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Showing posts with label pan am. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pan am. Show all posts

THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD




Americans, faced with tragedy, gather around their television sets.  For the death of Whitney Houston, that meant the GRAMMYS.

CBS:  The sudden (and not so sudden) death of Whitney Houston turned the Grammys into An Event that transcended the usual awards-plus-glamor formula, and the result was a giant 14.1 rating, more than 2 rating points higher than last year's Academy Awards (and given this year's Oscar prospects, almost certain to be the season's highest-rated awards show).  Beyond the ratings, the show will undoubtedly give a huge boost in sales to the artists (especially the night's It Girl, Adele) who performed or won awards during the broadcast.  (A side note:  although advertisers are guaranteed a minimum rating for their commercials, and receive compensation if those numbers aren't hit, they get the full benefit of unexpectedly high ratings, meaning that all the sponsors of last night's show received windfalls worth millions of dollars.)


ABC:  Every other network suffered accordingly, and none more so than ABC, whose female-skewing lineup is geared to compete with NFL Football, but not with a colossus that attracts that same audience.  ONCE UPON A TIME was down about 10% from the episodes that competed with NFL playoff games, and that was the good news.  DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES hit a low that was 30% below its previous all-time bottom, and the penultimate episode of PAN AM was an embarrassing 0.7.

FOX:  Young guy-skewing shows weren't immune either, and FOX hit season lows across the board.  Its animated schedule was down 20% even from the weeks when CBS aired the late NFL playoff games.

NBC:  The network had basically given up on this night already (it'll launch the new season of Celebrity Apprentice next week), so comparatively speaking, it had the least to lose.  DATELINE and a FEAR FACTOR special did a 1.6 and 1.5, respectively, and on a cost-benefit basis that was probably the most effective competition of the night.

Tonight NBC bites its fingernails, as it waits to find out how many people will come back for a second helping of THE VOICE and, especially, SMASH.  This still being sweeps, the shows face all-new competition on every network.


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THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



NBC comes face-to-face with its post-football Sunday.

NBC:  No doubt the network thought that whatever the quality of its new series version of John Grisham's THE FIRM (and that quality is quite bad), name value alone would bring it an audience.  Well, not so much:  its disastrous 1.4 put it in last place for 2 hours (tied at 10PM with the certain-to-be-canceled Pan Am).  Where the terrible quality does show is in the constant audience departures throughout the show's running time.  The Firm's blight only affected NBC's Sunday as a one-time event, but there's little doubt it will now taint the network's Thursday nights in its regular timeslot.


CBS:  As expected, the Tebow/Steelers showdown (in overtime yet, albeit the shortest overtime in NFL history) was titanic, and not only gave CBS huge a 7PM boost, but also helped out the network's other shows.  THE GOOD WIFE (which conveniently had one of the niftiest episodes of its season) and CSI MIAMI both hit or matched season highs, and the network swept the night.  (Next week the even more dramatic Tebow/New England blockbuster airs on Saturday night, and FOX has the late Sunday game with NY/Green Bay.)

ABC:  Once football was done for the night, the network survived the pyrotechnics pretty well.  ONCE UPON A TIME had its highest rating in more than a month, and even DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES hit one of its best numbers of the season.  Only poor PAN AM continued unable to fly its way out of  what will surely be its terminal turbulence.

FOXTHE SIMPSONS ran directly against the Tebow overtime in most of the country, and got slaughtered, hitting a season low.  After that FAMILY GUY improved, but was still at the low end of its season ratings.

Tonight belongs to ESPN.  With the college football championship game airing, both CBS and FOX will be in repeats, with NBC throwing another helping of WHO'S STILL STANDING, FEAR FACTOR and ROCK CENTER at the wall, while ABC airs the female-skewing BACHELOR and CASTLE

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THE SKED'S MIDSEASON RETURN: "Pan Am"



Although nothing is likely to be official until May, the odds are that PAN AM is heading into its final landing.  The series received a short back order from ABC, and will be off the air after February, when Good Christian Bitches (or whatever they're calling it this week) will take its Sunday 10PM slot.  Nevertheless, the studio and producers can still hope for the best, so let's see how the series returned from its winter break.

WHERE WE LEFT OFF:  The team was very busy in London:  Colette (Karine Vanasse) had finally hooked up with pilot Dean (Mike Vogel); budding photographer Laura (Margot Robbie) would have become involved with First Officer Ted (Michael Mosley) if only he hadn't reacquainted himself with a pretty old family friend (played by Ashley Greene, from the Twilight movies); lefty Maggie (Christina Ricci) found herself attracted to a Republican congressman and managed to burn down his hotel room, but in a cute way (don't ask); and most dramatically, stewardess/part-time CIA and MI6 agent Kate (Kelli Garner) killed an opposing agent in the course of a mission.


WHERE WE ARE:  All the previous episode's plotlines moved forward.  The Dean/Collette relationship was set asunder by the reemergence of the original stewardess/part-time CIA and MI6 agent Bridget (Annabelle Wallis), whom Dean at first resisted but then, after she confessed all, fell into the arms of.  Ted continued to fall for Greene, much to Laura's heartbreak (although the promo for next week made pretty clear why Ted's new relationship won't be lasting very long).  Maggie couldn't help herself from giving into her attraction for the Republican, who had such an inspiring back-story that he may turn up on the New Hampshire primary ballot on Tuesday.  And Kate successfully passed a polygraph even though she was lying about not having shot the other agent, and after insisting she wanted out of the spy business, she only needed a short MI6 pep talk before throwing herself back into it.

Pan Am is more likable than plenty of shows on network air, and it has an exceptionally charming cast and great production values.  But it's never found a reason to exist, or a straightforward tone.  The mix of glossy romance and Cold War spy story has now had half a season to fit together without ever coming close, and the retro 60s setting (tonight featured sore-thumb references to the Beatles and the start of Robert Redford's Broadway career) has had no point of view other than cutesy nostalgia.  Pan Am has had everything a show needs to work except a strong creative voice, and that was the one thing it needed most.

It'll be a bit of a shame to see the series go--based on its pilot, Good Christian Bitches looks strident and buffoonish in comparison--but one can't really say that a TV treasure is being lost.  Pan Am never mastered its own flight plan.

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THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



Another Sunday where there was football... and then everything else.

FOX:  The early evening received a massive boost from the Giants vs. Green Bay game, which went down to the last second.  That lifted THE SIMPSONS, ALLEN GREGORY and FAMILY GUY mightily although Gregory was still down 40% from the Simpsons number.


ABC:  These are the perils of preempting your regular schedule for weeks in a row:  ONCE UPON A TIME, DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES and PAN AM all hit season lows on their return.  This was particularly troublesome for Once, because it did air last week and still went down another 10% from that number, losing to FOX for the hour.  The night gets even messier from here on, as Housewives and Pan Am won't be back till January, but Once airs another new episode next week.

CBS:  Very stable, although CSI MIAMI was up a bit. 

NBC:  The network is entering the "flex" part of its football schedule, which allows it within certain limits to pick the games it wants to air on Sundays.  Last night's Detroit vs New Orleans game must have looked better on paper than it played, because although of course NBC won the night, it was one of the lower-rated games of the season.  But next week's Giants vs Cowboys game, a match-up of marquee teams with real playoff implications, should be a much bigger event.  The bad news:  only 4 more weeks of regular season games left for the Peacock.

Tonight, CBS airs a regular schedule (including what should be a pivotal episode of HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER) against preemptions elsewhere:  a SING-OFF Christmas special on NBC, CHARLIE BROWN CHRISTMAS and PREP AND LANDING cartoons on ABC, and the AMERICAN COUNTRY AWARDS on FOX.  

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THE SKED: ABC MIDSEASON - UPDATE: "Pan Am" Crashes; "Cougar Town" Diminishes


UPDATEThe other shoe is falling on COUGAR TOWN, and it's not a good fit:  ABC has cut the show's order from 22 episodes to 15, and will announce its timeslot at the TCA in January.  Deadline says it may be put into the Tuesday 8:30PM slot behind LAST MAN STANDING, which would be a mismatch of historic proportions.  Rebel Network (see below)--your time may be coming!
 

ABC has announced a slate of midseason premieres, and what's missing may be more notable than what's there.  There was no mention of the returning COUGAR TOWN on the schedule, nor the new (and based on its pilot, exceptionally promising) sitcom APT 23, not to mention Shonda Rhimes' Washington drama SCANDAL.  Vulture says that according to their inside source, Cougar Town will in fact be on the air on February or March, so for now at least we can hit "Pause" on our plan for a new rebel network that starts out with Community, Cougar Town and the return of Arrested Development.  


As for what the network did announce:

SUNDAY:  As had been anticipated since the Upfronts, ABC will give GCB (which is really GOOD CHRISTIAN BITCHES but the Parents Television Council won't let the network say so) the post-DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES slot on Sundays 10PM starting March 4, and then hope it can be the successor to that show's fading audience.  The last show to get a shot at that throne, PAN AM, was given only one extra episode, bespeaking scheduling needs rather than any real encouragement.  Although the show isn't officially dead, ABC's development season would have to be awfully bad for it to come back.

MONDAY:  No changes, but the next cycle of DANCING WITH THE STARS will debut March 19, giving The Voice plenty of time to settle into its Monday slot on NBC, since it starts the night after the Super Bowl.

TUESDAY:  Say goodbye to the awful MAN UP!--and now say hello to the even more dreadful (based on the pilot) WORK IT, a cross dressing comedy that may even now be making Billy Wilder's gravestone weep.  It's inheriting the post-LAST MAN STANDING slot to cement ABC's Tuesday 8-9PM as the worst comedy hour on television.  At 9PM, CELEBRITY WIFE SWAP will have a 5 week run starting in January, then the effectively creepy THE RIVER will take over for 7 weeks until the DANCING WITH THE STARS results show returns to the hour.  BODY OF PROOF only received an extra order of 3 episodes, so the 10PM slot will open up early in 2012, meaning that may be where Scandal (or whatever currently inhabits Scandal's slot) will go.

WEDNESDAY:  You don't mess with what's working:  no changes.

THURSDAY:  In the troublesome 8PM slot, WINTER WIPEOUT will run Jan-March, and then THE MISSING, which looks to be Ashley Judd as Liam Neeson in Taken, takes over.

FRIDAYSHARK TANK replaces the 8PM hour of EXTREME MAKEOVER in February.

SATURDAY:  If Cougar Town and Apt 23 go here, I'm starting a boycott.  (They won't.)

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THE SKED'S SUNDAY NETWORK SCORECARD




Sunday... when NBC can close its eyes and pretend it has a functioning schedule.

ABCONCE UPON A TIME is a bona fide, self-starting hit, with another 3.8 that more than doubled its lead-in (and also more than doubled the similarly-themed Grimm on Fridays).  This may have helped DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES and PAN AM a bit, since were both were slightly up.  However, those 2 shows won't be airing again for 3 weeks (preempted by the American Music Awards and a Mitch Albom TV movie), and that's always dangerous.  The promos for the next Pan Am are already putting into play the old "The Episode That Will Change Everything" gambit for December 4, in the hope of garnering some interest.  (On a somewhat related note, anyone with access to Showtime should be watching HOMELAND, whether in its initial Sunday 10PM run or otherwise, because it's the best drama on television right now.)


FOXALLEN GREGORY has been consistent but unimpressive, the lowest rated show on FOX's animation line-up.  (Bob's Burgers, which had a similar Sunday trial run last year and was renewed,  averaged 20% better than Allen Gregory.)

CBS:  After last week's blip, CSI MIAMI is back to doing slightly better than THE GOOD WIFE, but neither is very strong.  On Thanksgiving weekend, the network will experiment with reruns of Person of Interest in the 9-11PM hours, and that may (or may not) be a foretelling of changes to come.

NBC:  New England vs the Jets is a marquee match-up, but the game turned into a blow-out and the week's number was down from the past 2 weeks.  Next Sunday the network gets Philadelphia vs. the Giants, another strong pairing.  The clock is starting to tick toward the end of football season, though...

Tonight's number to watch is TERRA NOVA, which has yet to recover from its baseball preemptions.  

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THE SKED: Sunday Network Scorecard



Another Sunday, or as NBC likes to think of it, The Only Night That Should Count.

ABCONCE UPON A TIME barely slipped from last week, proving its full season pick-up was well deserved.  DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES continues its limp to the finish line, while the only good news for PAN AM is that CBS's unexpected slump at 10PM made it competitive in the timeslot.  


FOX:   The "Treehouse of Horror" episode of THE SIMPSONS is traditionally high-rated, so no surprise that the show was down this week even with a football lead-in.  ALLEN GREGORY did as well holding its own lead-in as it did last week, with both shows down 0.3, but that's still a loss of almost 45% of the Simpsons audience.

CBS:  The odd blip of the night was that even though THE GOOD WIFE was up slightly at 9PM, CSI MIAMI took a dive at 10, and actually fell below its lead-in for the first time all season.  Meaningless, perhaps, but it'll be something for the network to be concerned about if things don't correct themselves next week.

NBC:  Ah, football.  If only the network could figure out a spinoff...

Tonight FOX will be scrutinizing the TERRA NOVA and HOUSE numbers and hoping that last week's poor showings were a post-baseball exception.

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THE SKED:: ABC Hands Out Halloween Candy Corn Pick-Ups

ABC was in a giving mood today, and the swag was full season pick-ups.  ONCE UPON A TIME, of course, has already richly earned its extra episodes with 2 splendid weeks of ratings.  HAPPY ENDINGS probably cemented its claim last night, when it shot up half a ratings point from the last time it had an original Modern Family lead-in and marked its third straight strong outing--the ABC Wednesday night line-up may not be the highest rated comedy block of the week (Monday on CBS gets that title), but more and more, it's looking like the one with the highest quality (sorry, NBC Thursdays)--and they still have the return of Cougar Town and the highly promising pilot Don't Trust the Bitch in Apt. 23 in the tank.  And then there's LAST MAN STANDING, which would have had to be an utter disaster not to get a pick-up... instead of a huge disappointment, which is what it merely is.  


Anyone who wants to see PAN AM survive had better tune in to the next couple of episodes, because at this point in the season, the network's order of 5 additional scripts but no new episodes is more of a Hail Mary than a vote of confidence.  And the lack of any new investment in MAN UP! tells you all you need to know.

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THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard



The fairy tale continues for one of this season's new arrivals.

ABC:  The back order for ONCE UPON A TIME should be arriving any minute.  The fantasy soap has clearly found an audience sweet spot, and even with what will probably be the season's strongest Simpsons as competition (not to mention NBC's football and a CBS schedule boosted by the late afternoon game), it held beautifully in its second week.  In an ideal parallel universe for the network, the show would lift DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES and PAN AM by more than 0.1 each, but ABC will take its happy ending as it comes.

FOX:  The SIMPSONS Treehouse of Horror episode outrated last year's installment (4.0 to 3.7), but that didn't do anything for the debut of ALLEN GREGORY, which won't be long for the schedule with numbers like last night's 2.4.  (Probably not coincidentally, FOX chose today to announce a back 9 order for Season 2 of Bob's Burgers; clearly the network knew it would have some space to fill on Sundays.)

CBS:  Football and a promotable 60 MINUTES helped the early part of the evening, but GOOD WIFE and CSI MIAMI aren't budging from the 2 neighborhood this season, and it remains to be seen whether the network will find that acceptable in the long term.

NBC:  Not a good game, as it turned out, but the presence of 2 marquee teams did wonders for the network's football rating compared to the past couple of weeks.

Tonight brings some depressed ratings due to Halloween, and the arrival of the NBC news series ROCK CENTER, not to be confused with the NBC comedy series 30 Rock.  No, really--don't confuse them.

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THE SKED: CBS and Its Unforgettable Back Orders of Interest

It was a good day for most of the bubble shows on the CBS schedule, as the network handed out back-orders to UNFORGETTABLE and PERSON OF INTEREST (joining 2 Broke Girls).  Neither of these shows are performing very impressively--Unforgettable is doing about as well in its Tuesday 10PM slot as The Good Wife did last year, and that show was moved to another night; Person Of Interest is below CSI's score both last year in its Thursday 9PM slot and this season in its new home of Wednesday 10PM.  But both are Good Enough:  CBS tends to be patient in any case, neither is flopping, and the network has a slim bench of midseason 1-hours (just the cop show The 2-2) to play with.


Conspicuously absent from the announcement was any news about the remaining new CBS series A GIFTED MAN--not even an order for additional scripts.  This can't be good, although the show will continue to get some more rope on Friday nights before said rope is cut.

In other back order news, reports are that PAN AM will get some breathing room from ABC despite its languishing ratings, now that a new showrunner is being added to the flight crew.  Steven Maeda is a veteran of CSI Miami, Miami Medical and Lie To Me, and one assumes that his arrival will also mean a new creative tone for the series, hopefully including some consistency about whether it's a soap or a spy thriller.

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THE SKED; Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard



Once upon a time in the fairy-tale world of broadcast television, there was a network that got exactly what it most wished for...

ABC:  And that network was ABC.  ONCE UPON A TIME launched beautifully against male-skewing football and baseball, and was actually within hailing distance of the first half hour of the World Series and Sunday Night Football at 8:30PM (admittedly a wicked witch had cursed the football game, but we'll get to that).  Next week the competition gets a lot tougher with the traditionally very strong "Treehosue of Horror" episode of The Simpsons, but for now it's a tremendous success story.  Once Upon A Time even lifted the leaky boat of DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES to a more tolerable level, although it couldn't do anything for PAN AM, which won't last forever with its current sub-2 rating.


CBS:  The network had the late afternoon football game, so 60 MINUTES received a boost.  THE GOOD WIFE was down by a tick, which isn't good when you don't have many ticks to spare.  CSI MIAMI was also down, but that's probably attributable to the unusual baseball competition on FOX.

FOX:  I'm probably representative of much of America in finding it interesting to hear that this year's Series is a good one, but not enough to actually watch a game.  The Series to date is barely avoiding baseball's basement, but Game 6 should perk up on Wednesday, and a Game 7 would make FOX's month.

NBCSUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL is disproportionately important for NBC due to the awfulness of its regular schedule, so a game that starts out with a 2-touchdown point spread and turns into a 55-point blowout is a nightmare.  Next week's game should rebound somewhat, as Dallas and Philadelphia are both marquee teams despite their mediocre records this season.

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THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard


On a night when the most interesting rating is likely to be on cable (the return of Walking Dead on AMC), there wasn't much good news for any broadcast network.

ABCONCE UPON A TIME is premiering 8PM next Sunday, and the night is hardly set up for the new arrival as the network must have hoped.  Although DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES seems to have found its level, that's a painful 30% below last year's average.  PAN AM crept down again, to a lowly 1.8, and given the serialized nature of the show, it's going to be awfully difficult to get that number up.  Creatively, while the show continues to look great visually, it's still having trouble finding compelling storylines, and the espionage plots are an uncomfortable fit with the overall soapy nature of the series.


FOX:  An uncharacteristic night, with X FACTOR airing what should have been last Thursday's episode (which was bumped by Wednesday's episode, which was bumped by an unexpectedly late baseball game...).  All things considered, a 3.3 rating is nothing to feel bad about.  FOX is in the midst of the trickiest part of its fall:  a St. Louis vs. Texas World Series is unlikely to be high-rated, and X Factor will be forced to Tuesdays for 2 weeks while baseball plays out its actual and potential games.  

CBS:  One thing to keep in mind about THE GOOD WIFE is that although its 2.1 rating is mediocre, the network may be able to charge a premium to advertisers if the show gets (as it very well might) an upscale, high-income audience.  CSI MIAMI is still running below last year's average, but it had a welcome uptick last night.  

NBC:  Last night's blowout featuring two teams with losing records was probably as low as SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL can get (although next Sunday, with the Manning-less sad-sack Colts, may not be much better), and it still won the night easily.  However, since football is now propping up NBC's entire schedule, a relatively low-rated game can dent the week's average.

Tonight FOX will hope TERRA NOVA and HOUSE can rebound from their delayed-by-baseball airings last week.

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The Sked: SUNDAY RATINGS October 16

A sub-par Sunday Night Football game turned in a 5.7 Adult 18-49 rating in the fast nationals last night on NBC.  The game will probably go up to a 6.0 or 6.1 in the official nationals, enough to win the night but far away from the 10 rating for competitive games.

FOX benefited from a 6.7 fast national rating in the 7-8 hour from the long late afternoon national NFL game.  (That should go up to well over a 7 in the official nationals Tuesday morning.)  But it didn't help the special original telecast of The X Factor from 8-10 pm (3.3 rating).  There was a chance baseball would have bumped The X Factor yet again last night, but Game 7 of the American League Championship Series was not necessary when the Texas Rangers knocked out the Detroit Tigers on Saturday in Game 6.  All this disruption to The X Factor will probably keep it from hitting a 4 rating again for several weeks.


CBS averaged a 2.2 rating for the night, down 0.3 from the last time it did not have a late Sunday afternoon football game (September 25).  The network averaged a 3.3 rating from 7-11 pm on Sundays when it did have the late game to both disrupt and prop up its Sunday lineup.

ABC has stablized at a 2.0 rating for the night (four-week track: 2.5...2.3...2.0...2.0).   Desperate Housewives turned in a 2.7 and Pan Am a 1.8 last night (both down 0.1 from last week, but both likely candidates for a 0.1 upgrade in the official nationals). 

Season to date (four full weeks into the season), CBS is #1 with a 2.9 and FOX a very close second with a 2.85 rating.  NBC and ABC are tied for third (both at a 2.4), while The CW is averaging a 0.75.

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THE SKED: Sunday Ratings Report & Network Scorecard


We'll have an updated chart with specific ratings and trends up later today, but meanwhile here's a rundown on how last night's shows fared.  Note that both NBC and CBS will have football-related changes once the night's final, time-zone adjusted ratings are released, and that the CBS schedule slipped by a bit more than half an hour in most of the country due to its football overrun.

ABC:  The night's big headline was that PAN AM is now seriously in trouble.  It had a 1.9 rating last night, which continues a troubling trend for the show (3.1, 2.5, 1.9), and it's running 35% below Brothers & Sisters last season (which, remember, was cancelled for those numbers).  Any further decline and the show's flight could have an unexpected--and final--landing.  Its lead-in DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES was no great shakes either, with a 2.7 rating that continued its own decline (3.2, 2.9, 2.7).  It's now an awful 40% below last season's average, although still the highest scripted performer of the night.  Earlier in the evening, EXTREME MAKEOVER:  HOME EDITION had a 2.0 on one of its final Sunday appearances, and AMERICA'S FUNNIEST HOME VIDEOS was down slightly to a 1.4.  

CBS:  As noted, a football overrun will likely shift some of these numbers.  As of now, THE GOOD WIFE appears to be steady or up slightly from last week with a 2.2, but CSI MIAMI looks to be disturbingly down to a 2.0 (from 2.3 in the past 2 weeks), which would be off an ugly 45% from last year's average.  In earlier shows, THE AMAZING RACE appears to be down a bit to a 2.7 (from 3.0 in the past 2 weeks), which is about 10% off last year's pace, and SIXTY MINUTES, as of now, appears to be slightly up to 3.6 from last week's 3.5 (but was the show most directly affected by the football overrun).

NBC:  Its NFL FOOTBALL number will also be affected by time-zone modification.  As of now, it's at a 7.9, which would be up from last week's game but down from the previous 3 weeks (10.0, 10.7, 8.3, 7.3).

FOX:  The baseball playoff game was waylaid by rain, forcing a last minute substitution of CLEVELAND SHOW and X-FACTOR reruns.  Consequently, it wasn't a factor with a 1.0 average.

Come back later for more detailed ratings and analysis...

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THE SKED: "2 Broke Girls" A Little Less Broke


In one of the least surprising developments of the young season, CBS has given a full season back-order to 2 BROKE GIRLS. Considering that the show did a 4.4 this past week, and NBC has given back orders to UP ALL NIGHT (2.1) and WHITNEY (2.5), it would be an understatement to say that the vote of confidence is deserved.



Now that CBS, NBC and FOX (with NEW GIRL) have rewarded their new shows with early pick-ups, who's next?  If THE SECRET CIRCLE holds up tomorrow night, expect CW to move quickly on a back order.  ABC may have to wait a little longer to see where their shows are headed, but if SUBURGATORY holds up anywhere close to its premiere number, it'll have a good shot, and either or both of PAN AM and REVENGE should get good news if their ratings stabilize at current levels.

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THE SKED: Week 2 + 1 - ABC Network Scorecard


The third week of a network season is a critical one.  Ratings erosion after a series or season premiere is expected and even acceptable, because it's understood that not every viewer drawn by hype and marketing will be a satisfied customer.  But a continued fall in Week 3 can be a sign of trouble, and if that decline is from a number that wasn't great to begin with, the trouble could be serious.  That being said, let's take a look at where the networks stand as they begin this crucial week.  (Note:  since only 2 networks debuted their Monday schedules on the season's first official day, we'll include the next Monday in our review of the week.)

ABC
Thriving:
SUBURGATORY -  Only one airing so far, but it premiered well.

Holdovers - MODERN FAMILY, THE MIDDLE, PRIVATE PRACTICE, CASTLE


Struggling:
REVENGE -  Not really "struggling" yet, but last week's drop was worrisome.  The question is whether it can stop the fall.

PAN AM -  Same here.  It's won the battle of the 1960s shows, and it's beating CBS, but the ratings need to hold where they are now.

GREY'S ANATOMY - As with Glee, this show is still a hit, but it's substantially less of one than it used to be.

DANCING WITH THE STARS - The question is whether this disastrous cycle is just an aberration of bad casting, or if it signals the beginning of the end for this show.  That would be seriously bad news for a network that needs it to fill multiple hours per week.

Holdovers - BODY OF PROOF, HAPPY ENDINGS

Dying:
CHARLIE'S ANGELS - No one cared to see a remake of this, and besides, it's not any good.  Now that NBC has issued the season's first cancellation, expect this one to be close behind.

DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES - Dead show walking!  No one expected it to go out as dismally as it has.  A warning of the perils of hanging on for one season too many.
 
GRADE:  C-plus
 

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THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard


It was a good night to be airing football.

ABC:  PAN AM has moved swiftly from "potential hit" to "possible survivor," but it's not time to bring out the air sickness bags just yet.  The real culprit of the night was DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES, which was down a staggering 35% from last year's season average.  Pan Am only lost about 15% of the Housewives rating, a very acceptable drop (last year Brothers & Sisters doubled that decline), and it's still beating CSI Miami in the timeslot.  If Pan Am can hold where it is, ABC will call it a win.  However, we won't really know what ABC's Sunday looks like until the end of October, when ONCE UPON A TIME replaces EXTREME MAKEOVER in the lineup.


CBS:  Not only was the 7PM hour boosted by football runover, but 60 MINUTES also included Andy Rooney's much-hyped final "few minutes," so its number was a one-time event.  THE GOOD WIFE's ratings seem to have stabilized, basically at the same level that it was performing last spring on Tuesdays. It's way below what Undercover Boss and CSI MIAMI were doing last fall on Sundays--however, Undercover plummeted as the season went on, and CSI MIAMI followed suit, so the network is more or less where it was late last season.

FOX:  THE SIMPSONS and FAMILY GUY were about 10% below last year's season averages, but that will even out over the course of the fall as the networks rotate the late football games.

NBC:  Football = Victory.  (Unless you're a Jets fan.)

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The Sked: SUNDAY RATINGS October 2

Aside from NFL Sunday Night Football, there is nothing close to a dominant show on the night.  A lot of mid-2 and low-3 rated shows.  Even with the football competition, the night is filled with opportunity to build off the moderate successes. 



ABC saw declines week to week in their 9 and 10 pm dramas, with Desperate Housewives falling 0.3 from last week's premiere to a 2.9 and Pan Am declining 0.6 to a 2.5 (the exact level projected in our ShowBuzzDaily fall ratings forecast).  The within-show decline for Pan Am was much lower this week (from a 2.6 at 10:00-10:30 to a 2.4 at 10:30-11:00), suggesting the show might be finding its level in the mid-2 rating area.  Not a bad number, but not anything to celebrate.  For the night, ABC averaged a 2.3 rating (#4 ranking), down significantly year-to-year.  On this night last season (10.3.2010), ABC was #4 with a 3.0 rating: America's Funniest Home Videos (1.9), Extreme Makeover Home Edition (2.6), Desperate Housewives (4.4) and Brothers & Sisters (3.0).      



CBS had the late afternoon NFL game, which spilled into primetime and gave 60 Minutes a boost (from a 2.3 last week to a 3.5 rating this week (although that 3.5 will probably be adjusted down to a 3.3 or so in the final nationals).  The rest of the schedule performed similarly to last week, with the award-winning Good Wife the lowest-rated Sunday scripted show on all networks.  Including the NFL runover CBS averaged a 3.1 from 7-11 pm.  On this night last year, CBS was #3 with a 3.1 rating: 60 Minutes (2.0), Amazing Race (3.4), Undercover Boss (4.0) and CSI: Miami (3.2).

The FOX animated comedies were down significantly week to week.  Last week FOX had a huge NFL rating in the 7 pm hour, but this week repeat comedies filled 7-8 pm (a 2.4 rated Cleveland Show at 7 and a 2.0 for The Simpsons at 7:30).  From 7-10 pm FOX averaged a 2.7 last night.  Such is the fall for FOX on Sundays as the ratings go up and down depending on which network (CBS or FOX) is carrying the national 4 pm NFL contest.  On this night last year, FOX was #2 with a football-inflated 4.7 rating: NFL 4 pm Runover (9.8 rating from 7:00-7:30), The OT (4.6 from 7:30-8:00), The Simpsons (4.2), Cleveland Show (3.1), Family Guy (4.0) and American Dad (3.0).

NBC's preliminary rating for the New York Jets-Baltimore Ravens game is a 7.3, which should go up to around an 8 rating in the final nationals (when all the time zones are accurately tabulated).  On this night last year, NBC was #1 with a 6.6 rating in primetime: the Sunday Night Football game averaged an 8.0 rating, while Football Night in America brought down the nightly number.

Exactly two weeks into the season, the battle for first remains fierce.  CBS and FOX each have around a 3.1 rating for the first 14 nights, while ABC is around a 2.6 and NBC is around a 2.5.  All numbers are pending final national ratings for Friday-Sunday.  The CW is averaging a 0.76 rating


SUNDAY FALL 2011    Estimates         Episode Rating     
                    May   Sep   #1   #2   #3   #4   #5   #6   Avg
ABC
 700 AF Home Videos 1.5   1.5   1.5

 800 Once Upon Time 2.0   2.0   10/23
 900 Desp Housewves 3.7   3.5   3.2  2.9
1000 Pan Am         2.4   2.5   3.1  2.5 
CBS
 700 60 Minutes     2.4   2.4   2.3  3.5
 800 Amazing Race   2.9   2.8   3.0  3.0

 900 Good Wife      2.6   2.4   2.2  2.1
1000 CSI Miami      2.7   2.6   2.3  2.3
NBC
 815 NFL SNF        7.5   8.1   10.7 10.0 8.3  7.3
FOX
 700 Various    
 730 Various        
 800 Simpsons       3.1   3.0   3.9  3.0   

 830 Cleveland Show 2.4   2.3   3.1  2.6
 900 Family Guy     3.4   3.3   4.1  3.5
 930 American Dad   2.3   2.3   3.0  2.7


Note:  the ratings estimates are for original episodes across the entire Fall (from mid-September through mid-December).  Generally, a series will premiere at a high level and then settle into a more normal number by week four-six.  The important number to look at as the season unfolds is the average-to-date column at the far right.  By the time episode four rolls around, look at the average of episodes one-four and you should have a pretty good idea how the fall -- and the entire season -- will sort out.   

Special Sunday Note: CBS programs will be a few tenths higher on nights CBS has the 4 pm national NFL game (and the entire schedule is shifted about a half hour later) and a few tenths lower when CBS does not have the late game. When FOX has the 4 pm game, football will go to about 7:30 and The OT will fill until 8 pm, lifting The Simpsons a few tenths.  When FOX does not have the 4 pm game, the 8-10 comedies will be slightly lower and comedy repeats will fill the 7 pm hour.  New animated comedy Allen Gregory is scheduled to run at 8:30 on October 30, although it could very well be pushed to mid-season.

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THE SKED'S PILOT + 1 REVIEW: "Pan Am"


A lot can happen between the creation of a TV pilot in the spring and production of episodes for the regular season:  a writing/producing team is hired, audience focus groups weigh in, networks and studios (which may have had their own turnover in the off-season) give plenty of notes, both helpful and otherwise, and critics begin to rear their ugly heads.  The results can include changes to tone, pace, casting and even story.  Here at THE SKED, we're going to look past the pilots and present reviews of the first regular episodes of this year's new series as well.

Previously... on PAN AM:  In the early 1960s, 4 stewardesses fly glamorously from continent to continent, hungry for adventure and juggling personal issues.  Maggie (Christina Ricci) is a Greenwich Village intellectual who puts on the Pan Am girdle to see the world; Colette (Karine Vanasse) has been having an affair with a married man; and Kate (Kelli Garner) and Laura (Margot Robbie) are sisters--Kate helped her younger sibling escape the conformity of her wedding day, but the two have jealousy issues.  Also, a fifth stewardess named Bridget (Annabelle Wallis) has vanished, and it turns out she's been working for the CIA and MI5 as a spy--and now Kate is her replacement.


Episode 2:  A very smooth flight, all things considered.  The main change from the original version of the pilot is that Dean, the pilot at the head of our heroines' crew, has been recast with Mike Vogel--he's fine, but this show belongs first and foremost to its women.  Also, as with last week's Charlie's Angels, ABC moved this episode up from being 3d to air to 2d, which since Pan Am is somewhat serialized, required some deft editing to avoid references to things we won't see till next week. (This presumably means we shouldn't get our hopes up for the quality of next week's episode.)

Pan Am is very much the airline that the men of Sterling Cooper would fly on their expense account business trips (before they became the more budget-conscious Sterling Cooper Draper Pryce):  sleek, luxurious and loaded with beautiful, interesting women.  The second (or "second") episode, written by series creator/Executive Producer Jack Orman and Producer Mike Daniels, and directed by Christopher Misiano (like Orman, a veteran of ER), follows the flight plan of the pilot, with the first two-thirds set on an overseas flight (this time to Paris) interspersed with a few flashbacks, and the last 20 minutes in the city itself

The episode resolves several of the stories set up in the pilot, while setting up some new ones.  Kate's spy intrigue this time leads her to a reunion with Bridget, who explains that she had been compromised on a previous mission and now has to go into the spy equivalent of witness protection with a new identity (presumably taking her out of the show); meanwhile, now that Dean, who had been in love with Bridget, and Colette, who's done with her married boyfriend, are both single, the two of them seem aimed for romance.  In the other main plotline, Kate and Laura's mother shows up as a passenger on the flight, and she's brought Laura's ex-fiance to Paris.  By episode's end, Laura has told her ex that the two of them are really over, and Kate and her mother have had a heart-to-heart.  There's also a nod to Mad Menesque sexual mores when a boozy passenger makes a pass at Maggie and she stabs him with a fork.

It's likely to take a bit of time for Pan Am to balance its triple goals of telling soapy stories, mixing in some espionage, and tackling the changing era of the 60s.  Right now, it's an uncertain mix--the spy story feels like it was carried in bodily from another show, and any time the series invites direct comparison to Mad Men, it's asking for trouble.  Also, both the pilot and initial episode weirdly underuse Christina Ricci, who's supposed to be the star of the ensemble.  Still, the show is entertaining enough to make its bumpy take-off endurable.  The women are far less bluntly drawn than their parallels on The Playboy Club, and there's some bright dialogue and breezier storytelling. The production design and photography are pure pleasure to watch, perhaps not achieving the stunning artistry of, yes, Mad Men, but far more accomplished than Playboy Club.

Pan Am got off to a good ratings start last week, and we'll know soon enough how many passengers boarded for the connecting flight.  So far, it's one of the season's higher-flying new dramas.

Original Verdict:  If Nothing Else Is On...

Pilot + 1:  Gaining Altitude

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THE SKED: Sunday Ratings - Network Scorecard



The season's first week came to an end with more of a whimper than a bang.

ABC:  All things considered, PAN AM got off to a solid start (insert "good take-off," "little turbulence" or similar pun of choice).  Its 3.1, while not enormously impressive, held just about all of what turned out to be a lousy lead-in from DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES, and continued steady through the hour.  If it can continue to score in Housewives' neighborhood, the network will be satisfied enough.  The Housewives number, however, suggests that the show will limp through its final season, already 20% below last year's average.  EXTREME MAKEOVER had to compete with football on multiple networks in its first hour, then recovered to last season's average in the second.


CBS:  During football season, preliminary numbers for CBS on Sundays are tricky, because unlike FOX, CBS allows its entire schedule to slide after the late game ends.  So THE GOOD WIFE, which was the major event of its evening, didn't actually air at 9PM in parts of the country.  Based on current numbers, though, the show appears to have made an unimpressive move to Sunday, below last season's average and down from its AMAZING RACE lead-in (as well as from what Undercover Boss was doing in the slot most of last season) .  Race seems to be around its average, but the 60 MINUTES number is particularly suspect because football overruns aired in its first scheduled half-hour.  CSI MIAMI, burdened by its lead-in and aging too, appears to be well below last season's average. With A Gifted Man already looking weak on Fridays, it may not be too long before CBS contemplates getting Good Wife off Sundays and moving it to that night.

FOX:  Their animation line-up thrives with a football lead-in and the young male audience it carries, and everything scored above average last night. 

NBC:  Between now and January, let's just assume that NBC always wins Sunday nights, OK?  Even though last night's game wasn't quite the event it was expected to be, thanks to Peyton Manning's injury (although it was still a good, close game), as usual it devoured everything in is path. 

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