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Showing posts with label Oscars. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oscars. Show all posts

Movie Moxie Podcast 63: Oscars 2012 & Gone

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This week on the Movie Moxie Podcast Shannon shares spoiler free review of recent release Gone and chats about the recent Academy Awards. Plus a look at DVD releases including reviews of Bounty Hunters and Sympathy for Delicious.






0:00 - 0:50 Intro
0:50 - 15:45 Oscars
15:45 - 26:00 Goon Debackle & Gone review
26:00 - 27:20 DVD releases
27:20 - 29:25 DVD Review Bounty Hunters
29:25 - 33:30 DVD Review Sympathy for Delicious
33:30 - 37:00 Looking ahead to next week & Genie Awards
37:00 - 38:05 Outro

Show Notes

Movie Moxie Podcast - A 100% spoiler-free film review podcast
You can also subscribe to the Movie Moxie Podcast here:
Subscribe through iTunes here.

I'll be back next week to chat Genie results and a new theatrical release, although the jury is still out on which one it will be. Stay tuned!

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Movie Moxie Podcast 63: Oscars 2012 & Gone

This week on the Movie Moxie Podcast Shannon shares spoiler free review of recent release Gone and chats about the recent Academy Awards. Plus a look at DVD releases including reviews of Bounty Hunters and Sympathy for Delicious.






0:00 - 0:50 Intro
0:50 - 15:45 Oscars
15:45 - 26:00 Goon Debackle & Gone review
26:00 - 27:20 DVD releases
27:20 - 29:25 DVD Review Bounty Hunters
29:25 - 33:30 DVD Review Sympathy for Delicious
33:30 - 37:00 Looking ahead to next week & Genie Awards
37:00 - 38:05 Outro

Show Notes

Movie Moxie Podcast - A 100% spoiler-free film review podcast
You can also subscribe to the Movie Moxie Podcast here:
Subscribe through iTunes here.

I'll be back next week to chat Genie results and a new theatrical release, although the jury is still out on which one it will be. Stay tuned!

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SHOWBUZZDAILY POST-POST-OSCARS BOXOFFICE





Well, that didn't last long.

After an Oscars+1 day where Best Picture winner THE ARTIST had the smallest Monday decline of any movie in the Top 10,  by Tuesday the glow was gone.  On a day when almost every Top 10 film was significantly up, ccording to Box Office Mojo, Artist had an increase of only 13%.  This made it 8th in the Top 10, behind THE VOW (38%), THIS MEANS WAR (21%), WANDERLUST (21%),  and even the disastrous GONE (35%), among others.


Fellow Oscar winners THE IRON LADY (17%) and THE DESCENDANTS (14%) were in a similar boat, and HUGO was up only 7%, although the latter has the excuse of also being released on homevideo yesterday.

The Weinstein Company will of course be expanding Artist's theatre count on Friday, so its overall weekend gross may very well be its highest to date.  But there's little sign, even with its Oscar wins, that Artist will ever become any kind of popular hit.


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The Sked: SUNDAY OSCAR Ratings (Almost Official)

The ratings are almost official for the 84th Academy Awards.  The initial fast nationals have been correctly adjusted for each time zone's live feed pattern, and now there is just one more processing step at Nielsen to make the rating official.  (The final step usually changes the rating at most one tenth of a rating point.)  The Academy Awards is now looking like an 11.7 rating Adult 18-49, about the same as last year and comfortably ahead of the record low in 2008.  The Grammys (14.1) will stand as the top-rated entertainment special with young adults this year.

In terms of all viewers (ages 2+), the Oscar telecast averaged 39.3 million viewers, almost 5% ahead of last year.  Thanks to population growth and an aging Oscar audience, there are now four Oscar ceremonies with lower 2+ audiences (2006, 2008, 2009 and 2011). 


 

           ACADEMY AWARDS Telecast Viewership

               Adult   Viewers
               18-49     2+     
               Rating  millions  BEST PICTURE
   2012 Feb 26  11.7    39.3     The Artist   ALMOST OFFICIAL
                10.4*   32.9*    The Artist*  SHOWBUZZ FORECAST

   2011 Feb 27  11.8    37.6     The King’s Speech
   2010 Mar  7  13.3    41.6     The Hurt Locker
   2009 Feb 22  12.1    36.9     Slumdog Millionaire
   2008 Feb 24  10.7    31.8     No Country for Old Men
   2007 Feb 25  14.1    39.9     The Departed
   2006 Mar  5  13.9    38.6     Crash
   2005 Feb 27  15.1    42.2     Million Dollar Baby
   2004 Feb 29  15.3    43.6     Lord of the Rings:
                                   Return of the King

So the 2012 ratings were not nearly as low as we forecast.  They are not disastrous -- better described as in line with soft numbers of recent years.  After all, in today's environment an 11.7 rating with young adults and 39+ million viewers is nothing to sneeze at.  But the Grammy Awards and the NFL show that live, relevant content can do the seeming impossible: increase TV audiences amid wrenching technological change.  Losing Eddie Murphy as host (and even scarier, Brett Ratner as the show's producer) turned out to be a great thing.  Billy Crystal's return (in all his love-it-or-hate-it Borscht Belt glory) was perfect for the older audience.  

Looking forward though, can the Academy and ABC recruit enough younger viewers to move the rating back toward a 13 or even higher?  As with box office performance, the answer lies in the movies themselves.  Instead of several well-crafted $50 million (or even less) grossing films, a couple of excellently-made $150+ million box office films in the running for major awards would generate the kind of interest and suspense that could push the rating as high as a 14 or 15.  Even it today's fragmented media marketplace, it would be possible.  It's the difference between an effete contest featuring films that most people maybe have heard of and a grudge-match starring movies that a broad cross-section of the TV audience has actually seen.  In contrast, no amount of tinkering to the broadcast itself (more downloaded apps, a "hip" young host, more/fewer clips, more/less dancing) is going to draw a larger young audience.  If anything, deviating too much from the formula will only alienate the older base, on which the franchise is built.  At its heart, the Oscars is the Super Bowl for women and movie fans.  Invite broadly appealing, well-matched films and stars to the arena, and viewers of all ages will show up.          



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SHOWBUZZDAILY FORECAST: OSCARS 2012 - IT'S NEVER TOO SOON





Moving on...

As we all know, last night was the Rise Of the Planet Of the Black-and-White Silent French People.  For some of us, this was not good news.  But there's always next year!  Which means this year.  So let's see what's on the horizon for the 2012 Academy Awards:

Harvey Weinstein seems to control the Academy like Angela Lansbury (or, more appropriately, Meryl Streep in the remake) after telling The Manchurian Candidate to play a little solitaire, making him the appropriate place to start.  The Weinstein Company will no doubt acquire some more titles as the year goes by (the company bought THE ARTIST shortly before Cannes last year), but here's his slate for now:


DJANGO UNCHAINED (currently slated to open Christmas Day, although dates so far out are always subject to change):  The return of Mr. Quentin Tarantino, good-luck charm of WeinsteinCorp.  Tarantino's never won--those who think the snub of last year's THE SOCIAL NETWORK was something new should look up 1994, the year FORREST GUMP swept away PULP FICTION--so could this be his year?  It combines the incendiary American topics of race and violence in a story about an escaped slave who gets vengeance on his vicious master, which means that even with a fabulous cast that includes Leonardo DiCaprio, Jamie Foxx, Samuel L. Jackson, Christoph Waltz, Sacha Baron Cohen and Kurt Russell, Harvey has his work cut out for him.

Also potentially controversial--and the film least likely to get Tom Cruise's vote--is THE MASTER (currently unscheduled), the latest film from Paul Thomas Anderson, who's as brilliant as any filmmaker in the world today.  Anderson has danced with Oscar for THERE WILL BE BLOOD, but only Daniel Day-Lewis collected the gold.  Master is widely rumored to be a thinly-veiled saga about the rise of Scientology, with Philip Seymour Hoffman as the "L. Ron Hubbard" character, Joaquin Phoenix as his subordinate, and Amy Adams in the female lead.  In the universe of Hollywood, this subject matter is about as daring as it gets.

THE SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK (November 21) seems on first glance to be more of a performance-award play, but who knows?  It's David O. Russell's follow-up to THE FIGHTER, about a teacher back in his real life after 4 years in a mental institution, and the stellar cast includes Bradley Cooper, Robert DeNiro, Jennifer Lawrence and past nominee Jacki Weaver.

The thriller COGAN'S TRADE (September 21) also seems on its face to be a less likely candidate.  However, it shouldn't be dismissed too quickly:  the film reunites Brad Pitt with his nothing-if-not-serious ASSASSINATION OF JESSE JAMES director Andrew Dominik, and the opening date suggests the picture is aiming to premiere at one or more of the fall film festivals like Venice or Toronto.

There are, of course, other studios in the game besides Harvey Weinstein's, although few are as invested in the Oscar hunt.  Here are some of their likely candidates:

THE GREAT GATSBY (Warners - Christmas Day):  When they talk about "Oscar bait," this is what they mean.  Baz Luhrmann's adaptation of the classic stars Leonardo DiCaprio (again), Carey Mulligan, and Tobey Maguire... and it's in 3D.

ARGO (Warners - September 14):  Another likely film festival premiere, from director Ben Affleck, whose THE TOWN had him on plenty of Oscar shortlists.  This one adds a political dimension, with a real-life story about an attempt to free Americans from Iran.

TWYLIGHT ZONES (Paramount - October 19):  David Chase?  You've heard of him?  Did a little show called The Sopranos?  His big-screen directing debut, which is also his first post-Sopranos piece of work, is an Oscar candidate by definition.

ANNA KARENINA (Focus - September 7):  Tolstoy may not quite be the level of big name as David Chase, but still.  An all-star group of filmmakers including director Joe Wright, screenwriter Tom Stoppard, and actors Keira Knightley, Jude Law, Kelly McDonald and Downton Abbey's beloved Michelle Dockery present that novel that was in Oprah's Book Club.

LES MISERABLES (Universal - December 7):  Thinking of big-time adaptations... KING'S SPEECH Oscar-winner Tom Hooper directs Hugh Jackman, Russell Crowe, Anne Hathaway, Amanda Seyfried, Sacha Baron Cohen, Helena Bonham Carter and similarly classy folk in the giant musical of the year.

BIN LADEN:  DEAD OR ALIVE (Sony - December 21):  Kathryn Bigelow's follow-up to THE HURT LOCKER is a thriller with a terrific ensemble cast that includes Jessica Chastain, Joel Edgerton, Kyle Chandler, Nina Arianda and Edgar Ramirez.

TROUBLE WITH THE CURVE (Warners - September 28): Clint, in another valedictory role, is always an Oscar possibilty.  He didn't direct this one, so maybe not a Best Picture favorite, but on paper his part as a baseball scout on the road for the last time could get him into the running for a long-awaited Best Actor nod.

NERO FIDDLED (Sony Classics - June 22):  Can Woody Allen double down on his MIDNIGHT IN PARIS bonanza with another foreign-set (Rome, this time) ensemble comedy?  Probably not, but no one saw Midnight coming, either.

THIS IS FORTY (Universal - December 21):  Another comedy auteur, this time Judd Apatow, with a lengthy comic-dramatic story about the sister and brother-in-law (Paul Rudd and Leslie Mann) of Katherine Heigl's character from KNOCKED UP.  No, don't look for Heigl to make an appearance (or, more surprisingly, Seth Rogen).

THE LIFE OF PI (20th - December 21):  It's taken a long time for Yann Martel's classy best-seller to get to the screen, but Ang Lee has finally done the job.

THE HOBBIT PART I  (Warners - December 14):  The last time Peter Jackson directed those little guys, it worked out pretty well.

And then there's THE DARK KNIGHT RISES (Warners - July 20).  The Academy has an ambivalent relationship with giant franchises (say goodbye, Harry Potter).  But Christopher Nolan's spectacles have formed the most critically-acclaimed franchise since, well, LORD OF THE RINGS, so...


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The Sked: OSCAR SUNDAY Ratings

The fast national ratings (100% of the country measured but the western time zones inaccurately counted) give last night's Academy Awards a preliminary 10.2 rating with Adults 18-49 and 34.3 million viewers 2+.  Now, before we give ourselves an Oscar for our prediction, remember the fast nationals will be adjusted upward as the Pacific time zone is properly counted.  (Much of the Pacific time zone's viewing of the Oscar telecast is currently counted in the Red Carpet Arrival show in the preliminary numbers.)  If last year's patterns hold, the official Oscar telecast rating will go up to an 11.4 rating with Adults 18-49 (down from last year and the second lowest in history) and 38.8 million viewers 2+ (up slightly from last year), indicating Billy Crystal brought in viewers over 50 but the Academy Awards audience just keeps getting older.  We will update with the official numbers when they arrive.
 

           ACADEMY AWARDS Telecast Viewership

               Adult   Viewers
               18-49     2+     
               Rating  millions  BEST PICTURE
   2012 Feb 26  10.2    34.3     The Artist   FAST NATIONAL
                10.4*   32.9*    The Artist*  SHOWBUZZ FORECAST

   2011 Feb 27  11.8    37.6     The King’s Speech
   2010 Mar  7  13.3    41.6     The Hurt Locker
   2009 Feb 22  12.1    36.9     Slumdog Millionaire
   2008 Feb 24  10.7    31.8     No Country for Old Men
   2007 Feb 25  14.1    39.9     The Departed
   2006 Mar  5  13.9    38.6     Crash
   2005 Feb 27  15.1    42.2     Million Dollar Baby
   2004 Feb 29  15.3    43.6     Lord of the Rings:
                                   Return of the King

How can the important 18-49 ratings be equal (or slightly better) to last year in the initial overnight ratings but down in the fast national and projected official national ratings?  Remember that the overnight ratings only measure the largest markets, while the fast nationals and official nationals include the half of the country that lives in smaller markets: more rural and more red state.  In addition to trending toward an older audience over 50, the Academy Awards increasingly trend toward larger markets, the coasts, and blue state territory.  
   
CBS averaged a 1.4 rating last night.  A repeat 60 Minutes (1.3) kicked off the night, followed by a new Amazing Race (2.1), which was down not surprisingly from last week's 2.6 but similar to last year's similar episode against the Oscars.  Repeat dramas rounded out the night: The Mentalist (0.9) and CSI: Miami (1.2).  Last year on Oscar night, a 1.7 rating from 7-11 pm:  60 Minutes Presents (1.2), Amazing Race (2.1), Undercover Boss (1.5) and CSI: Miami (2.0).

NBC also averaged a 1.4, up from last year.  Repeats before 9 pm, Dateline (1.1) and Celebrity Apprentice (0.8), gave way to an original two-hour Celebrity Apprentice (1.8) from 9:00-11:08 pm.  Why the odd end time?  So local stations could call their late newscast a special (according to Nielsen rules) and not count the number in their February sweep average.  Last week Celebrity Apprentice premiered with a 2.6 rating.  Last year on Oscar night, a 0.9 rating from 7-11 pm: Dateline Classic 7-8 pm (0.8), Minute to Win It 8-9 pm (0.7), Minute to Win It 9-10 pm (1.2) and Minute to Win It 10 pm (0.8).

FOX made it three networks at a 1.4 against the Oscars with repeats of animated comedies: Bob's Burgers (0.8), Cleveland Show (1.0), Simpsons (1.6), Napoleon Dynamite (1.6), Family Guy (1.6) and American Dad (1.5).  Last year on this night, a 1.9 rating from 7-10 pm: Simpsons 7:00 (1.7), American Dad 7:30 (1.6), Simpsons 8:00 (2.2), Bob's Burgers 8:30 (1.8), Family Guy 9:00 (2.1), Family Guy 9:30 (2.0).

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The Sked: SUNDAY OVERNIGHTS Oscar Ratings Not Horrible

Early ratings from the 56 metered markets (covering about half the country) indicate the Academy Awards telecast had a similar household rating and share to last year's show, as reported by Deadline.  The early demographic ratings from a subset of these markets (covering about a quarter of the country) are also similar to last year's level in the same set of big markets.  These numbers, unlike the fast nationals, ARE correctly time-zone adjusted -- they just do not measure the medium and small television markets in the country.

It appears that our ratings forecast (falling below the record low Oscar ratings from 2008) was way off, and that last night's show has a shot of at least coming closer to this year's stellar Grammy Awards rating and staying in line with recent Oscar telecasts.  When we have more projectable national numbers we will update yesterday's ratings track.   

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THE SKED MOVIE PROMO WATCH: OSCAR NIGHT EDITION





The Academy limits the number of movie ads that can be aired on the Oscar telecast (until recent years, they didn't allow any), so as not to make the night look like the awards are shilling for the studios.  (God forbid!)  It's not clear whether that's the reason only 2 movie promos made it into the telecast itself or if no one else wanted to pay the hefty tab for an Oscar spot, but several other studios did crowd into the pre-show.  A quick rundown:

MIRROR MIRROR (Universal) - 30 sec - The studio took out 2 different 30 second spots in the pre-show, both of which played up the movie's comedy, but this time concentrating on the dwarfs (who can apparently adjust their size) instead of Julia Roberts, as the first ads did.  The movie opens March 30, so the more intensive part of its campaign should soon be underway.  


THE HUNGER GAMES (Lionsgate) - 30 sec - Pretty much the same spot the studio has been airing since the Super Bowl, with a few shots swapped out.  The campaign, so far, continues to emphasize the set-up of the Games rather than the more action-oriented Games sequences themselves that presumably take up the bulk of the movie.  Lionsgate is hoping this is going to be their Twilight, and with a March 23 opening around the corner, ads should be multiplying like crazy very soon.

THE LORAX (Universal) - 15 sec - A somewhat different spot from the ones we've seen.  It doesn't play up the quest part of the story (find the real trees!) or Danny DeVito and his "That's a woman?!?" line.  Instead, the promo plays off the question of whether Loraxes (Loraxi?) are real.  The movie opens Friday, so all its spots are now in heavy rotation.

JOHN CARTER (Disney) - 30 sec - Now Disney is attempting to make John Carter look like a critical hit, with quotes from reviewers no one has ever heard of (the cynical among us may doubt that the real reviews will be quite as thrilled).  The movie opens March 9 and as is widely known by now, the advance tracking is apparently dismal, so the spot is all action, trying to play up the spectacle bought by the reported $250-300M budget.

BRAVE (Disney) - 30 sec - A very classy spot (carefully timed to run just after Best Animated Film was presented) with just one line of voice-over and gorgeous visuals.  It seems designed by Pixar to wipe the taste of Cars 2 out of our mouths long before Brave arrives in June.

TITANIC (Paramount) - 30 sec - You play Celine Dion, show Kate and Leo, have a few shots of the boat going down, and announce that it's now in 3D--that's pretty much the campaign, and what more do they need?  The spot ended with a quick URL for a website where people can buy tickets for a "sneak preview" the night before the official April 4 opening.

Of course, the most notorious movie "ad" of the night was Sacha Baron Cohen's shameless huckstering of THE DICTATOR, which bought the movie millions in free pre-release publicity about his expected awards antics.  The Academy, while letting him do this thing, kept him the hell off their air, including the official pre-show.  Nevertheless, he was able to get plenty of media attention by dumping an urn of "Kim Jong-Il's ashes" on Ryan Seacrest, live on E!   Mission accomplished.



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SHOWBUZZDAILY OSCAR WATCH: THE TELECAST




Until its final 45 minutes, the one thing that could be said about this year's Oscar telecast was that it was at least brisk.  Merely 2 hours and 15 minutes into the show, there were amazingly only 3 awards and the In Memorium segment still to go.  But for ABC, running under the appointed time would be at least as bad as running over--those commercials all had to get on the air--so at that point the brakes went on, and like the last 2 minutes of a close basketball game, when endless fouls and time-outs stretch the very nature of time, the remainder of the show moved in extreme slow-motion.  Most egregiously tedious:  the fatuous nominee-by-nominee description of each Best Actor and Actress performance that Natalie Portman and Colin Firth were forced to deliver.


The fact that from the network's point of view, the biggest problem with this year's show was that it ran too efficiently tells you all you need to know.  Billy Crystal, given the mantle of Host like a retired general brought back to action after some dreadful military defeat (in this case two of them:  last year's James Franco/Anne Hathaway debacle and the Brett Ratner/Eddie Murphy embarrassment), did what he does.  There was the polished opening bit with Billy inserted among the film clips and movie stars, the "Wonderful Night For Oscar" musical number (not particularly audible, although it was unclear whether that was Crystal's fault or ABC's sub-par microphones, a problem all night), the light digs at celebrities that were better timed than they were funny, the now-ancient "What They're Really Thinking" sketch, which ran horribly flat (Brad Pitt is thinking about parent-teacher conferences!  That's because he and Angelina have so many kids!  LOL!).  There wasn't a genuinely imaginative or inspired moment in Crystal's whole evening, but damn it, the show ran on time. 

The whole tone of the night seemed something like an Old People's Revenge, as though the Academy, after both its efforts at getting "hip" had ended in disaster, had thrown up its hands and embraced its creakiness.  (It was like the Academy had turned into the aged derelicts getting their revenge on Malcolm McDowell in the second half of A Clockwork Orange.)  Instead, they ridiculed--repeatedly--the whole idea of pandering to youth.  Take that, you young demo you--get off our lawn!

So the entertainment centerpiece of the night was Cirque du Soleil, the members of the troupe throwing each other around like cast members in Broadway's Spider-Man and resembling the Vegas floorshow they are.  A seemingly endless series of montages featured movie stars photographed like the Witnesses in Warren Beatty's Reds (including, briefly, Beatty himself), opining very seriously about What The Movies Mean To Us, and sidestepping the fact that few of them have probably paid for a ticket in a real movie theater for the past decade or more.  Christopher Guest's rep group turned up in a parody of screening focus groups that was so inside baseball, you'd have had to be a marketing executive to find it funny. 

Among the presenters, few of the pre-planned schticks paid off:  Will Ferrell and Zach Galifianakis with cymbals and Robert Downey Jr's unbearable Best Doc/reality-show bit (watching it, you felt sorry for Gwyneth Paltrow, a seeming impossibility) both fell flat.  Emma Stone managed to survive her gimmick, partly because it was fun to watch Ben Stiller play straight man, and partly because Emma Stone seems able to survive anything.  Chris Rock had some funny moments.  And Angelina Jolie stuck her leg out.

It came as a surprise to exactly no one this past week when the LA Times reported breathlessly that an analysis of the Academy membership revealed it to be predominantly elderly white guys.  And this show was for them, from the winners (Christopher Plummer, Meryl Streep, Woody Allen, 10 of the awards split between 2 loving tributes to the world of classic cinema) to the telecast itself.  The night felt as though the Academy was desperately hoping that if everyone pretended the world wasn't changing... maybe it wouldn't.

Good luck with that.

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SHOWBUZZDAILY OSCAR WATCH: THE WINNERS




It's a measure of how desperately this year's Oscar needed some kind of surprise that the closest thing to a thrill all evening was Meryl Streep's win as Best Actress.  Streep has been winning Academy Awards since 1979, and she'd been touted for her performance as Margaret Thatcher since months before THE IRON LADY even opened.  By virtually every measure, she'd been a close 2d to Viola Davis as favorite all along.  One could even make the argument that choosing Streep over Davis was actually the more conservative move in the category.  (And a bittersweet one, because although Streep--despite her protestations--will almost certainly have more chances at the prize before she's done, it might not be so easy for Davis to climb that hill again.)  And yet, when Streep's name was announced, it was the night's only jolt of electricity:  Something Finally Happened!


Streep's victory also underscored, for anyone who doubted, that Harvey Weinstein is the master of his era's (maybe any era's) Oscar gamesmanship.  Streep had been a strong contender for THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA and for JULIE AND JULIA, and both times she'd been denied.  Iron Lady was the least successful, least-seen and least-liked of Streep's recent vehicles, but Weinstein's absolutely unapologetic willingness to play the card of "winning 29 years ago is like not winning at all," stressed in every Streep-for-Best-Actress ad, did the trick.  

Weinstein was also behind another surprise, the victory of UNDEFEATED for Best Feature Documentary over the favored PINA and PARADISE LOST 3.  (He can't claim the night's below-the-line shocker when THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO took Best Editing.)  And of course, he was the architect of the night's most inevitable set of victories, as THE ARTIST marched to the podium every time it really counted.

Apart from the Weinstein brigade, the Oscars were mostly widely scattered, as THE DESCENDANTS, THE HELP and MIDNIGHT IN PARIS each won a single award, Christopher Plummer took his unofficial lifetime achievement prize, and HUGO went home with all the awards no one cares about.

Ironically, 2012 will probably be the wrong year to be Harvey Weinstein's touted entry for Best Picture:  after THE KING'S SPEECH and The Artist in consecutive years, the Academy may go out of its way to show its independence from his hegemony.  But if there's any certainty in the Oscar universe, it's that he'll be back.

Here's your complete set of Oscar winners:

BEST PICTURE:  THE ARTIST

BEST DIRECTOR:  MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS, "THE ARTIST"

BEST ACTOR:  JEAN DUJARDIN, "THE ARTIST"

BEST ACTRESS:  MERYL STREEP, "THE IRON LADY"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:  CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER, "BEGINNERS"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:  OCTAVIA SPENCER, "THE HELP"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:  WOODY ALLEN, "MIDNIGHT IN PARIS"

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:  ALEXANDER PAYNE, JIM RASH and NAT FAXON, "THE DESCENDANTS"

BEST ANIMATED FILM:  "RANGO"

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:  "A SEPARATION"

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:  "UNDEFEATED" 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:  "HUGO"

BEST FILM EDITING:  "THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO"

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:  "THE ARTIST"

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:  MAN OR MUPPET, "THE MUPPETS"

BEST ART DIRECTION:  "HUGO"

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:  "THE ARTIST"

BEST MAKE-UP:  "THE IRON LADY"

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:  "HUGO"

BEST SOUND EDITING:  "HUGO"

BEST SOUND MIXING:  "HUGO"

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT:  "THE SHORE"

BEST ANIMATED SHORT:  "THE FANTASTIC FLYING BOOKS OF MR. MORRIS LESSMORE"

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT:  "SAVING FACE"
 


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84th Academy Award Winners

The Oscars have come and gone for another year, and Billy Crystal hosted a very quick and to the point show that had the running them of embracing the art, memory and celebrating film. I actually quite liked the montages of people talking about film and considering the 2 lead nominee films (Hugo & The Artists) are films that celebrate film I can understand why they went with the memory focus. As it turns out, folks seemed to fully embrace those films and both Hugo and The Artist took home 5 awards each and The Artist won both Best Picture and Best Director. The only other multiple winner was The Iron Lady which actually won 2/2 with Make Up and Best Actress (Meryl Streep) giving it a 100% success rate from nominations to winners. All other winning films took home 1 award each.

That's the wrap up and number crunching and all the winners are below, but first here are some memorable moments and thoughts that chronological popped up in my head while watching the show....

  • Cinematography first ? Wha? What happened to supporting actor/actress? ...that's usually first! Just when I think I've got the patterns down they switch them up!
  • Awesome moment: Octavia Spencer getting a standing ovation when accepting her award for Actress in a Supporting Role for The Help
  • I loved how editors Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall kept their speech short and sweet noted "Yep, we're editors" and left the stage post-thanks for their win for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo.
  • Sad moment of realizing Drive didn't win it's 1 possible award.
  • Cirque du Soliel interpretation of what it's like to go to the movies 1 time only performance, which I literally couldn't take my eyes off the screen although I'm sure it read better live.
  • Pretty funny intro with Gwyneth Paltrow and Robert Downey Jr. present the Oscar for documentary all genuine and 'real like' with RDJ saying they were doing a film or role of "The Presentor"
  • The Documentary (Feature) team of TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay and Richard Middlemas who won for Undefeated got a bleep, a music swell and their audio cut out! WOW. And they were the only ones that did.
  • Emma Stone being ridiculously cute presenting for the first time.
  • Jason Isaacs talking about Harry Potter and the creation of the world in the intros for both Make Up and Visual Effects, he spoke with such passion it literally brought tears to my eyes.
  • Christopher Plummer and his delight acceptance speech for "Beginners"
  • "Thank you to my parents for never telling me to get a real job" - Bret McKenzie, during his acceptance speech for Best Original Song for Man or Muppet, from The Muppets (and the OMG moment of realizing he's Bret from Flight of the Conchords)
  • I loved father/daughter team acceptance speech for The Shore for Short Film (Live Action) Terry George and Oorlagh George, where the father says he doesn't have to wait for a wedding to tell the world how wonderful his daughter is.
  • Woody Allen was the only winner not in attendance (won Best Original Screenplay for Midnight in Paris).
  • I had a moment of panic when we were a healthy ways in but still no shorts awarded, but they finally did present live action, animated and documentary one after another after another, awarded by the cast of Bridesmaids.
  • "You understand something that you didn't understand before, about life" - Edward Norton
  • I really thought Demián Bichir from A Better Life was going to cry from Natalie Portman's introduction of him for Best Actor.
  • And wow again and complete GRRR moment for the end-reveal of The Artist (in at least 2 ways) with the Best Actor lead in speech. Sigh. Why do they do that?
  • "You are unreasonable good" Colin Firth describing Meryl Streep.
  • Standing Ovation for Meryl Streep.
  • Sad realization that The Tree of Life goes home with no awards.
  • And it ends with in an unusual yet even split of 5 awards for both Hugo & The Artist.
84th Academy Awards Winners
In the order in which they were presented


Cinematography

"Hugo" Robert Richardson

Art Direction
"Hugo" Production Design: Dante Ferretti; Set Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo

Costume Design
"The Artist" Mark Bridges

Makeup
"The Iron Lady" Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland

Foreign Language Film
"A Separation" Iran

Actress in a Supporting Role
Octavia Spencer in "The Help"

Film Editing
"The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall

Sound Editing
"Hugo" Philip Stockton and Eugene Gearty

Sound Mixing
"Hugo" Tom Fleischman and John Midgley

Documentary (Feature)
"Undefeated" TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay and Richard Middlemas

Animated Feature Film
"Rango" Gore Verbinski

Visual Effects
"Hugo" Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and Alex Henning

Actor in a Supporting Role
Christopher Plummer in "Beginners"

Music (Original Score)
"The Artist" Ludovic Bource

Music (Original Song)
"Man or Muppet" from "The Muppets" Music and Lyric by Bret McKenzie

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
"The Descendants" Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash

Writing (Original Screenplay)
"Midnight in Paris" Written by Woody Allen

Short Film (Live Action)
"The Shore" Terry George and Oorlagh George

Documentary (Short Subject)
"Saving Face" Daniel Junge and Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy

Short Film (Animated)
"The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore" William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg

Directing
"The Artist" Michel Hazanavicius

Actor in a Leading Role
Jean Dujardin in "The Artist"

Actress in a Leading Role
Meryl Streep in "The Iron Lady"

Best Picture
"The Artist" Thomas Langmann, Producer

The 84th Academy Awards were presented on Sunday February 26, 2012 .

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84th Academy Award Winners

The Oscars have come and gone for another year, and Billy Crystal hosted a very quick and to the point show that had the running them of embracing the art, memory and celebrating film. I actually quite liked the montages of people talking about film and considering the 2 lead nominee films (Hugo & The Artists) are films that celebrate film I can understand why they went with the memory focus. As it turns out, folks seemed to fully embrace those films and both Hugo and The Artist took home 5 awards each and The Artist won both Best Picture and Best Director. The only other multiple winner was The Iron Lady which actually won 2/2 with Make Up and Best Actress (Meryl Streep) giving it a 100% success rate from nominations to winners. All other winning films took home 1 award each.

That's the wrap up and number crunching and all the winners are below, but first here are some memorable moments and thoughts that chronological popped up in my head while watching the show....

  • Cinematography first ? Wha? What happened to supporting actor/actress? ...that's usually first! Just when I think I've got the patterns down they switch them up!
  • Awesome moment: Octavia Spencer getting a standing ovation when accepting her award for Actress in a Supporting Role for The Help
  • I loved how editors Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall kept their speech short and sweet noted "Yep, we're editors" and left the stage post-thanks for their win for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo.
  • Sad moment of realizing Drive didn't win it's 1 possible award.
  • Cirque du Soliel interpretation of what it's like to go to the movies 1 time only performance, which I literally couldn't take my eyes off the screen although I'm sure it read better live.
  • Pretty funny intro with Gwyneth Paltrow and Robert Downey Jr. present the Oscar for documentary all genuine and 'real like' with RDJ saying they were doing a film or role of "The Presentor"
  • The Documentary (Feature) team of TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay and Richard Middlemas who won for Undefeated got a bleep, a music swell and their audio cut out! WOW. And they were the only ones that did.
  • Emma Stone being ridiculously cute presenting for the first time.
  • Jason Isaacs talking about Harry Potter and the creation of the world in the intros for both Make Up and Visual Effects, he spoke with such passion it literally brought tears to my eyes.
  • Christopher Plummer and his delight acceptance speech for "Beginners"
  • "Thank you to my parents for never telling me to get a real job" - Bret McKenzie, during his acceptance speech for Best Original Song for Man or Muppet, from The Muppets (and the OMG moment of realizing he's Bret from Flight of the Conchords)
  • I loved father/daughter team acceptance speech for The Shore for Short Film (Live Action) Terry George and Oorlagh George, where the father says he doesn't have to wait for a wedding to tell the world how wonderful his daughter is.
  • Woody Allen was the only winner not in attendance (won Best Original Screenplay for Midnight in Paris).
  • I had a moment of panic when we were a healthy ways in but still no shorts awarded, but they finally did present live action, animated and documentary one after another after another, awarded by the cast of Bridesmaids.
  • "You understand something that you didn't understand before, about life" - Edward Norton
  • I really thought Demián Bichir from A Better Life was going to cry from Natalie Portman's introduction of him for Best Actor.
  • And wow again and complete GRRR moment for the end-reveal of The Artist (in at least 2 ways) with the Best Actor lead in speech. Sigh. Why do they do that?
  • "You are unreasonable good" Colin Firth describing Meryl Streep.
  • Standing Ovation for Meryl Streep.
  • Sad realization that The Tree of Life goes home with no awards.
  • And it ends with in an unusual yet even split of 5 awards for both Hugo & The Artist.
84th Academy Awards Winners
In the order in which they were presented


Cinematography

"Hugo" Robert Richardson

Art Direction
"Hugo" Production Design: Dante Ferretti; Set Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo

Costume Design
"The Artist" Mark Bridges

Makeup
"The Iron Lady" Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland

Foreign Language Film
"A Separation" Iran

Actress in a Supporting Role
Octavia Spencer in "The Help"

Film Editing
"The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall

Sound Editing
"Hugo" Philip Stockton and Eugene Gearty

Sound Mixing
"Hugo" Tom Fleischman and John Midgley

Documentary (Feature)
"Undefeated" TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay and Richard Middlemas

Animated Feature Film
"Rango" Gore Verbinski

Visual Effects
"Hugo" Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and Alex Henning

Actor in a Supporting Role
Christopher Plummer in "Beginners"

Music (Original Score)
"The Artist" Ludovic Bource

Music (Original Song)
"Man or Muppet" from "The Muppets" Music and Lyric by Bret McKenzie

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
"The Descendants" Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash

Writing (Original Screenplay)
"Midnight in Paris" Written by Woody Allen

Short Film (Live Action)
"The Shore" Terry George and Oorlagh George

Documentary (Short Subject)
"Saving Face" Daniel Junge and Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy

Short Film (Animated)
"The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore" William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg

Directing
"The Artist" Michel Hazanavicius

Actor in a Leading Role
Jean Dujardin in "The Artist"

Actress in a Leading Role
Meryl Streep in "The Iron Lady"

Best Picture
"The Artist" Thomas Langmann, Producer

The 84th Academy Awards were presented on Sunday February 26, 2012 .

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The Sked: ACADEMY AWARDS Telecast Ratings Prediction

Tonight's Academy Awards telecast on ABC should be short on suspense as The Artist sweeps to victory in the Best Picture and Best Director categories.  (See our Oscar Odds for more.)  While there is a race for Best Actor between Jean Dujardin (The Artist) and George Clooney (The Descendants) and for Best Actress between Viola Davis (The Help) and Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady), none of the four films in the running in the major acting categories has a broad, mainstream following.  The Help has the widest appeal, but that is stretching it.

We are forecasting a 10.4 rating with Adults 18-49 for the Oscars telecast tonight from 8:30 pm to approximately midnight ET, falling below the current record low of 10.7 for 2008's ceremony, when No Country for Old Men beat Atonement, Juno, Michael Clayton and There Will Be Blood for Best Picture.  Also, there should be an average audience of 32.9 million viewers (ages 2 years or older) over the course of the show, not quite a record low.  2008 should keep that distinction (31.8 million), mainly because of population increases since then.  

The number to beat this year in the awards show world is the 14.1 rating with Adults 18-49 for The Grammys on February 12.  The real news would be if the Academy Awards even comes close to that mark.  


Note: The first numbers available Monday morning will be the fast national ratings, which measure the entire country but miscalculate the viewership Pacific and Mountain time zones (because the Oscars show, like live sports, is broadcast live to all time zones rather than the normal tape-delayed feed to the western United States).  The fast nationals for the Oscars could be as low as a 9.0 rating, awaiting a hefty adjustment upward when the western US ratings are re-processed.  Certainly, ABC has requested expedited official national ratings for the Oscars (which Nielsen will provide for an additional fee) to prevent especially low (and inaccurate) numbers from circulating in the press.


 

           ACADEMY AWARDS Telecast Viewership

               Adult   Viewers
               18-49     2+     
               Rating  millions  BEST PICTURE
   2012 Feb 26  10.4*   32.9*    The Artist*

   2011 Feb 27  11.8    37.6     The King’s Speech
   2010 Mar  7  13.3    41.6     The Hurt Locker
   2009 Feb 22  12.1    36.9     Slumdog Millionaire
   2008 Feb 24  10.7    31.8     No Country for Old Men
   2007 Feb 25  14.1    39.9     The Departed
   2006 Mar  5  13.9    38.6     Crash
   2005 Feb 27  15.1    42.2     Million Dollar Baby
   2004 Feb 29  15.3    43.6     Lord of the Rings:
                                   Return of the King

   *ShowBuzzDaily Forecast
 


Check back in the morning for the actual Nielsen ratings (as well as a look at how ABC spins the numbers).  And log on after the telecast for Mitch Salem's take on the announced results, Billy Crystal's performance as host, and the movie commercials aired in the show. 



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The Sked: PROMO WATCH -- Update through February 23

GCB and the Oscars are the big bets for ABC in recent days, while NBC continues to make an extraordinary push for Awake.  CBS is hoping to take Person of Interest to another level, and FOX just doesn't seem to be making any choices about what to promote hard.  The most recent Promo Watch numbers are based on prime time broadcast network programming between February 9 and 23, with about 18.5 hours of programming sampled for each network over that period.  (Click "read more" to see the latest chart.)


ABCGCB has become the top priority for ABC over the past few weeks, now averaging 21 seconds per hour sampled in prime time.  ABC has been repeating the same 30-second spot over and over (the rhyming spot with "witches" and "riches" instead of the expected "bitches" from the original series title).  The spot is not particularly clever, but ABC is hoping the repetition of the show's premise will cut through.  With a last minute rush of Oscar spots (often over 30 seconds per hour on recent nights), the Academy Awards spots have moved into the #2 priority position, averaging 17 seconds per hour over the past two weeks (after being in the high single digits recently).  Of note, the spots promote the Oscar app and Oscar.com almost as much as the show itself.  (Clips of the still niche The Artist and visuals of Jean Dujardin and Berenice Bejo are not going to persuade marginal viewers to tune in.)  Revenge remains a fairly important priority (16 seconds per hour), as ABC keeps trying to make it break out  from the 2.5 range into the high-2 rating area.  Scandal is now averaging 11 seconds an hour (up sharply from the middle single digits).  That number is going to continue to rise as we move through March.  Missing (starring Ashley Judd as a CIA agent/ mom searching for her son) is holding at 9 seconds per hour.  It looks like it has the production quality of The Firm, and -- just a hunch -- will not receive much higher promotion levels in coming weeks, as opposed to the Shonda Rhimes project Scandal.

NBCAwake premiering next Thursday at 10 in the dead zone time period is now averaging an amazing 41 seconds per hour over the past two weeks.  If it fails it won't be for lack of trying.  With Up All Night as its lead in, Awake's success will be based on the inherent appeal of the show's premise, which is described in every spot.  We shall see.  Smash is holding at a very strong 25 seconds per hour over the past two weeks.  As the ratings tumble each week (and during each quarter hour that airs), the network is trying every promo trick in the book to get people to hang on.  Last week it was the sex appeal of the characters and storylines.  This week, it's a guest star -- Nick Jonas?!?  Maybe he has a high Q-score with the target audience for a drama about mounting a Broadway musical, but it seems a little desperate or cheesy for a show that relies on critic quotes like "Wow.  Just wow."  Fashion Star is holding at 20 seconds per hour, a very solid level for a new reality show.  The Voice, at 10 seconds per hour, is just enough to keep its name out there, and NBC is using the brief promos effectively to dub the night "Must See Monday".  (At least for the first two hours of the night, it's a very legitimate claim.) 


CBSPerson of Interest has been anointed by CBS as the new show most worthy of a midseason push.  At 21 seconds per hour the past two weeks, the JJ Abrams-produced freshman number is the #1 priority for the network, which clearly want to see if its ratings can break out of the low-3 range to above a 3.5 rating.  Undercover Boss has received a substantial investment of time the past several nights, moving its average into double digits (11 seconds per hour).  That is low compared to Survivor (19 seconds) and Amazing Race (17), but it is significant for a Friday show, and CBS hopes it can build on the show's promising initial ratings on the tough night.  Just missing the chart below is Late Show with David Letterman (9 seconds per hour), substantially more than the Tonight Show with Jay Leno (5 seconds) or Jimmy Kimmel Live (3 seconds).  Unless the guest is truly newsworthy, however, late night ratings are surprisingly inelastic to promo efforts.   


FOXBreaking In has edged up to 12 seconds per hour, up from 10 recently.  And the return of Touch is at a barely-committed 10 seconds per hour.  And pity poor Bob's Burgers (not shown on the chart below) whose return is starting with a base of 6 seconds per hour.  Not that any of those shows will make much of an impact in any scenario -- it's just that FOX doesn't seem to be betting on anything.   



                          PROMO WATCH

                    Top Priorities by Network
              On-Air Promo Seconds per Hour Sampled
                 Past Two Weeks (Feb 9-23, 2011)

      ABC                          CBS
     GCB                21        Person of Interest 21
     Oscars             17        Survivor           19
     Revenge            16        Amazing Race       17
     The River          14        Unforgettable      12
     Castle             13        Undercover Boss    11
     Scandal            11

     NBC                          FOX
     Awake              41        Alcatraz           13
     Smash              25        Breaking In        12
     Fashion Star       20        Glee               12
     The Voice          10        Touch              10
                                  New Girl           10
    

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OSCAR ODDS for Major Categories -- UPDATED

Updated Oscar odds confirm a complete snooze is in store for Sunday's Academy Awards as The Artist and director Michel Hazanavicius are heavy favorites to win Best Picture and Best Director, bringing a very French flavor -- and depressed ratings -- to ABC's telecast.  Oscar ratings rise and fall based on the suspense of the major races and especially when a movie is in contention that a mass audience has actually paid to see.  There is virtually no race in the Supporting Actor and Actress categories, although there might be some rooting interest in Best Actor (George Clooney vs Jean Dujardin) and Best Actress (Viola Davis vs Meryl Streep)

The Artist has moved from 1:6 odds in early February to 1:12 now, increasing its implied chances of winning from 72% to over 78%.  A similar trend is seen in the Best Director race (see the updated charts below by clicking "read more").




         ACADEMY AWARDS BETTING ODDS
            averages from easyodds.com


     BEST PICTURE       Feb 20    Feb 8        

     The Artist           1:12     1:6    Even more the favorite
     The Descendants     10:1      6:1    Fading
     Hugo                20:1     14:1    Fading
     The Help            20:1     18:1    Slightly less likely
     War Horse           40:1     26:1    Fading fast
     Midnight in Paris   78:1     55:1    Falling out fast
     Moneyball           80:1     56:1    Falling out fast
     Extremely Loud &    88:1     59:1    Falling out fast
      Incredibly Close  
     The Tree of Life    88:1     73:1    Falling out fast

     BEST DIRECTOR
     Michel Hazanavicius  1:9      1:6    Improving odds
     Martin Scorcese      5:1      4:1    Hanging in there
     Alexander Payne     20:1     13:1    Fading
     Terrence Malick     40:1     37:1    Fading 
     Woody Allen         44:1     35:1    Fading fast

 

The Artist is also showing some late momentum in Best Actor with Jean Dujardin improving from 6:4 odds (about a 33% chance of winning) to 7:10 (about 49%).  George Clooney (in color and with full sound) has faded from 1:2 (about a 55% chance of winning) to 11:10 (about 40%).  This is the only category in which all of the long-shot nominees have a better shot of winning (even Demian Bichir from the $1.8 million grossing A Better Life has gone from 57:1 to 42:1).  

In Best Actress, Viola Davis from The Help is slightly more of a favorite, moving from 5:6 (46% chance) to 4:6 (about 51%).  But don't count out Iron Lady Meryl Streep, who is certainly practicing and perfecting her shocked look (remember the Golden Globes?), holding fairly steady -- 1:1 (42% chance) in early February to 11:10 (40%) now.  The other three nominees in the category have fallen out of the running according to oddsmakers.

         ACADEMY AWARDS BETTING ODDS
            averages from easyodds.com


     BEST ACTOR         Feb 20    Feb 8                     
     Jean Dujardin        7:10     6:4    Moving up to #1 
     George Clooney      11:10     1:2    Moving down to #2

     Brad Pitt           18:1     25:1    Slightly improved
     Gary Oldman         22:1     29:1    Slightly improved
     Demian Bichir       42:1     57:1    Slightly improved

     BEST ACTRESS    
     Viola Davis          4:6      5:6    Improved odds
     Meryl Streep        11:10     1:1    Slightly worse
     Michelle Williams   19:1     14:1    Fading
     Glenn Close         62:1     40:1    Fading fast
     Rooney Mara         64:1     42:1    Fading fast

No significant changes in the Best Supporting Actor and Actress categories.  Congratulations, Mr. Plummer and Ms. Spencer.         

         ACADEMY AWARDS BETTING ODDS
            averages from easyodds.com


     SUPPORTING ACTOR   Feb 20    Feb 8                     

     Christopher Plummer  1:50     1:25   More of a certainty 
     Kenneth Branagh     16:1     18:1    Moving up to distant #2
     Max Von Sydow       20:1      9:1    Fading
     Nick Nolte          39:1     32:1    Fading 
     Jonah Hill          61:1     46:1    Fading fast


     SUPPORTING ACTRESS 
     Octavia Spencer      1:25     1:20   Slightly stronger 
     Berenice Bejo        9:1      9:1    Steady 
     Jessica Chastain    23:1     18:1    Fading
     Melissa McCarthy    44:1     32:1    Fading fast
     Janet McTeer        49:1     33:1    Fading fast

Midnight in Paris remains the one to beat for Best Original Screenplay, edging up from 2:5 (about 60% chance of winning) to 2:7 (66%)  The Artist is still lurking as the most likely to upset Woody Allen, now 5:2 (24% chance) although that is down from 2:1 (28%) earlier in the month.  In Adapted Screenplay, The Descendants has improved from 2:5 (61%) to 1:5 (71% chance).  It seems only Moneyball stands in its way (adapting the wonderful, detailed Michael Lewis book into a character-driven film was quite an achievement), but the odds are now 5:1 (14% chance) from 4:1 (17%) earlier in the month.         

         ACADEMY AWARDS BETTING ODDS
            averages from easyodds.com


     ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Feb 20    Feb 8 
     Midnight in Paris    2:7      2:5    Slightly improved odds 
     The Artist           5:2      2:1    Slightly worse chance 
     Bridesmaids         28:1     23:1    Up from #5 to #3
     A Separation        30:1     19:1    Fading fast
     Margin Call         36:1     19:1    Fading fast


     ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 
     The Descendants      1:5      2:5    Closing the sale 
     Moneyball            5:1      4:1    Relatively steady 
     Hugo                10:1      5:1    Fading
     Tinker Tailor       17:1     14:1    Fading
     Ides of March       38:1     22:1    Fading fast


On to Sunday.



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