SHOWBUZZDAILY OSCAR WATCH: THE WINNERS
SHOWBUZZDAILY 2011 IN REVIEW: THE TOP 10 FILMS
As a movie year, 2011 felt, more than anything else, like a reflection of an art and a business in disarray. Economically, it was a down year and for the major studios, a frightening one: beyond the special case of the Harry Potter finale, virtually every Hollywood franchise slipped from prior success in the US, saved from barrels of red ink only because overseas audiences embraced them in record-breaking numbers. Even the technology of "film" was and continues to be in flux: more and more motion pictures are shot and distributed on high-definition video that's increasingly difficult for viewers to tell from traditional film stock; US audiences are growing tired, for the most part, of inferior 3D; and the dispute over whether motion-capture performance (like Andy Serkis's Caesar in Rise of the Planet of the Apes) constitutes award-worthy "acting" is growing hotter. Creatively, too, it seemed like the movies were in a holding pattern, waiting to find out what the next exciting wave would be. Despite all this, there continued to be films worth seeing and commemorating, and here were the best 10 of them:THE BIJOU: International Footnote
WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES: A Little Better Than Expected
Based on Saturday numbers, the weekend is coming in a bit stronger than projected yesterday but still lagging behind the same weekend average for the last four years. The top 12 films should total $104.5 million for the weekend, down 3% from the last few years.
The relatively small size of this decline indicates the "slump" is more in a holding pattern than back in full force (as it looked yesterday). However, the box office is going to need to start to show some consistent increases to erase the severe declines in the first six weeks of the year.
Limitless (Relativity) is now looking like a somewhat stronger #1 with $19.0 million and headed for a domestic ultimate of $59 million (63rd percentile). Lincoln Lawyer (Lionsgate) should open at #4 with $13.4 million, on track for $46 million (56th percentile). Paul (Universal) should follow at a close #5 with $13.2 million, headed for $43 million (56th percentile).
Holdovers This Weekend Domestic Ultimate
Rango (Paramount) #2 -32% $15.3 $138 (88th %ile)
Battle: Los Angeles (Sony) #3 -59% $14.6 $91 (77th %ile)
Red Riding Hood (WB) #6 -48% $7.25 $39 (49th %ile)
The Adjustment Bureau (Uni) #7 -49% $5.9 $67 (69th %ile)
Mars Needs Moms (Disney) #8 -23% $5.3 $28 (35th %ile)
THURSDAY NUMBERS: Rango Edges Back Into First Place
Battle: Los Angeles fell to a very close #2 with $2.02 million Thursday, declining a steep 14% from Wednesday (well below the average 3.5% increase for March films in day seven). Red Riding Hood dropped 10% to $1.01 million, staying in the #3 position. Mars Needs Moms fell 6% to $0.72 million, holding the #5 spot.
All in all, a pretty uneventful mid-week period with no film setting up for an especially strong second or third weekend performance. Tomorrow should more interesting with three new films in wide release and the possible answer to the question of whether the slump is ending (see Slump post below).






