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Showing posts with label ncis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ncis. Show all posts

THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD





Did PARENTHOOD buy itself another season?

NBC:  Creatively, PARENTHOOD's season finale wasn't the show at its best (too many storyline conclusions crammed into too little time).  But its 1.9 rating built on last week's increase, and "tied for 1st place" isn't a phrase NBC gets to hear very often these days in reference to any timeslot.  The show at least gave itself a fighting chance.  Parenthood's number was particularly impressive because it was just 0.1 below its BIGGEST LOSER lead-in, which was close to a season low thanks to the atypical competition on FOX.


FOX:  The night's AMERICAN IDOL number could be viewed as half-empty or half-full.  On the one hand, as Mitch Metcalf noted, the rating was down a horrific 41% from last year's parallel episode.  But in the context of this season, it was more or less even with what seems to be Idol's new ratings level.  (In any case, the bragging rights to the season's biggest non-football show are now THE VOICE's to lose.)

ABC:  Some may have noticed yesterday that Josh Hopkins, one of the leads in COUGAR TOWN, has signed to a pilot in "second position," which for the uninitiated means he's committed to the new show unless his current one is renewed.  No one likes to recast a new show that's managed to get ordered, so these deals are typically made only when an actor's current series is circling the drain.  Mistakes are made (Damon Wayans Jr made a 2d position deal last year for New Girl and then Happy Endings was renewed), but Cougar Town did itself no favors with last night's season-low 1.5.  Also heading upstream without a paddle:  THE RIVER, with a matching 1.5.  Both of those look good, though, next to BODY OF PROOF and its disastrous 1.3.(and Body didn't have the excuse of facing Idol).

CBSNCIS, while still a strong 2d in its hour, hit a season low that completed a startlingly bad February stretch (by its standards), with a track of 4.2/3.9/3.6/3.4.  NCIS LA has been more up and down during the month, and last night was up to a very decent 3.1.  UNFORGETTABLE tied for the hour's lead, but those words are less magic at CBS than they are at NBC, and the show hit a season low with a symbolically painful 1.9, slipping below a 2 for the first time.

CW:  Only the network knows why it's been giving RINGER a repeat HART OF DIXIE lead-in for the past 2 weeks.  Last night Dixie's 0.3 led Ringer to a series low 0.4.

Tonight, the final night of February sweeps, features new episodes schedule-wide (but get ready for a whole lot of repeats in March).  CW premieres the latest cycle of AMERICA'S NEXT TOP MODEL, this time with Americans vs. Brits.

 

  

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD





GLEE looks at a shark and considers taking a jump.

FOX:  Despite perhaps the most melodramatic midseason finale of any "comedy' in TV history (a suicide attempt, an as-yet unexplained pregnancy, and a dead-or-not-dead? cliffhanger), GLEE was up only 0.1 from last week's season low.  The show won't air again until mid-April.  NEW GIRL was down to a new series low, and RAISING HOPE, while marginally up, was only 0.2 above its own season low.  After next week's 2-hour special Tuesday Idol, both sitcoms will be part of FOX's 4-sitcom Tuesday through March, with Hope moving to earlier in the evening.


NBC:  What's the deal with NBC's Promo department spoiling every upcoming plot point on PARENTHOOD in its "Next Week On..." spots?  Both of last night's major developments been disclosed a week ago, and the promo for next week's season finale wasn't much better.  A sign of desperation (last night continued a month of the show hovering at or just above its series low), or that the network just doesn't care?  Meanwhile, THE BIGGEST LOSER continued its steady if unspectacular pace, with all ratings in the past 6 weeks within a narrow 0.2 range.

ABC:  The good news for COUGAR TOWN was that it was down only 0.1 from last week's hyped premiere, but a 1.7 leaves little else to celebrate.  1.7 was also the steady number for THE RIVER, making no headway from 4th place at 9PM.  BODY OF PROOF was up 0.2 from last week's series low, still bring up the rear in its hour.

CBS:  The network edged out a 0.1 win for the night, but all its shows were down, with NCIS LA and UNFORGETTABLE hitting season lows.

CW:  Here's an oddity:  last night's repeat of HART OF DIXIE was only 0.2 below Monday's new episode (and just 0.1 below Monday's new GOSSIP GIRL).  That surprisingly decent lead-in helped RINGER to a still-mediocre 0.5.

Everything is new tonight, including a 2-hour Idol on FOX.  The only special event is a 20/20 standing in for Revenge on ABC, centering on this year's Oscar nominees back before they were famous.  (Jean DuJardin and Berenice Bejo, before they were household names?  How exciting!)



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The Sked: TUESDAY RATINGS February 21

FOX, NBC and ABC each edged up one tenth of a rating point from last week's soft Valentine's Day levels, but CBS was down another two tenths from last week.  Emblematic of the weak network numbers across the week, two networks were well above a 3.0 rating on this night last year, while none could break a 3.0 last night. 


             Nightly Adult 18-49 Rating
Tuesday      CBS    FOX    NBC    ABC
02.21.2012   2.9    2.8    2.0    1.7     THIS WEEK
02.14.2012   3.1    2.7    1.9    1.6     LAST WEEK
02.22.2011   3.4    3.2    2.5    1.5     LAST YEAR


CBS was down two tenths from last Tuesday but hung on to first place with a 2.9, one tenth ahead of FOX.  NCIS did a ho-hum (for it) 3.8 rating, down a tick from last week.  NCIS: Los Angeles wilted three tenths of a rating point to a 2.9, a new season low.  Unforgettable continues to sag, down four tenths from last week to a 1.9.  Sadly, it remains the highest rated network program Tuesday at 10 pm.  Last year CBS averaged a 3.4 on the comparable night:  NCIS (4.4), NCIS Los Angeles (3.9) and Good Wife (2.0).


CBS Tues     High Low  1.17 1.24 1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21
NCIS         4.3  3.5  2.2R 2.1  2.0R 4.2  3.9  3.8*
NCIS: LA     3.7  3.0  1.7R --   1.8R 3.1  3.2  2.9*
Unforgettble 2.9  2.1  1.5R --   1.4R 2.2  2.3  1.9*

FOX's Glee ticked up one tenth from last week's season low but remains under a 3.0.  New Girl built one tenth of a rating point from Glee to a 3.0 but that's down from last week and establishes a new season low (pending any adjustments in the official national ratings).  Last year on this night, FOX aired Glee (4.4) followed by Raising Hope (2.4) and Traffic Light (1.6). 


FOX Tues     High Low  1.17 1.24 1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21
Glee         4.0  2.8  3.1  --   3.7  3.3  2.8  2.9*
New Girl     4.8  3.1  3.4  --   3.5  3.5  3.1  3.0*
Raising Hope 3.1  2.0  2.3  --   2.0  2.1  2.1  2.2*

ABC Tuesday featured flat week to week performances from Last Man Standing and The River at low levels, while the second week of Cougar Town edged down a tenth from a very weak premiere.  At 10 pm, Body of Proof was actually up two tenths from last week's season low (but only to a 1.4).  The 10 pm uptick enabled ABC's 8-11 pm average to rise one tenth over last week, but the network is still mired in fourth place on the night.  Last year on this night ABC was doing even worse: No Ordinary Family (1.4), V (1.9) and Primetime Special (1.4).
 
ABC Tues           High Low  1.17 1.24 1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21
Last Man Standing  3.6  2.1  2.6  1.5R 1.5R 2.3  2.2  2.2*
Cougar Town        1.8  1.8                      1.8  1.7*
Man Up!            2.4  1.6 
Work It            2.0  1.5  --
Dancing Res        4.1  2.6   

Celeb Wife Swap    2.1  1.9  2.1  --   1.9 
The River          2.4  1.7                 2.4  1.7  1.7*
Body of Proof      2.2  1.2  1.6  --   1.0R --   1.2  1.4*


Biggest Loser rebounded to a 2.2 (up one tenth from last week) and could very likely rise to a 2.3 in the official nationals.  Parenthood also ticked up one tenth at 10 pm from last week but remains well below last year's pace.  Last year on this night: Biggest Loser (2.7) from 8-10 pm and a Parenthood original (2.1).      


NBC Tues     High Low  1.17 1.24 1.31 2.07 2.14 2.21
Biggest Loser2.7  1.9  2.3  2.1  2.1  2.3  2.1  2.2*
Parenthood   2.2  1.6  1.7  --   0.7R 1.6  1.6  1.7*





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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD




Not all shows premiere like Smash.

ABC:  In recent years, viewers have flocked to horror series from True Blood to The Walking Dead to The Vampire Diaries, and at the multiplex, "found footage" thrillers like Paranormal Activity, The Devil Inside and Chronicle sell tickets like crazy, so... So this is why the entertainment business drives businesspeople crazy, because comparatively speaking, no one showed up for THE RIVER, ABC's stab at the genre, which had a blah 2.4 opening, with a steadily decreasing track that bodes very badly for next week.  It's a short-term problem for the network, since only 7 episodes were ordered, but it's not going to make Tuesdays in the rest of February and March pleasant for ABC.  The 8PM LAST MAN STANDING was just 0.2 above its season low, and a special 8:30PM episode didn't do much better.


NBC:  Any hope for a halo effect after the best 2 days of the network's season went out the window, as THE BIGGEST LOSER was up only 0.1 from recent weeks, and then PARENTHOOD, facing a stronger competitor on ABC than the usual Body of Proof, slumped to a season low 1.6.  Parenthood's ratings in 2012 have been terrible, and with only a few more episodes left in its season order, its producers have to be glad they're on the one network where those numbers aren't necessarily a death sentence.

CBS:  The 200th episode of NCIS easily won its hour, but with The River perhaps siphoning off some male viewers, NCIS LA and UNFORGETTABLE were both only 0.1 above their season lows.

FOX:  GLEE was way down from last week's Michael Jackson episode (apparently Ricky Martin doesn't have quite the same name value).  NEW GIRL won its timeslot, but shows no signs of recapturing the highs of its fall ratings, and both it and RAISING HOPE were 0.2 above their season lows.

CW90210 held its own with a 0.7, but RINGER's 0.5 was down 0.1 from last week's midseason premiere.

Tonight the only news is on the news side:  CBS fills in at 8PM (pending the return of Survivor) with a special PERSON TO PERSON interview show hosted by Charlie Rose and Lara Logan (the title is from an Edward R. Murrow series that ran 1953-1961, a reference that should certainly pull in the young crowd).  At 9PM, ROCK CENTER moves to its new timeslot, where it can look forward to being decimated by a new MODERN FAMILY on ABC.  At 10PM, CSI will probably be down from Marg Helgenberger's exit episode, while REVENGE moves toward the endgame of the first arc of its season's storyline.



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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



Some things are eternal, and Michael Jackson appears to be one of them.

FOX:  GLEE's Michael Jackson episode propelled the show to a 3.6, its best rating in months.  The strong lead-in didn't help the network's sit-coms much, though:  NEW GIRL was only up 0.1 for the night, and RAISING HOPE fell to match its season low.


CW:  RINGER, returning from a hiatus that seemed almost as long as Mad Men's, didn't find absence making audience hearts grow much fonder, with the same 0.6 it had on November 29, which was down slightly from its 90210 lead-in.

NBC:  BIGGEST LOSER was even with last week, but that wasn't good news, as it was close to a season low.  Repeats of the serialized PARENTHOOD are always ugly, and last night's 0.7 was no exception.

ABC:  LAST MAN STANDING and BODY OF PROOF were at their usual unimpressive repeat levels, and the season finale of CELEBRITY WIFE SWAP couldn't leave town fast enough (The River takes its slot next week), setting a season low.

CBS:  All repeats, with 3d place finishes for both NCIS shows, but a win for UNFORGETTABLE in the battle of the reruns at 10PM.

Tonight is the last night before February sweeps, so ABC is all repeats, while the only new show on CBS is this year's installment of Super Bowl's Greatest Commercials, while NBC will have fresh episodes of its woeful Whitney/Chelsea duo.  FOX will hope to take advantage of the reduced competition with bigger numbers for American Idol, before its declining ratings becomes even more of a story than they already are.  

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



The FOX Tuesday line-up returned to moderate results.

FOX:  The network won the night, but unimpressively:  GLEE tied the season low it hit during the holiday season, and NEW GIRL was only 0.1 above its own.


CBS:  For whatever reason, the NCIS LA repeat tanked last night, down to a 1.7 that was well below its holiday season reruns.  That brought the UNFORGETTABLE repeat down, and the result was the rare sight (even with an all-repeat slate) of CBS in 4th place for the evening.

ABC:  Comparatively speaking, LAST MAN STANDING was the night's success story, up half a ratings point from its last original episode in December.  A rerun at 8:30PM did better than almost all the original programming that's been pumped into that slot this season, then CELEBRITY WIFE SWAP and (less happily) BODY OF PROOF hung steady.

NBC:  Despite the reruns on CBS, BIGGEST LOSER lost 0.1 from last week, and PARENTHOOD tied its season low with a 1.7 for the third week in a row.

CW:  Even by the network's standards, the 0.3 debut for the new reality show REMODELED is a disaster.  CW will be stunting the show all over its schedule for the next couple of weeks, trying to drum up some interest.  90210, which had been showing signs of life compared to some of the other CW veterans, subsided to a mediocre 0.6.

Only 2 words have any meaning on tonight's TV line-up:  AMERICAN IDOL.  The show survived its cast changes last season in fine form, so the only question, as ever, will be the size of its victory.  On a much smaller scale, CSI begins the arc of Marg Helgenberger's departure tonight, which may give that show a boost.

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



Justice was swift for the worst new show of the season.

ABC:  WORK IT debuted with a lousy 2.0 on its quick journey to the TV boneyard.  In fairness, LAST MAN STANDING's 2.4 gave it a much weaker lead-in than the 3.0 the show was able to provide for MAN UP's 2.4 debut in the fall.  But look where Man Up is now--and Work It, facing reruns on 2 networks, will almost inevitably go down from its premiere, which should seal its fate. At 9PM, CELEBRITY WIFE SWAP rose modestly from Work It to a 2.2, holding the hour until the return of Dancing With the StarsBODY OF PROOF returned disastrously to new episodes with a 1.5.

NBC:  BIGGEST LOSER's weak 2.3 premiere was a full ratings point below last year's winter premiere, but on par with this season's fall start--it's simply a show in steep decline, and dates and competition don't matter much. PARENTHOOD didn't do its bubble status any favors with a series low 1.7 rating, and creatively, it was an unusually gimmicky (road trip!) and pat episode for a show that's typically better than that. 

CBS:  Meanwhile, on the winning side... CBS simply aired new episodes of its regular shows and obliterated the competition for the night, with NCIS beating its closest competitor at 8PM by a factor of 75%, and NCIS LA and UNFORGETTABLE each winning their hours by 45% margins. 

FOX:  Still in repeat mode, with a 1.3 for NEW GIRL the night's high-point.   

CW:  More repeats of SECRET CIRCLE, more 0.3-0.4 numbers.

Tonight ABC is the only network with all-new episodes.  CBS starts the night with an I GET THAT A LOT special, then reruns; FOX has a new episode of MOBBED at 9PM as it waits for American Idol to arrive; NBC is all-rerun; and CW continues the marathon of Secret Circle episodes that no one seems to want.  

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



The broadcast networks continue their holiday vacation, with virtually no new programming on the air.

CBS:  The KENNEDY CENTER HONORS are a prestige show that no one watches, and more so this year:  a dismal 1.1 that was down considerably even from last year's 1.5--and that's with a 2.1 NCIS rerun lead-in that was by far the highest number of the night.


ABC:  Its reruns won the 9-11PM slots, including a rare time-slot win for the rerun BODY OF PROOF.

FOX:    The night's highlight was a 1.0 for a NEW GIRL repeat.

NBC:  Couldn't crack 0.9 for the night.

CW:  Ever hear of a movie called KEITH?  Neither did the rest of America, as the Jesse McCarthy picture did a 0.3.

The parade of reruns continues tonight, aside from a Hilary Duff flick on CW.

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



We're deep in the holiday TV season, and even with new episodes on most of the networks, viewership was on the low side.

FOXGLEE and NEW GIRL have never bounced back from their baseball preemptions, and both continue their downward trajectory, although they're still quite successful.  (Creatively, the Christmas Glee episode poured on the sentiment like turkey gravy, while New Girl was more charming.)


CBS:  Even the mighty NCIS shows floundered a bit, tying their season lows.  (Although that was still enough for a win at 8PM.)  UNFORGETTABLE set a new low, with the excuse that it faced stronger competition than usual from NBC.

NBC:  The network couldn't find any better lead-in to the BIGGEST LOSER cycle finale than a documentary about Prince William and Kate, which was long past its Sell-By date with a 1.2.  Loser then had its highest rating of the season, although it was down more than 35% from last year's winter finale.

ABC:  Only the network knows why it burned off a fresh episode of LAST MAN STANDING to kick off a night of repeats.  The result was a series-low rating, down almost 20% from last week.  The repeats afterward were a litany of people gradually changing the channel:  2.0, 1.5, 1.3, 1.1.

CW:  Repeat hell.

Tonight CBS and FOX air new regular-series episodes against repeats on NBC and ABC.

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD


Not much good news for anyone--including the night's winner.

FOX:  The network ran the table 8-10PM, but with ugly numbers:  GLEE and NEW GIRL both set season lows, and RAISING HOPE was just 0.1 above its low.  For the first time in quite a while, Glee was below a 3 rating.



ABC:  LAST MAN STANDING was up from last week, although its 2.6 was still just 0.2 above that season low.  MAN UP!, on its way out, hit a new low.  Reruns of THE MIDDLE and SUBURGATORY averaged a 1.2, even lower than Middle had done last week.  BODY OF PROOF also set a new low, with an awful 1.5 for a new episode.

NBC:  Hardly anyone wanted to celebrate Christmas with Michael Buble, as his special managed only a 1.5.  After that, BIGGEST LOSER perked up to a 2.2, which was down from last week but still above other recent episodes.

CBS:  An all rerun night, with NCIS way down from last week's repeat (2.1 vs 2.9).  Notably, though, the repeat UNFORGETTABLE managed to beat the new Body of Proof on ABC.

CW90210, unlike Gossip Girl, is still holding its own in CW terms with a 0.8.  RINGER was a repeat.  

Tonight will be the first with regular schedules, no specials or repeats, in a while.  The number to watch will be the 2d episode of FOX's I Hate My Teenage Daughter, this time airing against new episodes on the other networks.

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THE SKED'S TUESDAY NETWORK SCORECARD



The word "turkey" comes to mind when looking at last night's pre-holiday landscape.

ABC:  The cycle finale of DANCING WITH THE STARS was of course the highest rated show of the night and enough to give ABC the Tuesday win, but in keeping with the way this whole cycle has gone, it was distressingly down more than 20% from last year's fall finale.  The show did manage to lift LAST MAN STANDING and MAN UP! one or two ticks along with it.


FOX:  A special Tuesday X FACTOR did OK, but its 3.2 rating was down significantly from regular airings.

CBS:  By this network's lofty standards, a lousy night, with both NCIS shows and UNFORGETTABLE all hitting season lows.  (And yet even Unforgettable did well enough to beat the entire NBC line-up.)

NBCBIGGEST LOSER tied its season low, and PARENTHOOD set one.  But hey, don't those Smash promos look cool?

CW90210 fell to the low 0.6 end of the network's range, followed by another repeat of the HART OF DIXIE pilot.

Things won't get better tonight, with holiday travel and preparations in play.  ABC will nevertheless air a full schedule of new shows, which should give it an easy win albeit at diminished levels.

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THE SKED: Tuesday Ratings - Network Scorecard



Isn't Sweeps supposed to be when viewers watch more TV?

FOX:  The post-baseball hangover continues.  After Terra Nova and House struck out at the plate on Monday night, the Tuesday line-up came to bat and didn't do much better.  GLEE's season low was a full 30% below last year's season average, and the show was barely ahead of ABC's lackluster half-hour at 8PM.  NEW GIRL is still a solid success, but almost a full month's absence didn't make viewers' hearts grow fonder for Zooey Deschanel, and the show was down 20% from its last airing.  That dragged RAISING HOPE down as well.


ABC:  The good news for the Alphabet was that Glee's decline made its first hour look not so bad.  Nevertheless, LAST MAN STANDING is barely a success with a 2.6, in 3rd place for its slot, and MAN UP is barely breathing with a 1.8.  Declines at the other networks boosted DANCING WITH THE STARS slightly, and technically BODY OF PROOF went up too, although that increase may dissipate in final numbers thanks to typical Dancing overruns past 10PM.

NBC:  Here's a fun fact:  apart from Sunday and football, Tuesday is the only night of the week where the entire NBC schedule scores over a 2 in the ratings.  That Murderers Row of television was even up a bit last night, and it was particularly good news that despite last week's preemption for a Prime Suspect repeat, PARENTHOOD bounced right back to within 0.1 of a tie for its timeslot lead.

CBS:  5-10% declines across the board from last week, but still good enough to win every half-hour of the evening except 9PM, when New Girl (at least in preliminary numbers) edged out NCIS LA.  

CW:  By this network's standards, RINGER is doing nicely with a 0.8 that built slightly on its 90210 lead-in.

The days when networks filled Sweeps months with stunt programming are long gone, and tonight's only wrinkle is that NBC will air an Up All Night repeat following the new episode at 8PM instead of a Whitney repeat.

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THE SKED: Tuesday Ratings - Network Scorecard


The excitement of Premiere Week is over, and shows are settling into their "real" numbers.

FOX: The small decline for NEW GIRL (which had another charming episode last night--the show has found its creative groove with remarkable speed) isn't serious.  What may concern FOX, though, is that they promoted last night's extremely earnest episode of GLEE like crazy--it was practically A Very Special Episode--and the number ticked down instead of up.  Glee is now on hiatus until November 1 because of baseball, and unless the network has some big "event" episode set for the show's return, they have to be a little worried about what that rating will be in 4 weeks.


CBS:  Even though the decline for UNFORGETTABLE was very slight, and consistent with the small drops for the NCIS shows, the fact is that the new series is losing audience rather than building one.  If that number keeps creeping down over the next few weeks (especially if Body of Proof creeps up), that could be a problem.

ABC:  Although the BODY OF PROOF number will probably come down a bit when final numbers are in (due to DANCING WITH THE STARS overrun), it's heartening that the show is moving up, even as Dancing is heading in the other direction.

NBCBIGGEST LOSER is starting to earn its title, and the sad part is that it's dragging down PARENTHOOD with it.  NBC is essentially out of the Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday business this fall, which is scary..

CW:   Although it was doubtless hurt by its lousy 90210 lead-in, RINGER has felt more unconvincing and dramatically weak with each episode, and that can't be helping its numbers.

Tonight we'll find out how SUBURGATORY holds up on its second airing.  Look for a Pilot + 1 Review later, and also for a review of Ryan Murphy's new FX spectacle, AN AMERICAN HORROR STORY.

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THE SKED: Tuesday Ratings - Network Scorecard


On a night without a lot of movement, sometimes standing still works out for the best.

FOX:  Zooey Deschanel may not be a mainstream movie star, but her Manic Pixie Dream Girl charms are definitely making her one on TV:  NEW GIRL (see our Pilot + 1 Review) is just a hair behind 2 Broke Girls as the biggest hit of the new season (and 1 of them should be the first to grab a back-order of Spring episodes).  Even more impressively, while Broke Girls is running essentially even with its strong How I Met Your Mother lead-in, New Girl had to do a lot of the heavy lifting itself.  All that's keeping FOX from spending the morning doing handstands is that so far, New Girl is a smash in isolation:  GLEE is settling into its new post-blockbuster, sub-4 rating world (as to last night's episode:  the series is so willfully strange that sometimes the relatively naturalistic episodes are the ones that seem oddest),  and RAISING HOPE is only slightly above last season's average.


CBS:  The NCIS franchise won 3 of its 4 half-hours last night, falling into 2d place only to New Girl and almost dead even with last week's numbers.  But UNFORGETTABLE (read our Pilot + 1 Review) can't afford to fade much more--it's already running even with The Good Wife's numbers in that slot, and those are the numbers that got Good Wife moved to another night.  On CBS, even winning your time slot isn't a guarantee of success if you squander your lead-in, and Unforgettable lost almost 40% of the NCIS:  LA number.

NBC:  BIGGEST LOSER is down an awful 30% from last season, and since it fills 2 hours of the night, Tuesday is basically cooked (albeit in a low-fat, nutritional way) for the network, much as Sing-Off is killing their Mondays.  The only shred of good news is that PARENTHOOD, while down from last season's average, is holding steady (another great episode last night), and suddenly finds itself very much in the 10PM race against weak competition on the other networks.  For NBC, that's a "hit".  

ABC:  The 8PM DANCING WITH THE STARS special is just a place-holder until Tim Allen rides to the rescue in a few weeks (they hope), but it's certainly not keeping the timeslot warm.  The Dancing results show is a disaster, down 30% from last year's, and the same is true for BODY OF PROOF, which is getting slammed by the direct competition of Unforgettable.

CW:  The good news is that there wasn't any bad news:  Ringer, despite being a serialized show (and despite another disappointing episode) stopped bleeding and held steady at last week's 0.9, and 90210 even went up a tick to 0.8.  Those numbers aren't much, but they're where the CW is these days.

Things to watch for tonight:  whether Revenge can sustain its impressive opening (look for our Pilot + 1 Review), and whether Up All Night can avoid any more slippage for NBC at 8PM.
 

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THE SKED: Tuesday Ratings - Network Scorecard


Two of the fall's most publicized new shows premiered last night, to very different results.

FOX:  The House of Murdoch won the night, as well as the biggest headline:  all those ads showcasing the goofy charm of Zooey Deschanel paid off big-time, and NEW GIRL's 4.8 rating (slightly updated from Mitch Metcalf's report) was about as good a number as the network could have wished for.  Even after the show settles down to a post-premiere level, the series should still be one of the half-dozen highest-rated sitcoms on all of broadcast TV, and if the show's quality holds up, there could be plenty of potential upside.  The only bad news for FOX was that one reason New Girl looked so good was that its lead-in, the season premiere of GLEE, was significantly down from last year's premiere--meaning that New Girl rose 20% from its lead-in (unlike 2 Broke Girls, which did a much bigger number than New Girl but lost more than 30% of its 2 1/2 Men lead-in).  The Glee number supports the idea that while it's still a hit show, its moment in the zeitgeist may have passed.  Also, RAISING HOPE didn't particularly benefit from its golden lead-in, and was only up around 10% from last season's average. 


CBS:  The network has to be a little disappointed with its UNFORGETTABLE premiere, even though the show won its timeslot:  they marketed the hell out of the series all summer, and while its 20% decline from the NCIS: LA lead-in was OK, it's nothing to get excited about.  Assuming that Unforgettable settles into a post-premiere number in the mid-2's, that'll just barely win the timeslot, and doesn't suggest a breakout hit (in comparison, the network's Hawaii 5-0 and The Mentalist, both in the same genre, typically exceed a 3).  The good news was that the 2 NCIS shows were utterly solid in their season premieres, and if Glee slips any more, CBS could have a chance of taking over the night.

NBC:  The aging BIGGEST LOSER was down from last season, and its 2.3 only keeps the show safe because it's on NBC.  On the upside, PARENTHOOD (which has quietly become one of the best dramas on network TV) was barely touched by the arrival of Unforgettable, and could find itself quite competitive at 10PM once the new show subsides.

ABC:  The network is waiting till October to launch its 8PM sitcoms, so they aired a low-rated DANCING WITH THE STARS special in the slot that doesn't mean much.  However, the Dancing results show at 9 was way down from last year's Tuesday installment, and that series, too, may have seen its best days (although given the celebrity component, it can always be hyped up with exciting new blood, assuming any is available).  BODY OF PROOF held up fine at 10PM, despite the direct procedural competition from CBS.

CW:  Not good.  RINGER (see our Pilot + 1 review) lost a scary chunk of its audience and dipped below a 1 rating, particularly bad because since it's a serialized show, those viewers are unlikely to come back.  However, the series did increase 20% from its 90210 lead-in, which has already dipped below last season's average.  Ringer can probably survive at this level, considering it's the CW, but any further declines would be very dangerous.

Tonight, 2 more big network bets arrive:  FOX's X-FACTOR extravaganza and ABC's REVENGE

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THE SKED: SHOWBUZZDAILY’S FALL 2011/12 TUESDAY TV SCHEDULE




Welcome to ShowbuzzDaily's coverage of the upcoming TV schedules for the 2011/12 TV season!  Above you see our guide to what to expect on Tuesday nights this Fall:  the numbers are our projected Adults 18-49 ratings for each show; the capitalized titles are the new shows; and italics are for shows changing their time slots.  Here’s our analysis of what will really be going on behind the numbers:

We expect NBC to be very aggressive on Tuesdays.  As on Monday, they should have their new hit THE VOICE to start off the night.  We think they'll follow it with the show that seems to be their #1 priority for Fall, SMASH. This is the story of the making of a Broadway musical, with Debra Messing as the composer of the show-within-the-show.  It will feature original songs by the real composer, HAIRSPRAY's Marc Shaiman; the pilot has also reportedly received the hands-on attention of Executive Producer Steven Spielberg.   With all that, and despite the huge success of GLEE, this is a risky project, and we're dubious that a musical without the relatable setting of high school can find the same wide audience.  At 10PM, the American version of the classic British cop show PRIME SUSPECT (with Maria Bello in Helen Mirren's iconic role) could work for part of the SMASH audience, but will have a hard time against THE GOOD WIFE.  Overall, we see the night as a mixed bag for the network--but all that will change if SMASH lives up to its title.

ABC starts out strongly on Tuesdays with the DANCING WITH THE STARS RESULTS, but hasn't been able to hold that audience.  We think they'll use that platform to launch their most prominent new sitcom, the TIM ALLEN PROJECT.  Reports are that it's catnip for his fans, and 9PM is his old HOME IMPROVEMENT timeslot.  The network will follow it with one of their other buzzed-about comedies, SMOTHERED, which has an ensemble of good older actors (Marcia Gay Harden, Adam Arkin, Julie White, John C McGinley) as grandparents trying to get along.  That comfortable, older demo could flow to the new drama PAN AM at 10PM, which is set in the 1960s and will try to tap the appeal of MAD MEN in a more populist way.  That may or may not work, but as long as Allen delivers the goods earlier in the evening, the network should have a nice uptick for the night.

FOX did OK with RAISING HOPE in the post-GLEE slot this year, but it didn't set the schedule on fire, and the shows that ran after itt (RUNNING WILDE and TRAFFIC LIGHTS) both flopped.  We think they'll hold HOPE for later in the season and try to use GLEE to launch their 2 hottest new comedies.  First is THE NEW GIRL, featuring the series debut of indie-goddess Zooey Deschanel as a woman sharing an apartment with the usual assortment of mismatched roommates.  Following that:  the eye-catchingly titled I HATE MY TEENAGE DAUGHTER, starring Jaime Pressley as a mom horrified to realize that her own daughter is just like the mean girls who used to terrorize her in school  These 2 have a real shot of elevating the network's Tuesday performance.

The CW is returning ONE TREE HILL to the air, which does a comfortable if unexciting number for them.  It should pair with the new HART OF DIXIE, from the producer of GOSSIP GIRL and before that THE OC, and not incidentally featuring OC's Rachel Bilson in a NORTHERN EXPOSURE type light drama, playing a NY doctor who moves to the deep, and eccentric, South.  Its success will depend on the charm it can reliably deliver.

CBS wins the night with its pair of NCIS shows followed by its most acclaimed (if not most watched) show THE GOOD WIFE, and will keep them in place.

Be sure to follow ShowbuzzDaily all through Upfront week:  we'll cover the actual network schedules as soon as they're announced, with our own brand of instant expert analysis... and stay tuned for reviews of the shows you'll be watching (or not) in the fall!

WANT MORE?  Click on any link below to read predictions for another night:


MON     TUE     WED     THU     FRI     SAT     SUN

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