SHOWBUZZDAILY @ PALEYFEST 2012: "The Vampire Diaries"
THE SKED: CW's Finale Schedule
THE SKED'S MIDSEASON RETURN: "The Vampire Diaries"
THE SKED'S MIDSEASON RETURN: "The Secret Circle"
THE SKED: UPDATED - CW Declares All-Out Victory; NBC Rewards the Undead
SHOWBUZZDAILY MUSIC: "Secret Circle" Leaves Me Sighing From Too Much Trying
THE SKED'S PILOT + 1 REVIEW: "Hart of Dixie"
THE SKED: Week 1 + 1 - Network Scorecard
FOX: It was all going so well for FOX. NEW GIRL launched as strongly as the network could possibly have wished. X-FACTOR may not be a blockbuster, but it looks like it'll provide 2 solid nights of ratings each week and win the marquee night of Thursdays. Despite their age, Sunday's animation anchors are holding up like champions. Even the FRINGE nerds (I'm one of them) showed up for the series premiere. Sure, GLEE seems to have passed its prime, but at least for now it's performing fine. And then came TERRA NOVA, after one airing already on the bubble between disappointment and failure, and with a giant price-tag attached. Still, one bad hour can't undo all the rest of the week: B-plus.THE SKED PILOT REPORT: The CW's "Hart of Dixie" - PREMIERING TONIGHT
Bluebell is a town that seems to pride itself on featuring the highest possible number of Southern cliches. There are the belles who parade around town in Confederate-era gowns and who are led by the lovely Lemon (Jaime King), who's really the meanest of mean girls and whose name really is Lemon (for a more complex version of this character, wait for Bryce Dallas Howard in the upcoming film of The Help)--and hey! the mean girl is also the daughter of the crotchety doctor who owns the other half of Zoe's new practice, and wants to drive her out of town! There's also the local electric system that can't keep two bungalows lit at the same time. And let's not forget the Mayor's pet alligator. By the end of the pilot, Zoe's met her 2 potential love interests, one a hunky lawyer (Scott Porter from Friday Night Lights) who (oops) is engaged to the mean girl, the other a hunky bad boy (Wilson Bethel). After initially wanting to run back to New York, she delivers a baby and darned if she doesn't realize that she can become a better human being and a better doctor by staying in a small town. And she's found out the dead old doc's secret, cementing her place in Bluebell.
THE SKED'S PILOT + 1 REVIEW: "The Secret Circle"
THE SKED: TUESDAY Ratings September 20
On CBS, Unforgettable made its debut at 10 pm, winning the time period with a 2.9 demo rating (down 19% from its NCIS: Los Angeles lead-in, however). But a win is a win, and a high-two rating is about what it takes to win most 10 pm time periods, when audiences often turn to their DVRs, switch over to cable, or just go to bed.
NBC struggled with the season premiere of Biggest Loser, stuck in the low-2 rating range from 8-10 pm, and winding up with a 2.1 for Parenthood's second outing at 10 pm.
ABC had somewhat better results from 8-10 pm with the Dancing with the Stars special at 8 pm (Meet the Cast) turning in a 2.0 but the live Results show hitting a 2.8 rating. This lead-in advantage was enough to allow Body of Proof (2.3 rating) to edge Parenthood for second place.
On The CW, the second week of 90210 and Ringer settled in under a 1 rating, officially becoming non-factors in their time periods.
Compared to the ShowBuzzDaily ratings projections, all programs on the broadcast networks are running very close to the projected numbers, with the notable exception of New Girl, which does have the potential for breakout status as the fall unfolds. Look for New Girl to come down to a low-4 rating in coming weeks, which is still well ahead of forecast.
TUESDAY FALL 2011 Estimates Episode Rating
May Sep #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 Avg
ABC
800 Last Man Stand 2.7 2.4 10/11
830 Man Up 2.3 2.1 10/18
900 Dancing 3.2 3.1 2.8
1000 Body of Proof 2.4 2.4 2.3
CBS
800 NCIS 3.9 3.9 4.2
900 NCIS LA 3.5 3.5 3.6
1000 Unforgettable 2.8 2.8 2.9
NBC
800 Biggest Loser 2.3 2.3 2.2
900 Biggest Loser 2.7 2.7 2.4
1000 Parenthood 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.1
FOX
800 Glee 4.1 4.0 3.8
830 New Girl 2.9 2.8 4.7
900 Raising Hope 2.7 2.6 3.1
CW
800 90210 n/a n/a 0.9 0.7
900 Ringer n/a n/a 1.2 0.9
THE SKED'S PILOT + 1 REVIEW: "Ringer"
THE SKED: Monday Ratings - Network Scorecard
THE SKED: Broadcast Ratings September 12-18
The week before the big network Premiere Week has NBC in first with about a 2.7 Adult 18-49 rating for the week and the other three major broadcasters at about a 1.7 rating. NBC was helped by another very good Sunday Night Football game (Atlanta defeating Philadelphia in a close contest and the return of Michael Vick to Atlanta) as well as the finale of America's Got Talent and a solid preview of the comedy Up All Night.
ABC stayed in the game thanks to the finale of Wipeout and a terrific 3 rating on Saturday night for college football. FOX had the Primetime Emmy Awards on Sunday at about a 4 rating against NFL football's 9+ rating. The exact number for the Emmy Awards will be available tomorrow after the time zones are tabulated correctly. FOX followed NBC's lead of broadcasting the awards show live in the West at 5 pm PT and replaying the telecast at 8 pm PT (ratings of both feeds in effect are combined). NBC pioneered this format with the Golden Globes and did it again last year when it had the Emmys.
CBS also tied for second for the week with good performances by the Survivor premiere, Big Brother finale, Big Bang Theory repeats (which bodes extremely well for its premiere this week), and a football-delayed 60 Minutes on Sunday. Finally, The CW, with its early premieres of its dramas, almost tripled its weekly average from a 0.3 in the summer to a 0.8 this week.
The new season gets under way TONIGHT with multiple Monday premieres. We will repost our Monday ratings projection later this afternoon.
Estimated Non-Official Weekly Network Averages
Adult 18-49 rating
Week of ABC CBS NBC FOX CW
June 13 1.2 1.1 2.0 1.6 0.3
June 20 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.4 0.3
June 27 1.3 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.3
July 4 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.3
July 11 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.7 0.3
July 18 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.5 0.3
July 25 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.6 0.3
Aug 1 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.3
Aug 8 1.35 1.45 1.22 1.80 0.3
Aug 15 1.28 1.41 1.64 1.81 0.3
Aug 22 1.45 1.67 1.77 1.17 0.3
Aug 29 1.41 1.30 1.25 1.07 0.3
Sep 5 1.38 1.53 3.80 1.52 0.3
Sep 12 1.71 1.67 2.72 1.67 0.8
The second chart below lists the hit network shows by night (those programs at or near a 2.0 Adult 18-49 rating or higher).
ABC Bachelor Pad 1.9
Tue: NBC America's Got Talent 3.8
NBC Parenthood premiere 2.2
ABC Wipeout 2.0
NBC Up All Night preview 3.7
NBC Free Agents preview 2.1
CBS Survivor premiere 3.4
CBS Big Bang Theory repeat 8:30 2.6
Sat: ABC NCAA FB OKLAHOMA-FLORIDA ST 3.0
Sun: NBC NFL PHI-ATL 9.4 (est. from fast national)
FOX Primetime Emmy Awards 4.0 (est. from fast nationals)
CBS 60 Minutes 2.6 (7:30-8:30 est. from fast nationals)
THURSDAY Ratings -- Early Results
Two shows premiered last night, both on The CW. Vampire Diaries returned to a 1.4 Adult 18-49 rating, while Secret Circle debuted at almost the same level (1.3 rating). Last year Vampire Diaries debuted with a 1.6 rating, and we'll need to wait until next week to see if the Vampire Diaries can defend its 1.4 rating against all-original competition on the large networks. See the updated ratings chart below.
THURSDAY FALL 2011 Estimates Episode Rating
May Sep #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 Avg
ABC
800 Charlie's Ang 2.3 2.2 9/22
900 Grey's Anatomy 3.7 3.6 9/22
1000 Private Practi 2.6 2.5 9/29
CBS
800 Big Bang Theor 3.9 4.0 9/22
830 How Gentleman 3.2 2.9 9/29
900 Person Interest3.5 3.5 9/22
1000 Mentalist 3.3 3.3 9/22
NBC
800 Community 1.9 1.9 9/22
830 Parks & Rec 2.1 2.1 9/22
900 The Office 3.1 3.0 9/22
930 Whitney 2.6 2.4 9/22
1000 Prime Suspect 2.5 2.4 9/22
FOX
800 X-Factor 3.4 3.4 9/22
900 Bones 2.5 2.5 11/3
CW
800 Vampire Diar n/a n/a 1.4
900 Secret Circle n/a n/a 1.3
THE SKED PILOT REPORTS: The CW's "Ringer"
THE SKED: The CW Update
THE SKED PILOT REPORT: The CW's "The Secret Circle"
THE SKED: 1st Pre-Look At The CW's New Dramas
DISCLAIMER: These initial impressions are based on the clips (usually 3-5 minutes) released by the networks to use in their Upfront presentations and for promos. They're chosen to sell the show, not to accurately represent it. So take the reactions below with a large satchel of salt--we may well feel differently about these shows once we see the full pilots. That being said, it's also true that these clips are carefully selected to give the best impression possible of a show--if it still doesn't look great, that may not bode well.
RINGER (Tuesday 9PM): Considering that there's talk of a rebooted Buffy the Vampire Slayer movie (wthout Joss Whedon), it's not clear that the target audience at The CW will really feel much nostalgia about Sarah Michelle Gellar returning to her WB/UPN roots. Also, Ringer was actually developed for The CW's sister network CBS, and at first glance, it's a somewhat odd fit for The CW--and particularly with its lead-in 90210. The premise has Gellar, in some kind of desperate trouble, substituting herself for her identical twin sister who's disappeared, only to find out her sister's life is just as dangerous as hers. It feels rather glum by The CW's standards, and older-skewing than their usual fare, but probably the show will be somewhat redeveloped (the pilot's writers are Eric Charmelo and Nicole Snyder of Supernatural) now that it's headed for a new network.
THE SECRET CIRCLE (Thursday 9PM): This one couldn't be a more prototypical CW project: teen witches, based on a novels by L.J. Smith and written/produced by Kevin Williamson, both of the network's runaway hit Vampire Diaries (and not so coincidentally scheduled immediately after Vampire on Thursdays). As of this writing, the only live clip on The CW's website is a 30-second promo, so too soon to say much about the content--we'll update as more material is made available--but it would be a surprise if the show departed much from its successful template.
HART OF DIXIE (Monday 9PM): Think of it as Southern Exposure, or a younger version of ABC's new Good Christian Belles. Rachel Bilson of The OC (produced by Josh Schwartz, who again not so coincidentally also produces Gossip Girl, Dixie's lead-in) plays a NY doctor who finds herself practicing medicine in a small southern town where the natives are colorful and unwelcoming. Bilson was one of the best features of OC even when that show started to slide, and on the basis of the clips, she'll be doing her spunky, charming thing here, this time while curing patients.
Thoughts on The CW Schedule (and Our Predictions)
ABC ANALYSIS CBS ANALYSIS NBC ANALYSIS FOX ANALYSIS CW ANALYSIS
THE SKED: CW
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| NEW SHOWS in BOLD. New Time Periods in Italics. |
CW DRAMAS
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