
900 Family Guy 3.4 3.3 4.1 3.5
930 American Dad 2.3 2.3 3.0 2.7
Note: the ratings estimates are for original episodes across the entire Fall (from mid-September through mid-December). Generally, a series will premiere at a high level and then settle into a more normal number by week four-six. The important number to look at as the season unfolds is the average-to-date column at the far right. By the time episode four rolls around, look at the average of episodes one-four and you should have a pretty good idea how the fall -- and the entire season -- will sort out.
Special Sunday Note: CBS programs will be a few tenths higher on nights CBS has the 4 pm national NFL game (and the entire schedule is shifted about a half hour later) and a few tenths lower when CBS does not have the late game. When FOX has the 4 pm game, football will go to about 7:30 and The OT will fill until 8 pm, lifting The Simpsons a few tenths. When FOX does not have the 4 pm game, the 8-10 comedies will be slightly lower and comedy repeats will fill the 7 pm hour. New animated comedy Allen Gregory is scheduled to run at 8:30 on October 30, although it could very well be pushed to mid-season.
THE SKED'S PILOT + 1 REVIEW: "Pan Am"
Pan Am is very much the airline that the men of Sterling Cooper would fly on their expense account business trips (before they became the more budget-conscious Sterling Cooper Draper Pryce): sleek, luxurious and loaded with beautiful, interesting women. The second (or "second") episode, written by series creator/Executive Producer Jack Orman and Producer Mike Daniels, and directed by Christopher Misiano (like Orman, a veteran of ER), follows the flight plan of the pilot, with the first two-thirds set on an overseas flight (this time to Paris) interspersed with a few flashbacks, and the last 20 minutes in the city itself
THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard
ABC: All things considered, PAN AM got off to a solid start (insert "good take-off," "little turbulence" or similar pun of choice). Its 3.1, while not enormously impressive, held just about all of what turned out to be a lousy lead-in from DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES, and continued steady through the hour. If it can continue to score in Housewives' neighborhood, the network will be satisfied enough. The Housewives number, however, suggests that the show will limp through its final season, already 20% below last year's average. EXTREME MAKEOVER had to compete with football on multiple networks in its first hour, then recovered to last season's average in the second.





