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Showing posts with label The Sked. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Sked. Show all posts

THE SKED'S PILOT + 1 REVIEW: "GCB"





A lot can happen between the creation of a TV pilot in the spring and production of episodes for the regular season:  a writing/producing team is hired, audience focus groups weigh in, networks and studios (which may have had their own turnover in the off-season) give plenty of notes, both helpful and otherwise, and critics begin to rear their ugly heads.  The results can include changes to tone, pace, casting and even story.  Here at THE SKED, we're going to look past the pilots and present reviews of the first regular episodes of this year's new series as well.

Previously... on GCB:  Amanda (Leslie Bibb) grew up in Dallas, where she was the meanest of the mean girls:  head cheerleader, girlfriend of the quarterback, with a major in making life torture for her less popular classmates.  But when Amanda got pregnant and was rejected by her mother Gigi (Annie Potts), she left town, moved to LA and changed her life.  Now she's a really, really nice person, whose life has been upended by the scandalous death of her husband, leaving her penniless and forced to return to her manipulative mother's home with her teen kids. Worse yet, she discovers that the same girls she bullied in high school have grown up to become at least as bad as Amanda was in her heyday.  Their new queen bee is Carlene (Kristen Chenoweth), who's been transformed by multiple plastic surgeries and who wields her flamboyant Christianity like a battle-axe.  Carlene's lieutenants are Cricket (Miriam Shor), a designer with a (barely) closeted husband (Mark Deklin), and Sharon (Jennifer Aspen), not as svelte as the others and insecure about her own husband (Brad Beyer)--with good reason, since he's already made a move on Amanda.  Meanwhile, realtor Heather (Marisol Nichols) is also in Carlene's group, but the only one somewhat sympathetic to Amanda.  Determined to support herself and unable to get a real job, Amanda has had to work at the show's Hooters knock-off, called Boobylicious, and when Carlene publicly humiliates her at church for taking that job, Amanda does some detective work and humiliates Carlene right back by exposing her as the real owner of Boobylicious.


Episode 2:  We pick up shortly after the events of the pilot, as Carlene tries to recover from her public flailing--naturally, by continuing to try to ruin Amanda's life.  In the case of this episode, written by series creator/showrunner Robert Harling and directed by Victor Nelli, Jr, that means turning Boobylicious into a charitably-minded restaurant where the waitresses wear Amish outfits, inviting Amanda to lunch and then leaving her at a truck stop 80 miles from Dallas, making sure no one attends the lunch Gigi is throwing for Amanda, and only vaguely disagreeing with the idea that Cricket's daughter (Alex Elizabeth Gitter) should join the fun by humiliating Amanda's daughter (Lauren Irion) by naming her a "javalina" (a sort of pig) rather than a "fox," cateogires Amanda herself invented in high school.  By the time the episode is over, most of this has backfired on Carlene and her group.

GCB is almost unwatchably coarse and meanspirited, a festival of nonstop female cruelty and ridicule (written almost exclusively by men) with a couple of minutes of sappy sentiment shoved into the end of each episode.  The show revels in ugliness (tonight's episode featured Sharon, the overweight character, attempting to lure her husband into sex with greasy fried foods), and even for someone neither Christian nor devout, its insistent equation of religion with hypocritical maliciousness feels unseemly.  All of this might be fine if the show were a genuine satire, willing to own its apparent anger and disgust toward its characters, but GCB wants to have it both ways, cloaking its ugly hostility in come-on-we're-just-kidding cutesiness.  

Some glints of talent on the part of the actors fight their way free.  Bibb is an appealing lead, and Potts manages to suggest a beating heart underneath her cartoon character.  But it would be hard to imagine a worse role for Chenoweth.  She has a tendency to be over-the-top anyway unless kept under control.  When she is, as she was on West Wing and sometimes on Pushing Daisies, she can bring something fresh and irresistibly likable to her parts.  Placed here into a role that's exaggerated to begin with, she's quickly becoming a grotesque, painful caricature of herself.  

GCB premiered tepidly last week, and although in its 2d airing it may have a higher lead-in than usual (because of a heavily-promoted killing-a-character episode of Desperate Housewives), it should fade quickly from the air.  It may not be the worst single show of the broadcast season--this was the year, after all, of Work It--but it's close enough.
 
ORIGINAL VERDICT:  Change the Channel

PILOT + 1:  Find A Test Pattern To Watch

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The Sked: MARCH MADNESS -- Ratings Outlook

March Madness, the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament, kicks off this week on CBS and a trio of cable networks (TNT, TBS and TruTV) with University of Kentucky, Michigan State, Syracuse and University of North Carolina the #1 seeds in the four regions.  The ratings impact in prime time is minimal the first week but builds steadily in the second and third weeks as CBS becomes the exclusive broadcaster. 

CBS coverage Thursday, Friday and Saturday nights should average less than a 2 rating with Adults 18-49 this week, similar to last year's format when CBS and the three cable partners split the games with each contest running nationally against the others.  Until 2010, CBS covered the entire tournament and regionalized the games, and if a game was unusually lopsided that section of the country got switched to a more exciting contest.  CBS had higher ratings in the first week in the old format broadcasting solo, but the additional cable partners allow them to afford the entire tournament and keep the crown jewel, the championship game, on over-the-air television.



Next week on Thursday, Friday and Saturday nights CBS should bounce around a 3 rating, while the real value of March Madness is cashed in when the calendar turns to April with a 7 rating or more on Monday, April 2.  Now go fill out your bracket.
    

          NCAA Basketball Tournament  
      Primetime Adult 18-49 Rating (CBS)

               2012    2011    2010    2009
Rounds 1 & 2
   Thu 3.15             1.7     3.5     3.6
   Fri 3.16             1.5     3.4     3.0
   Sat 3.17             1.5     3.6     3.7
Sweet 16 &
 Elite 8
   Thu 3.22             2.5     3.9     3.6
   Fri 3.23             2.7     3.4     3.6
   Sat 3.24             3.5     4.0     3.8
Final Four
   Sat 3.31             5.1     4.8     5.0
   Mon 4.02             7.1     8.2     6.3


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THE SKED @ PALEYFEST 2012: "Revenge"






Despite ABC's attempts to claim otherwise, REVENGE is more "hittish" than true hit.  Although it premiered with strong ratings in the low 3s, it's since come down to numbers in the mid-2s, usually beaten by CSI in their shared Wednesday 10PM timeslot.  But these days, a 2.4-2.5 rating at 10PM is nothing to take lightly, especially compared to other ABC drama entries like The River, Pan Am and (based on its premiere) GCB, none of which could crawl much above a 2.  So while series creator/showrunner Mike Kelley said all the right things at today's PaleyFest session devoted to the show about how he hopes the series comes back for a 2d season, and that there are no guarantees in this business, Revenge has an excellent chance--barring an April/May collapse--to be back.  


The Revenge gathering was notably less boisterous than last night's Vampire Diaries craziness (amusingly, a new caution had been added to the pre-panel introductions today asking fans not to rush the stage when the session was over), as befits its more affluent, and dare I say somewhat older, audience.  Nevertheless, there was enormous enthusiasm for the show's antagonists, vengeful Emily Thorne (Emily Vancamp) and her nemesis Victoria Grayson (Madeleine Stowe), as well as the show's resident hunks Daniel Grayson (Josh Bowman) and Jack Porter (Nick Wechsler) and Emily's oddball partner in vengeance Nolan Ross (Gabriel Mann).  Apart from them and Kelley, participants in the panel included producer Marty Bowen, and performers Henry Czerny (Conrad Grayson), Ashley Madekwe (Ashley Davenport) and the series ingenues, Christa B. Allen (Charlotte Grayson) and Connor Paolo (Declan Porter).  

Only the first 15 minutes or so of the next unaired episode (which won't be seen till April) were screened, and there weren't a lot of full-scale spoilers, although Kelley allowed a cast member to confirm that a terrible thing happening to one character in that 15 minutes was the doing of another character (which had been set up in some dialogue in the portion that was screened). What Kelley did provide was a surprisingly detailed blueprint of how the rest of the season is going to play out structurally. So, STRUCTURAL SPOILER ALERT

The episode that was partly screened, Episode 17, will continue where the previous episode left off, with Daniel in jail for Tyler's murder (if you don't know who Tyler is, catch up) and the preparations for his trial.  Then the show will jump forward several months from September to December, and Episodes 18-19 will cover Daniel's trial, up to and including the verdict.  (The prosecution case will take up "2 minutes" of Episode 18, and from there on the focus will be on Daniel's defense.)  Episode 20 will be something different for the series:  an hour set entirely in the past, dealing with the period in 2002 when Emily was still trying to decide if her father's version of his arrest and conviction was true and when she was meeting her future targets for the first time.  Episode 20 will also include sequences flashing even farther back, to the beginning of the romance between Victoria and David Clarke (Emily's father--pay attention).  Then Episodes 21-22 will lead up to a season-ending cliffhanger, and also set things up for what would be the main storyline of Season 2.  Kelley provided little information about what this would be about, except to note that Daniel Grayson will no longer be the passive character he's mostly been so far, and that the enigmatic Takeda will figure into these episodes.  Kelley added that the plan for next season would be to follow the same structure as Season 1:  a central storyline occupying the first 13-15 episodes, aftermath episodes for the following 4-6 weeks, then an hour or 2 resolving some issues and setting things up for the future.

The panel was mostly breezy and light-hearted, although Stowe made it clear that while she's having a good time playing Victoria, she takes her character very seriously.  (She and Kelley have collaborated on an as-yet unseen backstory for Victoria.)  Most questions were about the storylines, for which Kelley's go-to answer was "If it's not impossible, it could happen."  (This included a query about whether Emily's father might actually be alive.)  The only complaint any of the actors seemed to have was that their respective stories didn't allow them to interact with some of the other characters as much as they'd like (Nolan with the Graysons, Ashley with Emily, etc).  The panel did clear up, though, that there's no way Nolan will turn out to be Emily's brother, however sibling-like their relationship may be.

Coming up at PaleyFest--deep breath, please--on Tuesday night:  the return of MAD MEN.

Previous PaleyFest Columns:


 

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THE SKED: SNL Ratings - Jonah's Not Lindsay






Without the train-wreck possibilities of the previous week's Lindsay Lohan event, SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE's ratings last night were down about 20%.  That's a bit below the season average, suggesting Hill, despite his breakout Moneyball success, still isn't a household name, but the 2.6 in 18-49s was still more than double the rating for any show airing in primetime on Saturday night, so no worries.


SNL now takes a 4-week break, returning on April 7 with Sofia Vergera.  It'll be interesting to see how she fares, as she tries to broaden her appeal beyond Modern Family and soda commercials.

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SHOWBUZZDAILY @ PALEYFEST 2012: "The Vampire Diaries"





When the PaleyFest panels end, cast members often linger for a bit to sign autographs and otherwise make contact with the fans.  Therefore when the moderator says "Thank you" and the lights go up, there's usually a movement of audience members toward the stage.  But "movement" doesn't do justice to the full-scale rush that greeted tonight's salute to THE VAMPIRE DIARIES, a rock-concert level scramble that left onlookers ducking out of the aisles.


To some extent, that kind of response isn't a surprise:  Vampire Diaries is in its 3rd year as the unquestionably biggest--well, only--hit on CW, and the viewers who watch that network are younger and in better shape than those of the others.  Because of its genre and demographic, Diaries is also regularly underrated, almost never given full credit as one of the smartest, wittiest and most narratively satisfying serialized dramas on the air. 

The evening began with a screening of this coming Thursday's episode, the first back after a hiatus.  At the request of series co-creator/showrunner (with Kevin Williamson) Julie Plec, its climactic revelation won't be spoiled here, except to say that it's in keeping with the grand story twists that have marked this show from the beginning, and sets the stage for a new conflict to play out over the rest of the season.  

After a brief (inconclusive) discussion of said twist, the main part of the panel began.  Apart from Plec, most of the major cast members were in attendance:  Elena (Nina Dobrev), beloved of vampires and constantly stalked; brother vampires Stefan and Damon (Paul Wesley and Ian Somerhalder); Alaric (Matt Davis), who started as a vampire-hunter and is now Elena's guardian and a veritable vampire bud; witch Bonnie (Kat Graham); and relatively new vamp Caroline (Candice Accola).  

These folks have been together on a hit for years, and they're a loose, talkative bunch (the moderator mostly just had to toss in a question every so often and let them go).  Any spoilers were more in the nature of hints:  before the season is over, Elena will have to make "a" choice (but not necessarily "the" choice) between the brothers, we haven't seen the last of Klaus and the Original Vampires, it's possible that we'll meet Elena's parents in a flashback.  Plec was noncommittal about whether the show would ever consider following the L.J. Smith novels and making Elena into a vampire, or when evil Katarina, Elena's vampire doppelganger (just go with it) would make a return appearance.  Dobrev got the evening's biggest laugh when she wondered aloud why Gossip Girl got to film episodes in Paris and they were stuck in Mystic Falls.  Somerholder was appropriately Damon-ish caustic much of the time, but like his character, he could become surprisingly heartfelt, notably when he talked about how he'd survived the brutal audition process for the show.   Audience squeals greeted any mention of the Elena/Stefan/Damon triangle (and for those more interested in the tabloid side of things, Somerholder placing his jacket around Dobrev's shoulders made their night.)  

The Vampire Diaries airs in the toughest hour on television, the 8PM slot that's home to the deadly battle between American Idol and The Big Bang Theory, and yet its ratings have barely budged.  Beyond that success, it's as smoothly and effectively run as any series in primetime.  Young audience tastes change--Buffy the Vampire Slayer is a legend now, but when it left the air, its ratings had preceded it--and Diaries' status won't last forever.  Nonetheless, it should have plenty of frenzied audience response still ahead of it.




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THE SHOWBUZZDAILY REVIEW: SNL With Jonah Hill





The atmosphere on this week's SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE was far more relaxed now that last week's Lindsay Lohan Extravaganza Express has left town.  That didn't make it a great episode--SNL is lucky to manage 1 or 2 of those in a season--but it had its share of laughs.



Jonah Hill was a good choice for the post-Lohan edition, an assured host with strong comic timing.  (Unlike Lohan, he was given lead roles in sketches throughout the show.)  To his credit, he never overtly plugged his 21 Jump Street opening next week, even though that's certainly the reason he was there.  By sheer will, he pulled about every laugh available out of the sketch about a 6-year old who talked like a Borscht Belt comic, and he was also sharp in a Planet of the Apes bit about a talking ape who wouldn't shut up.  On the other hand, he wasn't immune to reading his sketches with his eyes glued to the cue cards, and he had a bad habit of cracking himself up, breaking so badly in the J Pop America Fun Time Now piece that he was practically incomprehensible.

Breaking seemed to be going around this week:  no less than Kristen Wiig, the consummate professional, almost lost it while playing Paula Deen on Update.  And of course Bill Hader wasn't able to keep it together as Stefon (he never is), but you really couldn't blame him:  this week he had to describe a club "opened at gunpoint in a Lady Foot Locker," and an Irish pub that features Heprechauns, which of course are Leprechauns with Hep C.  

If Stefon was the running character it was good to see again, J Pop has already run its course, ready for a long break, at the very least.  This week's political sketch was about Rush Limbaugh and not the Republican primary candidates, which was a relief.   Pretaped pieces were a mixed bag:  the opening monologue piece about Hill being insufferable since his Moneyball nomination was fun, but the SNL Digital Short with Hill being hit by tennis balls in the other balls over and over and over again was interminable.

The episode had a bent for the oddly conceptual:  Andy Samberg playing Sarah Palin as a deliberately bad Tina Fey impression, an extremely long sketch in which Liza Minnelli Tries To Turn Off A Lamp (Wiig wasn't at her best as Liza, who sounded a lot more like Wiig's dingbat theatre star on the show's Password parody than the real thing), which for all the world seemed like a 12:55PM sketch that had gotten lost at 12:35, and then the actual 12:55PM sketch, which started as an anniversary joke and turned into a Coolio singalong. In all, an unmemorable but decent enough week.

The show is off until April 7, when it returns with Sofia Vergara as host.


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THE SKED'S FRIDAY NETWORK SCORECARD






A preview of next season's schedule?

CBS:  The network experimented with a new episode of THE MENTALIST at 9PM, and while the 2.0 rating was 20% below the show's Thursday season low, Friday offers fewer available eyeballs, so a decline was to be expected.  Mentalist nevertheless considerably outrated what CSI NY and A Gifted Man have been doing at 9PM, easily winning its timeslot, pushing Grimm near a series low, and helping BLUE BLOODS inch up to a 1.8.   And that wasn't even CBS' best news of the night:  in the 4-way unscripted battle at 8PM, UNDERCOVER BOSS was the winner by far with a 2.2, the highest rated broadcast on any network last night.


NBC:  Against Mentalist, GRIMM's 1.5 was 0.1 above its series low.  WHO DO YOU THINK YOU ARE? was a weak 3rd place at 8PM with 1.0 (tying a repeat on FOX), but DATELINE, while behind Blue Bloods, nosed out ABC for 2d place at 10PM.

ABCSHARK TANK managed 2d place at 8PM (although a big 0.7 behind CBS), but PRIMETIME and 20/20 fell to third the rest of the evening. 

FOX:  A repeat KITCHEN NIGHTMARES tied for 3d in both of its hours.  

CW:  Repeats were at a typical (for CW repeats) 0.3-0.4.

Tonight continues to be something of a bonanza for Saturday original programming (as long as quality doesn't come into play):  THE FIRM on NBC, Q'VIVA! THE CHOSEN on FOX, and a 20/20 invitingly titled My Extreme Affliction.  Yum!  Then tomorrow, all the networks are new (with a return of Dylan Baker's Hannibal Lecter-ish character on THE GOOD WIFE), with the main "events" being HARRY'S LAW return to the NBC schedule at 8PM and the 2d episode test for ABC's GCB at 10PM.


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The Sked: PROMO WATCH -- through March 8

The most recent Promo Watch numbers are based on prime time broadcast network programming between March 4 and March 8, with about 10 hours of programming sampled for each network over that period.  (Click "read more" to see the latest chart.)


ABCMissing has become the top promotional priority for ABC over the past week, now running at about 38 seconds per hour.  GCB receded to a still substantial 33 seconds per hour, with promos trumpeting its premiere viewership Sunday.  Some promos mentioned "11 million viewers fell in love", while others said "18 million viewers watched".  The first number refers to the average audience in any given minute, and the second measures who many people saw at least a few minutes of the show (the "total audience").  Rather than throwing two numbers around, why not pick one and stick with it?  Don't Trust the Bitch in Apt 23 and Scandal are up from previous weeks, now at 18 and 15 seconds, respectively. 

NBCFashion Star increased to 37 seconds per hour over the past week, clearly the #1 promo priority for the struggling network.  Awake has been dialed back to 24 seconds per hour, promoting the second episode and referencing the show's premiere performance.  Rather than saying a number, NBC said "millions were thrilled".  
        
CBSPerson of Interest increased again this past week to 28 seconds per hour.  The episode (featuring a cute baby and a "two men and a baby" theme in the promos) was one of the few original episodes on CBS among a sea of repeats, and the on-air promotion paid off as Person of Interest edged past its previous season high.  Big Bang Theory, also an original episode, moved into the top priority list, up to 11 seconds per hour after bumping around the 5-6 second range in recent weeks.  .      


FOXBob's Burgers, returning Sunday, moved up to 22 seconds per hour -- as heavy a commitment as FOX has given recently.  .     



                          PROMO WATCH

                    Top Priorities by Network
              On-Air Promo Seconds per Hour Sampled
                    Past Week (Mar 4-8, 2011)

      ABC                          CBS
     Missing            38        Person of Interest 28
     GCB                33        Survivor           14
     Don't Trust the B  18        Good Wife          13
     Dancing w Stars    17        Big Bang Theory    11
     Scandal            15        Undercover Boss    11
     Once Upon a Time   11

     NBC                          FOX
     Fashion Star       37        Bob's Burgers      22
     Awake              24        Breaking In        11
     Smash              19        American Idol       9
     The Voice          14        New Girl            9
     Harry's Law        11        Alcatraz            9
    

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THE SKED THURSDAY NETWORK SCORECARD





AWAKE is getting sleepy.

NBC:  A 20% drop from a series premiere isn't ordinarily anything shocking or particularly worrisome.  But when you start with a 2.0 the way AWAKE did, that leaves you with a 1.6 in Week 2, and that makes Week 3, when the show will be facing fresh competition on both CBS and ABC for the first time, look like an oncoming train.  (The show continues to be problematic creatively, too:  see our Pilot + 1 Review.)  Earlier in the evening, 30 ROCK had its last 8PM airing of the season (COMMUNITY arrives next week) and remained 0.1 above its season low with 1.4, while PARKS & RECREATION was comparatively robust at 1.9.  THE OFFICE and UP ALL NIGHT (with what may have been its most insufferable episode yet--if the show would just own up to the contempt it feels for almost all human beings, it might be a lot better) were up 0.1 from last week.


CBSBIG BANG THEORY continued to dominate Idol at 8PM, and a repeat Big Bang provided strong competition for FOX at 8:30PM, holding on impressively to almost 80% of the new episode's audience.  That (along with the weak competition on ABC and FOX) pushed PERSON OF INTEREST to a new series high of 3.4, which in turn gave THE MENTALIST its best number in a month.

FOXAMERICAN IDOL came awfully close to losing the full 8-9PM hour (4.8 vs 4.6), continuing its diminished ways.  THE FINDER aired its last Thursday episode before being burned off on moving to Fridays, with a 2.3 that was last place among the original shows in its hour.

ABC:  Repeats for the evening, putting it in last place (other than CW) in every hour.

CW:  Also in repeat mode, with a rerun SUPERNATURAL substituted for THE SECRET CIRCLE to little effect.

Tonight's interesting move is CBS experimenting with a new Mentalist episode at 9PM.  Apart from the CBS shows and GRIMM, everything is unscripted or a repeat.

 

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The Sked: THURSDAY RATINGS March 8

Back to a first place tie on Thursday between CBS (with mostly original episodes this week) and FOX (with Idol down to a one-hour edition) followed by The Finder.  You will notice we do not have year-to-year comparisons for this night.  Two very helpful readers identified a problem with recent year-ago comparisons, and it is clear the past several days were comparing incorrect data.  (Although the rest of the data for the 2010-11 season appears correct, we are making sure the error is isolated and then will resume the comparisons when the entire year is cleaned up.)   

             Nightly Adult 18-49 Rating
Thursday     FOX    NBC    CBS    ABC  
03.08.2012   3.6    1.8    3.6    1.3   THIS WEEK  
03.01.2012   5.4    1.9    2.1    1.1   LAST WEEK
03.10.2011   N/A    N/A    N/A    N/A   LAST YEAR  

NBC aired the second episode of Awake at 10 pm, which declined from a 2.0 Adult 18-49 last week in the official nationals to a 1.6 last night in the preliminaries.  This second-week decline is in line with the ShowBuzzDaily forecast of a three-tenths of a rating point drop.  Awake declined slightly at 10:30 pm last night (1.6 from 10:00-10:30 and 1.5 from 10:30-11:00), although a one-tenth drop for a 10 pm drama is fairly typical.  The audience seems to be locking into the very weak 1.5/1.6 range.  The comedies from 8:30-10:00 were up a tenth or two from last week (with ABC in repeats) but none of that extra audience flowed to Awake.




                Season        Past  Six  Weeks
NBC Thu        High Low  2.02 2.09 2.16 2.23 3.01 3.08
Community      1.8  1.4   
30 Rock        1.8  1.3  1.3  1.6  1.5  1.5  1.4  1.4*
Parks & Rec    2.1  1.7  1.7  --   1.7  1.7  1.7  1.9*
The Office     3.9  2.3  2.8  2.5  2.3  2.6  2.5  2.6*
Whitney        3.3  1.9   
Up All Night   2.0  1.5  1.8  1.7  1.5  1.7  1.6  1.7*
Awake          1.9  1.9                      2.0  1.6*
Prime Suspect  1.8  0.8   
The Firm       1.0  0.8  0.8  --   --   --

American Idol dropped back down to below a 5 rating last night (erasing the short-term momentum we saw Wednesday night) and contracted to one hour from two hours last week.  The return of The Finder (its "winter finale") brought FOX's prime time average to a 3.6 rating this week, putting it in a tie for first with CBS.     


                Season        Past  Six  Weeks
FOX Thu        High Low  2.02 2.09 2.16 2.23 3.01 3.08
X Factor       4.3  2.8 
American Idol  5.7  4.5  5.5  5.8  5.1  4.5  5.4  4.8*
Bones          3.3  2.4 
The Finder     2.8  1.7  2.4  2.2  --   2.0  --   2.3*

 


CBS returned with original episodes Thursday in all time periods except 8:30, where a repeat Big Bang Theory (4.0) vastly improved upon recent Rob original episodes.  Person of Interest is on track for a season high (the "two men and baby" theme in the fairly heavy promotion for the episode certainly helped), and Mentalist was up from recent weeks.


                 Season        Past  Six  Weeks  
CBS Thu         High Low  2.02 2.09 2.16 2.23 3.01 3.08
Big Bang Theory 5.5  4.5  5.5  5.6  5.1  5.3  3.2R 5.1*
Rules Engagment 3.7  2.7 
Rob             4.1  2.9  3.3  3.3  3.2  2.9  2.6  --
Person Interest 3.3  2.6  3.3  3.3  2.8  3.1  1.8R 3.4*
Mentalist       3.0  2.5  2.9  3.0  2.7  2.6  1.7R 2.8*




ABC took a distant fourth place, again with a repeat line-up this week.  Instead of a Private Practice repeat at 10 pm, a repeat of the GCB pilot averaged a 1.3 rating, not too far behind the Awake original on NBC. 

                Season        Past  Six  Weeks
ABC Thu        High Low  2.02 2.09 2.16 2.23 3.01 3.08
Charlie's Ang  2.1  1.1 
Wipeout        2.7  1.5  1.8  1.5  1.5  1.5  1.1R 1.3R
Grey's Anatomy 4.5  3.1  3.6  4.0  3.2  3.1  1.1R 1.1R
Private Prac   2.8  2.1  2.3  2.2  2.6  2.1  --




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THE SKED'S PILOT + 1 REVIEW: "Awake"






A lot can happen between the creation of a TV pilot in the spring and production of episodes for the regular season:  a writing/producing team is hired, audience focus groups weigh in, networks and studios (which may have had their own turnover in the off-season) give plenty of notes, both helpful and otherwise, and critics begin to rear their ugly heads.  The results can include changes to tone, pace, casting and even story.  Here at THE SKED, we're going to look past the pilots and present reviews of the first regular episodes of this year's new series as well.

Previously... on AWAKE:  Homicide detective Michael Britten (Jason Isaacs) survived a terrible auto accident with his wife Hannah (Laura Allen) and son Rex (Dylan Minnette) in the car.  When Michael returned to consciousness, he discovered that Hannah was dead and he had to bring up Rex by himself; he had psychiatrist Dr. Evans to help him with his mental state (Cherry Jones), and sought solace in his work with partner Bird (Steve Harris).  Or at least that was his world until he went to sleep... The instant he fell into slumber, he entered another existence where Rex was dead, Hannah had survived, Michael's shrink was Dr. Lee (B.D. Wong), and his partner on the force was Vega (Wilmer Valderrama).  Both worlds seem utterly real when Michael is in them, but each psychiatrist convincingly tells Michael that's impossible--there can only be one reality, and it's his/hers.  Meanwhile, elements of the crimes Michael solves--names, locations--are starting to bleed from one world and investigation into the other.  So which reality is real?  Or can they somehow both be?  Or is Michael simply out of his mind?


Episode 2:  A lot sooner than one would have expected, in the final minute of tonight's episode, Awake certainly seemed to provide a broad hint as to what's really going on with Michael.  There will probably be contradictory clues and red herrings in future episodes to put the apparent revelation in doubt, but as of now an arrow seems to be pointing to one of his realities as being the true one, and the cause of Michael's psychological split being the effort of his subconscious to start letting him know that the car crash was no accident. 

Until that scene, the second episode, written by series creator/showrunner Kyle Killen and directed by Jeffrey Reiner, followed the path of the pilot very closely, but raised some formal issues about what the rules of this universe are going to be.  For example, both realities featured scenes with, respectively, Hannah and Rex in which Michael didn't appear at all--breaking the "dream" logic by giving characters in both worlds lives independent of the dreamer's.  (The final scene, too, featured supporting characters but not Michael.)  Also, Michael has explained the 2 realities as sequential, rather than concurrent, meaning that he experiences an entire day in the world with his wife, and doesn't join the world with his son until he's gone to sleep in Wifeworld (and then vice versa).  So he shouldn't know anything about a clue in his Wifeworld case until that day is over and he's woken up again in Sonworld.  But in fact, the show intercuts between the 2 worlds as though they're happening simultaneously, and Michael is instantly aware of events in the other world even when both are within the same day.  

These are the kinds of problems you get into when you try to set up complicated alternate realities--just ask the makers of Lost and Inception.  And you have to give credit to NBC for putting such a conceptually difficult show on the air--it's actually a much more daring series than Smash.  But one of the problems with Awake, so far, is that its structure is so unwieldly and exposition heavy that there's hardly anything to the show other than its ornate premise.  (Watching an episode is like playing Clue:  you have to constantly remind yourself, is it Dr. Lee with partner Vega and the wife in the library?)  The twin mysteries of the week are cursory, and although the cast is fine, it's difficult to engage emotionally with a reality and with characters that may be imaginary.  At its worst, the show can resemble the dreaded Sideways sequences in the final season of Lost.

The question that continues to hover over Awake is whether it's going to be a gimmick or a show.  (Although if the last scene of tonight's episode meant what it seemed to, that will change the series dynamic pretty quickly.)  For the moment, it's an even balance between a drama that's absorbing and original, and one that's merely an exercise.  

ORIGINAL VERDICT:  If Nothing Else Is On...

PILOT + 1:  Don't Put It To Sleep Just Yet

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THE SKED'S WEDNESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD





Viewers could tell that REVENGE wasn't FOR REAL.

ABC:  Serialized dramas repeat notoriously badly, so the network had the clever idea of filling in the spring schedule gap with a "news" show about true-life crimes that presumably are similar to those in the show, albeit without Emily Van Camp or Madeleine Stowe.  The resulting REVENGE FOR REAL was probably about where ABC expected, a full ratings point down from real Revenge episodes, but a little higher than repeats have been scoring.  The network tried to give For Real a lead-in with a new episode of HAPPY ENDINGS, but that ended up unnecessarily burning off a fresh (and funny, particularly for John Hughes fans) Happy episode, which hit a season low and didn't do any better coming out of a MODERN FAMILY repeat than a Happy rerun would have done. 


NBC:  Oh, NBC Wednesday, what's to be done with you?  Last night's new episodes of WHITNEY and ARE YOU THERE, CHELSEA could no more than tie the repeats on ABC of THE MIDDLE and SUBURGATORY that aired against them.  Then the network started its 2-week experiment of moving SVU reruns to 9PM (until BENT--very temporarily--takes the slot), which was a catastrophe that resulted in a previously unimaginable (even for a rerun) 1.0 rating for SVU, which just a couple of years ago was one of the most reliably repeating series on the schedule.  To the extent there's a bright side to any of this, the move of ROCK CENTER to 10PM supercharged that show all the way to a 1.0 rating, which was pathetically just 0.1 below its series high.  

FOX:  The season's song played again for AMERICAN IDOL, as it increased from last week (against mostly repeats on the other networks), but remained more than 35% below last year's numbers.

CBSSURVIVOR may also have benefited from the repeat competition and hit a cycle high.  At 10PM, a repeat CSI handily beat both of the new (albeit unscripted) shows on the other networks.

CWONE TREE HILL continued to hold at a 0.7, while AMERICA'S NEXT TOP MODEL, perhaps benefiting from the large number of viewers for Monday's repeat of its season premiere, ticked up 0.1 to 0.6 (still far below last season).

Tonight NBC will sleeplessly await the Week 2 ratings for AWAKE, which this week has to face a new THE MENTALIST.  FOX airs the last Thursday night episode of THE FINDER before it's shipped off to Fridays, and only ABC is in repeats.


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The Sked: WEDNESDAY RATINGS March 7

American Idol is still way down from last year, but last night's episode ticked from the past few weeks.  But The Voice also had a good week -- so Idol remains behind the pace of the upstart singing show.  NBC shuffled Wednesday again, giving Rock Center yet another time period.  But the news magazine and NBC Wednesday in general remain stuck in the mud.  Luckily few viewers were there to see it last night, but in the credit window of SVU a dated 30-second promo for Celebrity Apprentice ran, announcing the show was "coming February 19".  Full on-air promo details in our next Promo Watch update on Friday.


             Nightly Adult 18-49 Rating
Wednesday    FOX    CBS    ABC    NBC
03.07.2012   5.6    2.2    1.7    1.2    THIS WEEK
02.29.2012   5.0    2.9    2.9    1.2    LAST WEEK
03.09.2011   9.1    2.9    1.9    1.2    LAST YEAR

FOX's American Idol popped back up this week to a 5.6 preliminary 18-49 rating, its best Wednesday number since February 15 (although still lagging behind this week's 6.2 for The Voice).  (In the official nationals Idol will probably go up up to a 5.7, which would be a 37% drop from last year's episode -- a tad better than last week's 43% decline but still stunning.)  Idol built steadily throughout the show: 5.0... 5.6... 5.9... 6.0 by half hour.  Last year on this night, American Idol aired for two hours (9.1), growing by each half hour: 8.1, 9.3, 9.1 and 9.8.          


              Season        Last  Six  Weeks
FOX Wed      High Low  2.01 2.08 2.15 2.22 2.29 3.07

American Idol7.4  5.0  6.0  6.1  6.1  5.1  5.0  5.6*
Mobbed       3.0  2.8  2.8  3.0  --
Touch        3.9  3.9  --
X Factor     4.4  2.5   
Hate Teenage 2.8  1.8 

With repeats against it on ABC, Survivor ticked up three tenths to the highest rating of this cycle.  Criminal Minds and CSI were in repeats.  Last year on this night: Survivor (3.8), Criminal Minds (1.9) and Criminal Minds: Suspect Behavior (2.8).  

              Season        Last  Six  Weeks 
CBS Wed      High Low  2.01 2.08 2.15 2.22 2.29 3.07
Survivor     3.6  2.8  --   --   3.1  2.8  2.9  3.2*
Criminal Min 4.1  3.1  2.1R 3.3  3.1  3.1  3.1  1.6R
CSI          3.3  2.5  1.5R 2.5  2.6  2.9  2.6  1.8R

ABC's comedies from 8:00-9:30, while Happy Endings (2.0) was an original episode that also rated like a repeat telecast.  At 10 pm ABC News provided Revenge for Real, real-life stories of crime in the Hamptons, which averaged a 1.4 rating -- better than a Revenge repeat but nothing extraordinary.  Last year on this night: The Middle (1.4), The Middle (1.4), Modern Family (2.5), Mr Sunshine (2.4) and Off the Map (1.9).   


              Season        Last  Six  Weeks 
ABC Wed      High Low  2.01 2.08 2.15 2.22 2.29 3.07

The Middle   3.2  2.2  1.2R 2.6  2.4  2.2  2.6  1.5R
Suburgatory  3.4  2.3  1.2R 2.6  2.4  2.3  2.3  1.5R
Modern Fami  6.1  4.5  2.7R 5.5  4.7  4.8  4.8  2.4R
Happy Ending 3.5  2.4  1.9R 2.9  2.4  2.4  2.7  2.0*
Revenge      3.4  2.1  0.9R 2.5  2.4  --   2.4  --





NBC changed things up a bit, giving Rock Center its third time period.  Now at 10 pm, the struggling Brian WIlliams news magazine averaged a 1.0 rating (near the high-water mark for the young show but still incredibly weak).  SVU repeats have been moved down to 9 pm while Rock Center gets its trial run at 10, and the crime drama also scored a 1.0 rating, below the mid-1 rating SVU repeats at 10 have scored.  Last year on this night: Minute to Win It (1.0), Law & Order SVU (0.9) and Law & Order SVU (1.5).
         

              Season        Last  Six  Weeks 
NBC Wed      High Low  2.01 2.08 2.15 2.22 2.29 3.07
Up All Night 2.4  1.5 
Free Agents  1.3  1.0  
Whitney      2.1  1.4  1.7  1.5  1.7  1.5  1.5  1.6*
Chelsea      2.3  1.3  1.7  1.5  1.4  1.3  1.3  1.5*
Harry's Law  1.4  1.1  --   --
Rock Center  1.1  0.6       1.1  0.7  0.6  0.7  1.0*
L&O SVU      2.4  1.6  1.6R 2.0  1.7  1.6  1.6  1.0R



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The Sked: Declining Network Ratings -- How Bad Are They?

For the past several weeks, "season low" and "down sharply from last year" have been repeated phrases in our daily ratings posts, mostly for broadcast network programs but also for cable programs, as well.  What's going on here?  After all, this season started in a very promising fashion with the combined audience for the four major broadcast networks even with the prior season, an almost impossible feat given the the ever increasing media fragmentation in today's world. 

To take a broad view, we looked at the season in three distinct parts, summarized in the table below.  In the first part of the television season (the first 11 weeks from September 19-December 4), ABC, CBS, NBC and FOX combined for a 10.4 Adult 18-49 rating in prime time, exactly the same rating as the comparable period in 2010.  Then from December through most of January, the broadcast networks were pacing 4% behind the 2010-11 season, a decline more in line with past decade or so.  Nothing to worry about, most thought.  But then in late January up until now, the decline in network TV viewing has really picked up steam, pushing a double-digit rate.


            4-Network (ABC CBS NBC FOX) 
      Prime Time Adult 18-49 Combined Rating

                      2011-12  2010-11  % chg
     Sep 19-Dec  4     10.4     10.4      0%
     Dec  5-Jan 22      9.0      9.4     -4%
     Jan 23-Mar  4     10.2     11.1     -9%


To get an idea of the pace of change, the chart below shows the yearly decline in network television viewing for each week of the season to date.  In the first part of the season, there were a few up weeks and a few down weeks but the magnitude of the differences generally were quite small (mostly under 5%).  More recently, however, the weekly swings have become much more pronounced: more in the 10% or even 15%+ range and predominantly on the negative side.



 
Singing Competition: The Changing of the Guard.  Clearly, much of the accelerating decline in the past few months is related to the collapse of FOX's American Idol and the ascendance of NBC's The Voice.  The biggest nightly declines for network TV since late January have come on Idol's nights (Tuesday and Wednesday) and the only significant up night is Monday, home of The Voice.  Many viewers who used to watch three to four hours per week of American Idol now can get their singing fix with two hours of The Voice, and the rest of the time spent formerly watching Idol apparently as not been shifted to other network programs.  For from it.  As we have seen recently, many marquee programs like Modern Family, Glee and The Office have suffered serious audience erosion over the course of the season and are stuck at season lows, far behind last season's pace.

            Nightly Trend (This Year vs Last Year)
                  4-Network (ABC CBS NBC FOX) 
            % Change Adult 18-49 Prime Time Rating

                   MON  TUE  WED  THU  FRI  SAT  SUN  Week

  Sep 19-Dec  4    -2%   0%  +9%  +2% +19%  +8%  -5%    0%
  Dec  5-Jan 22    +3% -16%  +1%  +2%  -5% -11%  -1%   -4%
  Jan 23-Mar  4   +12%  -8% -19% -19%   0% -17%  -1%   -9%





Are viewers abandoning television? We know that time spent watching live television remains remarkably consistent over the years, based on Nielsen analysis.  In fact, as DVR usage has risen, the total amount of time spent in front of a television has actually increased in the past five years.  Young adults (18-34) now spend almost 33 hours per week in front of the TV, up slightly from five years ago.  Although these young adults watch an hour less of live TV per week since 2007, DVR playback has increased well over an hour.  (Viewing video online was not a part of this particular study, but separate Nielsen studies have shown time spent streaming is similar to the DVR playback levels and tends to be additive rather cannibalistic for TV viewing.)  Middle-aged adults (35-54) watch over 37 hours per week, with about half an hour less live TV but almost two hours more DVR playback per week.  And older adults (55+) now watch over 46 hours per week, with an hour more live TV and over an hour and half more DVR playback.  

The DVR (and videogames for young adults) have only increased America's love affair with television.  And the vast majority of time spent with television is still devoted to watching TV live -- even with younger viewers.  We have not seen an update of this study into 2012, but given the long-term trends it is hard to imagine a sudden abandonment of the medium anywhere near the recent declines in broadcast prime time viewing. 


            Time Spent with Television per Week

                 Total Day (hours:minutes)

          Adults 18-34     Adults 35-54      Adults 55+
          2007    2011     2007    2011     2007    2011
Total TV  32:39  32:52     36:19  37:19     43:57  46:19
Live TV   27:02  26:00     32:32  32:08     41:50  42:53
DVR        1:34   2:46      1:36   3:22      0:50   2:30
Videogame  1:22   2:30      0:17   0:38      ----   ----


note: DVD and VHS playback not shown.



So the remarkable long-term durability of the television medium really puts the recent declines in broadcast network viewing in perspective.  If the 9% broadcast decline since late January turns into the more recent 10-15% declines, an already stressed business model starts to become extremely frayed.  And, oh yeah.  Daylight Saving Time hits Sunday, as the longer days add yet another strong headwind for network ratings, particularly in the 8:00 pm hour of prime time.  The season could get even bumpier for the broadcasters quite soon.    


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THE SKED: "The Voice" Is Raised To Twice Weekly






If you're NBC and you have exactly one hit show, what do you want?  More of it.

Beginning the week of April 2, THE VOICE will air on both Mondays and Tuesdays, with live performance shows 8-10PM on Mondays and eliminations 9-10PM on Tuesdays.  It'll therefore be airing against both weekly installments of Dancing With the Stars on ABC, which can't thrill the Alphabet much, since the new Tuesday Voice hour will certainly draw bigger crowds than the 2d hour of The Biggest Loser has been able to do all season.


NBC will also aim for a seamless segue of broadcast season into summer by ending The Voice on May 8 (in a special 2-hour episode), and then starting up AMERICA'S GOT TALENT (with new judge Howard Stern) on May 14-15, which will then continue into the off-season.  . 

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD





FOX's 4-sitcom Tuesday excited no one.

FOXI HATE MY TEENAGE DAUGHTER and BREAKING IN made unimpressive returns to the schedule.  Daughter could claim a decent retention of its RAISING HOPE lead-in, and it also won the head-to-head sitcom battle at 8:30PM--but really there's nothing good about a 1.6 premiere.  Breaking In had less excuse, falling to an ugly 1.7 from NEW GIRL's strong 3.0 lead-in, which was the highest number on any network last night. And even though Raising Hope handled its shift to 8PM well, it aired against an ABC repeat last night, so future results may not be as strong.


ABC: The network actually aired some good programming last night, to little avail.  COUGAR TOWN had a funny half-hour directed by Courtney Cox, and for Bill Lawrence fans, it had the additional pleasure of a guest appearance by Scrubs' Sarah Chalke.  After that, THE RIVER finally delved into what's supposed to be the show's central mystery--just what happened to Dr. Emmett Cole--which allowed Bruce Greenwood to appear in more than snippets, in a creepy hour directed by Michelle McLaren.  For their troubles, the show got matching lousy 1.5 ratings, 4th place for their slots.  (Cougar Town at least had the excuse that it rose from its repeat LAST MAN STANDING lead-in, but as its cast members continue to flock to 2d position pilot deals, that doesn't matter much.)  The evening ended with a terrible 0.9 for a BODY OF PROOF repeat that was beaten by primary election coverage on NBC.

NBCTHE BIGGEST LOSER fell to a season and possibly a series low, dipping below a 2 for the first time.  At 10PM, a DECISION 2012 special scored a not-embarrassing-for-a-news-special 1.0.

CBS:  All repeats, which were still enough to win all but the 9-9:30PM half-hour of the night.

CW90210 returned after a month off with a fine (CW level) 0.7, but RINGER dipped to a 0.5 after that.

Tonight's only new arrival is REVENGE FOR REAL, which ABC will use to sucker in Revenge fans rather than air repeats.  The network is giving it a bit of a lead-in with a new HAPPY ENDINGS (although that show's rating will be lowered by having a repeat MODERN FAMILY as its own lead-in).  NBC airs new sitcoms at 8-9PM, and apart from that, only the unscripted shows on all the networks are original.


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The Sked: TUESDAY RATINGS March 6

Super Tuesday was anything but for the broadcast networks last night.  Each broadcast network was down significantly from the same night last year (worst hit was FOX at 8 pm -- a 5.9 rating for a Glee original episode was replaced by two original comedy episodes that rated a 2.1 and 1.6).  Worse, the Super Tuesday election disrupted network schedules (local coverage in some markets pre-empted all or part of programs, while network coverage was inserted into entertainment programs with the time coming directly out of on-air promotion time).  So fewer people were watching and it was even more difficult to reach those viewers than normal with promos for the rest of the week.  This is yet another night of season lows and sizable declines from last season, a trend that has really picked up since the first of the year.  Come back later today when we will look at the prime time season so far, highlighting the accelerating yearly declines.


             Nightly Adult 18-49 Rating
Tuesday      FOX    CBS    NBC    ABC
03.06.2012   2.1    1.9    1.6    1.3     THIS WEEK
02.28.2012   5.1    2.8    2.0    1.6     LAST WEEK
03.08.2011   4.2    2.1    2.6    1.6     LAST YEAR

With Glee taking a break, FOX shifted to a four-comedy Tuesday, moving Raising Hope to 8:00, returning I Hate My Teenager Daughter to 8:30, and bringing Breaking In back in the 9:30 time period.  No one really noticed.  New Girl continues to struggle at its season low (3.0), although it is now FOX's highest-rated show of the night.  The rest of the comedies struggled at 2 rating or below.  Last year on this night, FOX aired Glee (5.9) followed by Raising Hope (3.2) and Traffic Light (1.8). 


FOX Tues     High Low  1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21 2.28 3.06
Glee         4.0  2.8  3.7  3.3  2.8  3.0  --  
Raising Hope 3.1  2.0  2.0  2.1  2.1  2.1  --   2.1*
I Hate My T  1.6  1.6                           1.6*
New Girl     4.8  3.0  3.5  3.5  3.1  3.0  --   3.0*
Breaking In  1.7  1.7                           1.7*

CBS moved into repeat mode and had a Tuesday fairly similar to its last repeat burst in January.  Last year CBS averaged a 2.1 on the comparable night of repeats:  NCIS (2.4), NCIS Los Angeles (2.7) and Good Wife (1.3).

CBS Tues     High Low  1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21 2.28 3.06
NCIS         4.3  3.5  2.0R 4.2  3.9  3.6  3.5  2.4R
NCIS: LA     3.7  2.7  1.8R 3.1  3.2  2.7  3.1  1.9R
Unforgettble 2.9  1.9  1.4R 2.2  2.3  2.0  1.9  1.4R



ABC aired a half repeat (Last Man Standing and Body of Proof) and half original schedule (Cougar Town and The River), but the entire night looked like a see of repeats given the ratings.  Last year on this night: No Ordinary Family (1.1), V (2.3) and Detroit 187 (1.5).
 
ABC Tues           High Low  1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21 2.28 3.06
Last Man Standing  3.6  2.1  1.5R 2.3  2.2  2.2  2.2  1.4R
Cougar Town        1.8  1.6            1.8  1.7  1.6  1.4*
Man Up!            2.4  1.6 
Work It            2.0  1.5 
Dancing Res        4.1  2.6   

Celeb Wife Swap    2.1  1.9  1.9 
The River          2.4  1.5       2.4  1.7  1.7  1.5  1.5*
Body of Proof      2.2  1.2  1.0R --   1.2  1.5  1.4  0.9R


Biggest Loser tied a season low, while an NBC News Decision 2012 special (1.0) replaced a Parenthood repeat and actually slightly improved what the family drama would have done.  Last year on this night: Biggest Loser (3.3) from 8-10 pm and a Parenthood repeat (1.2).      


NBC Tues     High Low  1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21 2.28 3.06
Biggest Loser2.7  1.9  2.1  2.3  2.1  2.3  2.0  1.9*
Parenthood   2.2  1.6  0.7R 1.6  1.6  1.7  1.9  --





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